Zorya Luhansk vs Polissya Zhytomyr Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky (Kyjiv (Kiev)) Sat, 16 May - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk
Versus
Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr
KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 10:00 AM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Ukrainian Premier League's 2025/2026 regular season, Zorya Luhansk, sitting 8th in the standings, welcomes 2nd-placed Polissya Zhytomyr to the Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky in Kyiv. Polissya arrives as the stronger side, boasting a power score of 62.8 compared to Zorya's 53.69, translating to a clear 9.1-point advantage. Form metrics further tilt the scales, with Polissya's 22.44 score outpacing Zorya's 14.78, indicating better recent momentum. This matchup pits a mid-table host against a title-chasing visitor, where Zorya must capitalize on any home-like atmosphere in the neutral venue to disrupt Polissya's climb. Limited data on set pieces and efficiency, marked by low confidence and unavailable xG metrics, leaves those areas as unknowns. Structural superiority and superior league position give Polissya the edge, but Zorya could exploit any complacency for a surprise result.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Polissya Zhytomyr holds a 9.1-point power advantage over Zorya Luhansk, with scores of 62.8 versus 53.69.
  • Form: Polissya Zhytomyr's form score of 22.44 surpasses Zorya Luhansk's 14.78.
  • Squad: Zorya Luhansk occupies 8th place while Polissya Zhytomyr is 2nd in the Premier League standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: No specific transition metrics provided; Polissya's overall power edge suggests better fluidity.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with no xG data available for Zorya Luhansk or Polissya Zhytomyr.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to add-on not enabled for this league.
  • Market: Baseline split: Zorya Luhansk 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Polissya Zhytomyr 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Zorya Luhansk V. Skripnik
V. Skripnik
VS
Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr
Polissya Zhytomyr
1.31
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.06
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Oleksandria Rank: 43 D
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 D
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 44 W
Veres Rank: 49 W
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 74 L
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 64 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 47 D
Oleksandria Rank: 43 W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 W
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 41 W
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 74 L
SK Poltava Rank: 34 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Zorya Luhansk
0%
Draw
0%
Away Polissya Zhytomyr
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
53.69
62.8
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Zorya Luhansk
Polissya Zhytomyr
Power Score
53.69
62.8
League Position
8
2
Global Rank
686
409

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Zorya Luhansk — Opponent-weighted form score
Polissya Zhytomyr — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Zorya Luhansk Polissya Zhytomyr

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk Home
5 matches
Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
2
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T01:09:49+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky (Kyjiv (Kiev))
Capacity :
16873
Pitch Surface :
N/A
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

12
Mykyta Turbaevsky
Mykyta Turbaevsky Goalkeeper
1
Oleksandr Saputin
Oleksandr Saputin Goalkeeper
31
Valerii Kosivskyi
Valerii Kosivskyi Goalkeeper
44
Igor Perduta
Igor Perduta Defender
10
Leovigildo Júnior Reis Rodrigues
Leovigildo Júnior Reis Rodrigues Defender
47
Roman Vantukh
Roman Vantukh Defender
55
Anderson Jordan da Silva Cordeiro
Anderson Jordan da Silva Cordeiro Defender
4
Gabriel Eskinja
Gabriel Eskinja Defender
25
Christopher Nwanze
Christopher Nwanze Defender
5
Andrija Janjić
Andrija Janjić Defender
7
Nemanja Anđušić
Nemanja Anđušić Midfielder
8
Kyrylo Dryshliuk
Kyrylo Dryshliuk Midfielder
77
Bogdan Kushnirenko
Bogdan Kushnirenko Midfielder
22
Petar Mićin
Petar Mićin Midfielder
24
Іvan Golovkіn
Іvan Golovkіn Midfielder
21
Jakov Bašić
Jakov Bašić Midfielder
6
Dejan Popara
Dejan Popara Midfielder
19
Roman Salenko
Roman Salenko Midfielder
23
Navin Malysh
Navin Malysh Midfielder
88
Samba Juma Bah
Samba Juma Bah Midfielder
28
Pylyp Budkivskyi
Pylyp Budkivskyi Attacker
99
Vladyslav Vakula
Vladyslav Vakula Attacker
27
Domagoj Jelavić
Domagoj Jelavić Attacker
11
Ihor Horbach
Ihor Horbach Attacker
9
Artem Slesar
Artem Slesar Attacker
70
Reynaldihno Verley
Reynaldihno Verley Attacker
17
Fedir Zadorozhnyi
Fedir Zadorozhnyi Attacker

Squad ▼

21
Georgiy Bushchan
Georgiy Bushchan Goalkeeper
1
Oleh Kudryk
Oleh Kudryk Goalkeeper
23
Evgeniy Volynets
Evgeniy Volynets Goalkeeper
4
Mykyta Kravchenko
Mykyta Kravchenko Defender
15
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko Defender
3
Lucas Taylor Maia Reis
Lucas Taylor Maia Reis Defender
44
Sergiy Chobotenko
Sergiy Chobotenko Defender
2
Andi Hadroj
Andi Hadroj Defender
5
Eduard Sarapiy
Eduard Sarapiy Defender
16
Ilir Krasniqi
Ilir Krasniqi Defender
31
Giorgi Maisuradze
Giorgi Maisuradze Defender
34
João Victor Dall Stella Vialle
João Victor Dall Stella Vialle Defender
35
Kiril Koberniuk
Kiril Koberniuk Defender
8
Ruslan Babenko
Ruslan Babenko Midfielder
18
Oleksandr Andrievsky
Oleksandr Andrievsky Midfielder
19
Volodymyr Shepelev
Volodymyr Shepelev Midfielder
30
Bogdan Lednev
Bogdan Lednev Midfielder
10
Tomer Yosefi
Tomer Yosefi Midfielder
55
Borys Krushynskyi
Borys Krushynskyi Midfielder
29
Borel Tomandzoto
Borel Tomandzoto Midfielder
14
Lindon Emërllahu
Lindon Emërllahu Midfielder
27
Oleh Fedor
Oleh Fedor Midfielder
60
Maksym Melnychenko
Maksym Melnychenko Midfielder
38
Vladyslav Kramar
Vladyslav Kramar Midfielder
9
Oleksandr Filippov
Oleksandr Filippov Attacker
11
Oleksiy Hutsuliak
Oleksiy Hutsuliak Attacker
7
Oleksandr Nazarenko
Oleksandr Nazarenko Attacker
45
Maksim Bragaru
Maksim Bragaru Attacker
22
Vladyslav Veleten
Vladyslav Veleten Attacker
89
Mykola Gayduchyk
Mykola Gayduchyk Attacker
95
Ihor Krasnopir
Ihor Krasnopir Attacker

CONCLUSION

Polissya Zhytomyr enters this Premier League encounter with compelling advantages in power rating, form, and league position, positioning them as favorites against Zorya Luhansk. The 9.1-point power gap and higher form score underscore Polissya's momentum, while their 2nd-place standing highlights consistency. Zorya, in 8th, faces an uphill battle, particularly in a venue far from home base, though they may draw energy from the occasion. Absent detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, the focus shifts to Polissya's structural dominance potentially dictating play. Expect a competitive affair where Polissya's superior metrics could secure vital points in the title race.

Zorya Luhansk vs Polissya Zhytomyr preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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