NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Eredivisie
Feyenoord
FEY
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between NEC Nijmegen and Feyenoord has finished with a full-time score of 1-1. Feyenoord led 1-0 at half-time, but NEC Nijmegen equalized in the second half to secure a share of the points. No red cards were issued, and the contest remained free of major disciplinary incidents that might have altered the flow. Pre-match expectations favored NEC Nijmegen with a 47.6 percent implied likelihood of victory, compared to just 23.6 percent for a draw. The result represented a significant deviation centered on NEC Nijmegen, who were unable to convert their status as the stronger side into a win. The outcome did not align with the pre-match projection, which had anticipated a clearer edge for the home team. Possession was tilted in NEC's favor at 59 percent to 41 percent, yet this territorial advantage yielded only a single goal. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations, producing a balanced performance that reflected the even final scoreline. Without expected goals data available, alignment on that metric cannot be assessed, but the draw ultimately felt consistent with the second-half adjustments both sides made.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: NEC Nijmegen showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
Movement
Changes since opening
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
Team Power Ranking
i
33.49
27.5
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
NEC Nijmegen
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
NEC Nijmegen
⚠ Proxy
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- NEC had peak pressure around 41'.
- FEY started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:03:31+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
NEC Nijmegen
vs
FC Twente
League: Eredivisie
Kickoff: Sat, 25 Apr - 7:00 PM
Venue: De Grolsch Veste
Feyenoord
vs
FC Groningen
League: Eredivisie
Kickoff: Sat, 25 Apr - 2:30 PM
Venue: Stadion Feijenoord
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼
















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Match Commentary