Mjällby vs Brommapojkarna Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Strandvallen Sat, 18 Apr - 1:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Mjällby Mjällby
3 Winner 0
Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna
Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 1:00 PM
Round 3 Regular Season
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell - 5'
Jacob Bergström - 28'
Abdoulie Manneh - 32'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Mjällby asserted dominance over Brommapojkarna in a convincing 3-0 home win, netting all three goals before halftime to effectively seal the contest early. The hosts edged possession at 54% to 46%, maintaining control without facing any red card threats or major disruptions. Brommapojkarna offered little resistance, failing to score or adjust meaningfully in the second half, where the scoreline stayed unchanged. Identified pre-match as the stronger side, Mjällby delivered a performance marked by a significant 38.8% structural deviation in their favor, while efficiency held steady in line with projections. Market expectations aligned perfectly with the outcome, underscoring the predictability of the home triumph despite the emphatic margin. This result bolsters Mjällby's standing in the league.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Mjällby posted a significant 38.8% structural deviation in their favor.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment assessment unavailable due to absent data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true for Mjällby's victory.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unmeasurable without underlying data.
  • Event impact: No events or second-half adjustments influenced the result.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no distortion in game flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Culum
M. Culum
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.88
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.59
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.16
N. Nyberg
N. Nyberg
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.88
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.59
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.16
R. Eriksson
R. Eriksson
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.88
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.59
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.16
A. Ladebäck
A. Ladebäck
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.88
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.59
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.16
Mjällby Karl Marius Aksum
Karl Marius Aksum
VS
Brommapojkarna U. Kristiansson
U. Kristiansson
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.67
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Örgryte Rank: L
Hammarby Rank: L
Häcken Rank: W
Värnamo Rank: W
Norrköping Rank: W
IFK Göteborg Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
AIK Rank: D
Häcken Rank: D
Degerfors Rank: L
Halmstad Rank: D
GAIS Rank: L
Värnamo Rank: D
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 3 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Mjällby
61.17%
Draw
22.55%
Away Brommapojkarna
16.28%

Movement

Changes since opening
Mjällby
-36.43%
Draw
+20.64%
Brommapojkarna
+15.79%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
30.89
14.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mjällby
Brommapojkarna
Power Score
30.89
14.74
League Position
11
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mjällby — Opponent-weighted form score
Brommapojkarna — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mjällby Brommapojkarna

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Mjällby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brommapojkarna

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Mjällby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brommapojkarna
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.98
31.30
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.30
23.98
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Mjällby -0.78 Efficiency Index
vs
Brommapojkarna +0.78 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Mjällby
Brommapojkarna
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Mjällby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brommapojkarna
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Mjällby Brommapojkarna
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Mjällby Brommapojkarna
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Mjällby
Brommapojkarna
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Mjällby
vs
Brommapojkarna
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Mjällby Brommapojkarna
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Mjällby 0.28
Brommapojkarna 0.25
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Mjällby Brommapojkarna
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Mjällby 0.00
Brommapojkarna 0.08
Mjällby
Brommapojkarna
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Mjällby had peak pressure around 37'.
  • Mjällby started the game with stronger pressure.
Mjällby Pressure Brommapojkarna Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Mjällby reached the top pressure at 37' (90.05).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 12 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mjällby Mjällby Home
12 matches
Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna Away
Match Record
4
Wins
5
3
Draws
3
5
Losses
4
Goals
9
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
9
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:03:12+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
R. Wallinder
Sweden
13 R. Wallinder
T. Miettinen
Substitution
Finland
33 T. Miettinen
A. Norén
Sweden
4 A. Norén
A. Iqbal
Pakistan
5 A. Iqbal
W. Granath
Substitution
Sweden
14 W. Granath
V. Gustafsson
Substitution
Sweden
7 V. Gustafsson
J. Gustavsson
Sweden
22 J. Gustavsson
E. Stroud
Sweden
17 E. Stroud
L. Malachowski Thorell
Substitution
Sweden
6 L. Malachowski Thorell
J. Bergström
Sweden
18 J. Bergström
A. Manneh
Substitution
19 A. Manneh
K. Cavallius
1 K. Cavallius
O. Zandén
Sweden
6 O. Zandén
A. Troelsen
Denmark
3 A. Troelsen
J. Simpson
Substitution
Sweden
23 J. Simpson
A. Andersson
Sweden
21 A. Andersson
S. Oppong
Substitution
33 S. Oppong
K. Ackermann
Substitution
Sweden
24 K. Ackermann
S. Strand
Sweden
16 S. Strand
M. Hansen
Denmark
9 M. Hansen
L. Björklund
Substitution
Sweden
30 L. Björklund
O. Berg
Substitution
Norway
10 O. Berg

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
Strandvallen
Capacity
6500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mehmet Culum
Niklas Nyberg
Rasmus Eriksson
Adam Ladebäck

