Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Anfield Today - 11:30 AM
Premier League
Liverpool LIV
Versus
Chelsea CHE
KICKOFF : Today - 11:30 AM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Liverpool host Chelsea at Anfield in a Premier League regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. The Reds sit fourth in the table, holding a clear power advantage with a 92.32 rating compared to Chelsea's 88.34, translating to a four-point edge that marks them as the stronger side. Form underlines this disparity: Liverpool's score stands at 24.17, while Chelsea languish at zero, signaling recent struggles for the visitors. Anfield's electric atmosphere and Liverpool's home strength amplify the challenge for Chelsea, who occupy ninth place and desperately seek momentum. Both teams lack recent outing details, but positional standings and metrics point to a home tilt. Set-piece data remains unavailable with low confidence proxies, leaving tactical battles open. This matchup promises intensity as Liverpool aim to consolidate top-four aspirations against a Blues side aiming to climb.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Liverpool possess a 4-point power advantage over Chelsea, rated at 92.32 to 88.34.
  • Form: Liverpool's form score is 24.17, contrasting sharply with Chelsea's 0.
  • Squad: Squad composition details are unavailable in current data.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not available for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats show low confidence with proxy metrics used and no xG data.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Liverpool 50% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25% (Δ+0%) | Chelsea 25% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Liverpool A. Slot
A. Slot
VS
Chelsea C. McFarlane
C. McFarlane
1.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Manchester United Rank: 91 L
Crystal Palace Rank: 86 W
Everton Rank: 88 W
Fulham Rank: 86 W
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 90 L
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 85 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nottingham Forest Rank: 88 L
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 89 L
Manchester United Rank: 90 L
Manchester City Rank: 98 L
Everton Rank: 88 L
Newcastle United Rank: 89 L
24
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
24 - 23 - 26
26
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Liverpool
49.99%
Draw
24.99%
Away Chelsea
25.02%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
92.32
88.34
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Liverpool
Chelsea
Power Score
92.32
88.34
League Position
4
9
Global Rank
7
18

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Liverpool — Opponent-weighted form score
Chelsea — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Liverpool Chelsea

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 73 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Liverpool LIV Home
73 matches
Chelsea CHE Away
Match Record
24
Wins
26
23
Draws
23
26
Losses
24
Goals
80
Goals Scored
85
85
Goals Conceded
80
-5
Goal Difference
+5

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T09:30:33+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
G. Mamardashvili
Georgia
25 G. Mamardashvili
C. Jones
England
17 C. Jones
I. Konaté
France
5 I. Konaté
V. van Dijk
Netherlands
4 V. van Dijk
Milos Kerkez
Hungary
6 Milos Kerkez
R. Gravenberch
Netherlands
38 R. Gravenberch
A. Mac Allister
Argentina
10 A. Mac Allister
J. Frimpong
Netherlands
30 J. Frimpong
D. Szoboszlai
Hungary
8 D. Szoboszlai
F. Wirtz
Germany
7 F. Wirtz
C. Gakpo
Netherlands
18 C. Gakpo
Pitch
F. Jörgensen
Denmark
12 F. Jörgensen
M. Cucurella
Spain
3 M. Cucurella
L. Colwill
England
6 L. Colwill
T. Chalobah
England
23 T. Chalobah
M. Gusto
France
27 M. Gusto
M. Caicedo Corozo
Ecuador
25 M. Caicedo Corozo
R. Lavia
Belgium
45 R. Lavia
J. Junqueira de Jesus
Brazil
20 J. Junqueira de Jesus
E. Fernández
Argentina
8 E. Fernández
C. Palmer
England
10 C. Palmer
L. Delap
England
9 L. Delap

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Anfield
Capacity :
61276
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Craig Pawson
Matthew Wilkes
Robert Madley
Lee Betts

Lineup

Referee : Craig Pawson

Starting XI ▼

25
Giorgi Mamardashvili
Giorgi Mamardashvili Goalkeeper
6.84
4
Virgil van Dijk
Virgil van Dijk Defender
7.09
5
Ibrahima Konaté
Ibrahima Konaté Defender
6.96
6
Milos Kerkez
Milos Kerkez Defender
6.77
17
Curtis Jones
Curtis Jones Defender
6.82
8
Dominik Szoboszlai
Dominik Szoboszlai Midfielder
7.36
10
Alexis Mac Allister
Alexis Mac Allister Midfielder
6.86
38
Ryan Gravenberch
Ryan Gravenberch Midfielder
7.06
7
Florian Wirtz
Florian Wirtz Attacker
7.06
18
Cody Gakpo
Cody Gakpo Attacker
7.12
30
Jeremie Frimpong
Jeremie Frimpong Attacker
6.63
Referee : Craig Pawson

Starting XI ▼

12
Filip Jørgensen
Filip Jørgensen Goalkeeper
6.64
3
Marc Cucurella
Marc Cucurella Defender
6.88
6
Levi Colwill
Levi Colwill Defender
6.53
23
Trevoh Chalobah
Trevoh Chalobah Defender
6.93
27
Malo Gusto
Malo Gusto Defender
6.82
8
Enzo Fernández
Enzo Fernández Midfielder
7.25
25
Moisés Caicedo
Moisés Caicedo Midfielder
7.05
45
Roméo Lavia
Roméo Lavia Midfielder
6.65
9
Liam Delap
Liam Delap Attacker
6.62
10
Cole Palmer
Cole Palmer Attacker
6.99
20
João Pedro
João Pedro Attacker
7.14

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Liverpool holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Liverpool a 4-point edge. External projection is Liverpool 50.1%, draw 25%, and Chelsea 24.9%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Liverpool vs Chelsea preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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