SK Poltava vs Dynamo Kyiv Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Zirka Sat, 16 May - 10:00 AM
Premier League
SK Poltava SK Poltava
Versus
Dynamo Kyiv DYN
KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 10:00 AM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Ukrainian Premier League Regular Season clash at Stadion Zirka, SK Poltava, rooted at 16th in the standings with a power score of 36.01, confronts a formidable Dynamo Kyiv side sitting 4th and boasting 65.99 power points—a clear 30-point edge highlighting Dynamo's structural dominance. Form trends reinforce this gap, as Kyiv's 24.11 score outpaces Poltava's modest 13.22, suggesting better momentum heading into the fixture. Detailed insights into efficiency, transitions, and set pieces remain unavailable due to low-confidence data and absent xG metrics, forcing reliance on broader indicators. Poltava's home venue offers slim hope for an upset, but Kyiv's superior league position and overall strength position them to control possession and chances effectively. This matchup pits resilience against quality in a classic David-versus-Goliath scenario.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dynamo Kyiv enjoys a 30-point power advantage over SK Poltava with scores of 65.99 versus 36.01.
  • Form: Dynamo Kyiv's form score stands at 24.11, superior to SK Poltava's 13.22.
  • Squad: SK Poltava occupies 16th place while Dynamo Kyiv holds 4th in the Premier League.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not available for SK Poltava or Dynamo Kyiv.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with no xG data for either side.
  • xVariable: xG variables are unavailable due to proxy usage and low confidence.
  • Market: Projection split: SK Poltava 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Dynamo Kyiv 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
SK Poltava V. Sysenko
V. Sysenko
VS
Dynamo Kyiv O. Shovkovsky
O. Shovkovsky
0.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.81
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 58 D
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 D
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 56 D
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 53 L
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 41 D
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 63 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 55 D
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 58 D
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 L
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 56 W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 52 W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SK Poltava
0%
Draw
0%
Away Dynamo Kyiv
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
36.01
65.99
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SK Poltava
Dynamo Kyiv
Power Score
36.01
65.99
League Position
16
4
Global Rank
1175
300

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
SK Poltava Opponent-weighted form score
Dynamo Kyiv Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SK Poltava Dynamo Kyiv

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SK Poltava SK Poltava Home
1 matches
Dynamo Kyiv DYN Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
+1
Goal Difference
-1

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T01:09:49+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Zirka
Capacity :
13667
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

13
Valeriy Voskonyan
Valeriy Voskonyan Goalkeeper
96
Danyil Ermolov
Danyil Ermolov Goalkeeper
1
Mykyta Minchev
Mykyta Minchev Goalkeeper
20
Evgen Misyura
Evgen Misyura Defender
95
Igor Kotsyumaka
Igor Kotsyumaka Defender
12
Andriy Savenkov
Andriy Savenkov Defender
33
Oleh Veremiienko
Oleh Veremiienko Defender
19
Mykola Buzhyn
Mykola Buzhyn Defender
2
Mykyta Kononov
Mykyta Kononov Defender
24
Illia Ukhan
Illia Ukhan Defender
5
Vadym Pidlepych
Vadym Pidlepych Defender
44
Dmytro Plakhtyr
Dmytro Plakhtyr Midfielder
7
Denis Galenkov
Denis Galenkov Midfielder
11
Oleksandr Pyatov
Oleksandr Pyatov Midfielder
15
Vladislav Danilenko
Vladislav Danilenko Midfielder
6
Bohdan Biloshevskyi
Bohdan Biloshevskyi Midfielder
10
Valerii Sad
Valerii Sad Midfielder
21
Arsentiy Doroshenko
Arsentiy Doroshenko Midfielder
14
Maksim Marusich
Maksim Marusich Attacker
8
Volodymyr Odariuk
Volodymyr Odariuk Attacker
38
Danyil Sukhoruchko
Danyil Sukhoruchko Attacker
93
Bohdan Kobzar
Bohdan Kobzar Attacker
88
Oleksandr Vivdych
Oleksandr Vivdych Attacker

Squad

35
Ruslan Neshcheret
Ruslan Neshcheret Goalkeeper
51
Valentyn Morgun
Valentyn Morgun Goalkeeper
74
Denis Ignatenko
Denis Ignatenko Goalkeeper
20
Oleksandr Karavaev
Oleksandr Karavaev Defender
18
Oleksandr Tymchyk
Oleksandr Tymchyk Defender
44
Vladyslav Dubinchak
Vladyslav Dubinchak Defender
4
Denys Popov
Denys Popov Defender
40
Kristian Bilova
Kristian Bilova Defender
2
Kostiantyn Vivcharenko
Kostiantyn Vivcharenko Defender
66
Aliou Thiare
Aliou Thiare Defender
32
Taras Mykhavko
Taras Mykhavko Defender
13
Maksym Korobov
Maksym Korobov Defender
34
Vladyslav Zakharchenko
Vladyslav Zakharchenko Defender
29
Vitaliy Buyalskyy
Vitaliy Buyalskyy Midfielder
10
Mykola Shaparenko
Mykola Shaparenko Midfielder
8
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok Midfielder
91
Mykola Mykhailenko
Mykola Mykhailenko Midfielder
6
Volodymyr Brazhko
Volodymyr Brazhko Midfielder
5
Oleksandr Yatsyk
Oleksandr Yatsyk Midfielder
7
Andriy Yarmolenko
Andriy Yarmolenko Attacker
22
Vladyslav Kabaiev
Vladyslav Kabaiev Attacker
39
Eduardo Antonio Guerrero Lozcano
Eduardo Antonio Guerrero Lozcano Attacker
9
Nazar Voloshyn
Nazar Voloshyn Attacker
77
V. Blănuță
V. Blănuță Attacker
11
Matviy Ponomarenko
Matviy Ponomarenko Attacker
16
Oluwashola Elijah Ogundana
Oluwashola Elijah Ogundana Attacker
70
Bogdan Redushko
Bogdan Redushko Attacker

CONCLUSION

Dynamo Kyiv arrives as overwhelming favorites, leveraging their 30-point power edge, superior form, and loftier league position to likely overwhelm SK Poltava at Stadion Zirka. Poltava's 16th-place struggles and lower metrics offer little counterbalance, even on home soil, against Kyiv's established quality. Absent granular data on set pieces, efficiency, and transitions underscores the reliance on macro trends favoring the visitors. Expect Dynamo to dictate tempo, create superior opportunities, and secure a comfortable victory in this lopsided Premier League encounter, extending their strong campaign while deepening Poltava's woes.

SK Poltava vs Dynamo Kyiv preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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