Statistics

Possession
Mjällby
53%
Brommapojkarna
47%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
4 Shots 5
39 Dangerous attacks 48
54 Possession 46
5 Corners 1
16 Free kicks 15
0 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

18 Throwins 22
3 Assists 0
0 Hit Woodwork 2
61 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36
10 Goal Kicks 7
11 Successful Dribbles 4
18 Dribble Attempts 11
8 Goal Attempts 10
76 Ball Safe 69
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

81 Attacks 95

Possession

85 Successful Passes Percentage 83
559 Passes 472
474 Successful Passes 390
10 Key Passes 8
17 Successful Long Passes 17
40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 35
42 Long Passes 48

Defensive

15 Interceptions 12
43 Duels Won 45
9 Tackles 16
3 Saves 2

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 1
12 Total Crosses 15

Discipline

15 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Adam Ladebäck

Starting XI ▼

13
Robin Wallinder
Robin Wallinder Goalkeeper
6.21
4
Axel Norén
Axel Norén Defender
6.55
5
Abdullah Iqbal
Abdullah Iqbal Defender
6.48
33
Tony Miettinen
Tony Miettinen Defender
6.48
27
Ludvig Tidstrand
Ludvig Tidstrand
Midfielder77'
6.61
7
Viktor Gustafson
Viktor Gustafson Midfielder
6.56
39
Romeo Leandersson
Romeo Leandersson
Midfielder65'
6.39
14
Villiam Granath
Villiam Granath Midfielder
6.4
25
M. Nielsen
M. Nielsen
Defender77'
6.71
17
Elliot Stroud
Elliot Stroud Midfielder
7.91
22
Jesper Gustavsson
Jesper Gustavsson Midfielder
6.59
6
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell Attacker
6.44
29
Olle Lindberg
Olle Lindberg
Midfielder77'
6.53
18
Jacob Bergström
Jacob Bergström Attacker
6.79
19
Abdoulie Manneh
Abdoulie Manneh Attacker
7.59
15
Bork Bang-Kittilsen
Bork Bang-Kittilsen
Attacker51'
6.7
Referee : Adam Ladebäck

Starting XI ▼

1
Leo Cavallius
Leo Cavallius Goalkeeper
6.23
3
Andreas Troelsen
Andreas Troelsen Defender
6.88
6
Oliver Zandén
Oliver Zandén Defender
6.96
21
Alex Timossi Andersson
Alex Timossi Andersson Defender
6.37
23
Jordan Simpson
Jordan Simpson Defender
6.57
4
Oskar Cotton
Oskar Cotton
Defender61'
6.48
9
Mads Hansen
Mads Hansen Midfielder
7.48
16
Simon Strand
Simon Strand Midfielder
6.81
24
Kevin Ackermann
Kevin Ackermann Midfielder
6.6
14
Kamilcan Sever
Kamilcan Sever
Attacker79'
6.72
33
Sion Oppong
Sion Oppong Midfielder
6.54
34
David Isso
David Isso
Attacker54'
6.23
10
Oliver Berg
Oliver Berg Attacker
6.48
20
Issiaga Camara
Issiaga Camara
Midfielder79'
6.47
30
Lukas Björklund
Lukas Björklund Attacker
7
17
Anton Kurochkin
Anton Kurochkin
Midfielder79'
6.19

Events

2ND-HALF
79'
Event
Kamilcan Sever → Kevin Ackermann
10th Substitution
79'
Event
Issiaga Camara → Oliver Berg
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Anton Kurochkin → Lukas Björklund
9th Substitution
Event
Ludvig Tidstrand → Tony Miettinen
7th Substitution
77'
Event
Olle Lindberg → Ludwig Malachowski Thorell
5th Substitution
77'
Event
M. Nielsen → Villiam Granath
6th Substitution
77'
73'
Event
Mads Hansen
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Romeo Leandersson → Viktor Gustafson
4th Substitution
65'
61'
Event
Oskar Cotton → Jordan Simpson
3rd Substitution
54'
Event
David Isso → Sion Oppong
2nd Substitution
Event
Bork Bang-Kittilsen → Abdoulie Manneh
1st Substitution
51'
1ST-HALF
Event
Abdoulie Manneh
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
32'
Event
Jacob Bergström
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
28'
26'
Event
Alex Timossi Andersson
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
21'
Event
Jordan Simpson
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
16'
Event
5th Yellowcard
16'
Event
Lukas Björklund
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
5'

CONCLUSION

Mjällby's ruthless first-half blitzkrieg dismantled Brommapojkarna, turning a competitive setup into a procession with a 3-0 scoreline that flattered no one. The home side's possession edge and unwavering efficiency validated their stronger pre-match status, while the clean sheet reflected defensive solidity. Absent any red cards or tactical shifts, the match unfolded predictably, aligning seamlessly with structural and market indicators. This decisive win propels Mjällby forward, exposing Brommapojkarna's frailties and setting a high bar for future outings.

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