Molde vs Rosenborg Prediction, Preview and Stats
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aker Stadion
Sat, 14 Mar - 5:00 PM
Eliteserien
Molde
Molde
2
0
0
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
Full Time
Sat, 14 Mar
5:00 PM
Emil Breivik - 31'
Eirik Hestad - 57'
|
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 21
CONTEXT
Match is finished. Molde 2–0 Rosenborg. The result saw Molde take the points. Molde showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 62%–38%.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Molde showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
-
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
-
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: No major event distortion.
-
Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
T. Hansen
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
5.4
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
1
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
M. Falk
VS
A. Johansson
1.33
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.09
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarpsborg 08
Rank: 60
L
Brann
Rank: 69
W
Haugesund
Rank: 42
W
Rosenborg
Rank: 64
W
Bodø / Glimt
Rank: 82
L
Sandefjord
Rank: 62
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Strømsgodset
Rank: 49
W
Tromsø
Rank: 66
L
Vålerenga
Rank: 60
W
Molde
Rank: 64
L
Sandefjord
Rank: 62
D
Brann
Rank: 69
L
14
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 8 - 18
18
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Molde
50.57%
Draw
24.93%
Rosenborg
24.49%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.46
62.2
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Molde
Rosenborg
Power Score
64.46
62.2
League Position
3
15
Global Rank
318
389
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Molde
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Rosenborg
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Molde Rosenborg
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Molde
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Rosenborg
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Molde
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Rosenborg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.24
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.05
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Molde
-0.08
Efficiency Index
vs
Rosenborg
+0.08
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Molde
Rosenborg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Molde
vs
Rosenborg
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Molde
Rosenborg
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00
vs
+0.00
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Molde
Rosenborg
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
Molde
Rosenborg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Molde
Molde
Home
10
matches
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
Away
Match Record
4
Wins
2
4
Draws
4
2
Losses
4
Goals
18
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
18
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:28:10+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
4-4-2
Match Formation
4-4-2
1 M. Juhl Kikkenborg
I. Amundsen
#690+4'
18 H. Østervold Stenevik
4 S. Hansen
33 B. Risa
26 S. Kabini
T. Doherty
#2476'
5 E. Hestad
14 J. Christensen
V. Bender Larsen
#2876'
15 V. Hoff
F. Gulbrandsen
#846'
11 C. Zady Sery
10 (C) E. Breivik
E. Haugan
#1990+2'
20 K. Eriksen
1 L. Wahlstedt
3 T. Solheim Dahl
5 H. Singsdal Volden
J. Bakke
#2577'
4 M. Ceide
16 A. Fonn Witry
35 E. Ceide
I. Fossum
#877'
22 (C) J. Svensson
17 M. Bomholt
A. Pereira
#1960'
29 D. Duris
18 A. Chiakha
9 D. Islamovic
General Information
Date & Time
Mar 14, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Stadium
Aker Stadion
Capacity
11249
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Tore Hansen
Statistics
Possession
Molde
59%
Rosenborg
41%
Top Statistics
2
Goals
0
2
Big Chances Created
1
10
Shots
3
53
Dangerous attacks
38
62
Possession
38
5
Corners
4
13
Free kicks
14
1
Yellow Cards
4
Match Overview
2
Assists
0
15
Throwins
28
75
Ball Safe
73
12
Goal Attempts
3
5
Substitutions
3
9
Dribble Attempts
20
56
Successful Dribbles Percentage
25
6
Goal Kicks
13
5
Successful Dribbles
5
Attacking
0
Big Chances Missed
1
131
Attacks
90
Possession
563
Passes
349
82
Successful Passes Percentage
75
464
Successful Passes
261
10
Key Passes
5
16
Successful Long Passes
27
56
Long Passes
60
29
Successful Long Passes Percentage
45
Defensive
31
Tackles
10
1
Saves
2
9
Interceptions
13
Build-up
8
Accurate Crosses
2
18
Total Crosses
11
Discipline
13
Fouls
13
0
Offsides
3
Lineup
Referee :
Tore Hansen
Manager ▼
M. Falk
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Mads Kikkenborg
Goalkeeper
6.7 4
S. Hansen
Defender
7.99 18
Halldor Stenevik
Defender
7.73 6Isak Helstad Amundsen
Defender90+4'
26
Samukelo Kabini
Defender
7.23 33
Birk Risa
Defender
7.09 5
Eirik Hestad
Midfielder
24Trent Kone Doherty
7.1Attacker76'
11
Caleb Zady Sery
Midfielder
7.4 8Fredrik Gulbrandsen
6.75Attacker46'
14
Jacob Christensen
Midfielder
7.02 15
Vebjørn Hoff
Midfielder
7.06 28Viktor Bender
6.64Midfielder76'
10
Emil Breivik (C)
Attacker
20
Kristian Eriksen
Attacker
7.09 19Eirik Haugan
Defender90+2'
Substitutes ▼
22
Albert Posiadala
Goalkeeper
23
Sondre Granaas
Midfielder
31
Blerton Isufi
Midfielder
9
Jalal Abdullai
Attacker
Referee :
Tore Hansen
Manager ▼
A. Johansson
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Leopold Wahlstedt
Goalkeeper
6.39 3
Tobias Solheim Dahl
Defender
6.64 4
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide
Defender
6.66 25Johan Johanessen Bakke
6.41Midfielder77'
5
Håkon Volden
Defender
6.83 16
Aslak Witry
Defender
6.48
17
Mads Bomholt
Midfielder
6.45 22
Jonas Svensson (C)
Midfielder
6.77
8Iver Fossum
6.58Midfielder77'
29
David Duris
Midfielder
6.16
19Adrian Pereira
6.21Defender60'
35
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Midfielder
6.32 9
Dino Islamovic
Attacker
5.93 18
Amin Chiakha
Attacker
6.12
Substitutes ▼
12
Rasmus Sandberg
Goalkeeper
24
Haakon Ingdal Sørum
Goalkeeper
2
Håkon Røsten
Defender
10
Ole Selnæs
Midfielder
11
Noah Sahsah
Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
Isak Helstad Amundsen → Halldor Stenevik
8th Substitution
90+4'
Eirik Haugan → Kristian Eriksen
7th Substitution
90+2'
77'
Johan Johanessen Bakke → Mikkel Konradsen Ceide
5th Substitution
77'
Iver Fossum → Jonas Svensson
6th Substitution
Viktor Bender → Vebjørn Hoff
3rd Substitution
76'
Trent Kone Doherty → Eirik Hestad
4th Substitution
76'
73'
Amin Chiakha
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
60'
6th Yellowcard
60'
David Duris
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
60'
Adrian Pereira → David Duris
2nd Substitution
Eirik Hestad
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
57'
Fredrik Gulbrandsen → Caleb Zady Sery
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+3'
Jonas Svensson
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Eirik Hestad
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
33'
Emil Breivik
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
31'
5'
Aslak Witry
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: Molde exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.