NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam
SPR
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between NAC Breda and Sparta Rotterdam has finished in a 0-0 draw. The sides were deadlocked going into halftime without a single goal on the board, and neither side could find a breakthrough before the final whistle. NAC Breda controlled the tempo on the pitch, holding 56% of the possession while leaving Sparta Rotterdam with 44% of the ball. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable to further analyze the exact quality of chances created by either side. Additionally, the match was a disciplined affair with zero red cards, meaning neither team had to overcome a numerical disadvantage. Pre-match market expectations slightly favored a NAC Breda victory at 43.1%, with an away win at 30.2% and a draw at just 26.8%. Because the game ended in a stalemate, the final outcome failed to align with the pre-match market. Sparta Rotterdam was identified as the stronger team overall, and the draw resulted in a significant deviation level of 73.2% against pre-match probabilities. Despite the unexpected scoreless result, the overall finishing efficiency shift was recorded as perfectly in line with standard expectations.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Sparta Rotterdam showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
Team Power Ranking
i
54.46
66.83
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
NAC Breda
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
NAC Breda
⚠ Proxy
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
NAC Breda
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:04:16+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
NAC Breda
vs
Fortuna Sittard
League: Eredivisie
Kickoff: Sun, 12 Apr - 10:15 AM
Venue: Away
Sparta Rotterdam
vs
PSV
League: Eredivisie
Kickoff: Sat, 11 Apr - 4:45 PM
Venue: Home
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
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Match Commentary