Leicester City vs Swansea City Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Championship, England
Championship
Swansea City
SWA
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Leicester City and Swansea City is finished, ending with a full-time score of 0-1 to the visitors. The sides were level at 0-0 at half-time, but Swansea City struck in the second half to secure the victory on the road. Pre-match expectations positioned Leicester City as the more likely winners, yet the result marked a significant deviation in favour of Swansea City. The outcome did not align with the pre-match projection, though the efficiency shift remained in line with expectations. Leicester City held 56 percent possession to Swansea’s 44 percent but failed to create clear opportunities, while no expected goals data was available for deeper analysis. No red cards were issued and no major disruptive events altered the contest. Swansea’s ability to capitalise on limited share of the ball proved decisive in a result that defied the anticipated balance of the fixture.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Swansea City showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Leicester City
Swansea City
Movement
Changes since opening
Leicester City
Swansea City
Team Power Ranking
i
22.25
23.43
Leicester City
Swansea City
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Leicester City
Swansea City
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Leicester City
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Leicester City
⚠ Proxy
Leicester City
Swansea City
Leicester City
Swansea City
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Leicester City
Leicester City
Swansea City
Leicester City
Swansea City
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- LEI had peak pressure around 40'.
- LEI started the game with stronger pressure.
- Both teams' pressure dropped after the 30th minute.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 16 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-12T00:07:10+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Leicester City
vs
Portsmouth
League: Championship
Kickoff: Sat, 18 Apr - 11:30 AM
Venue: Fratton Park
Swansea City
vs
Southampton
League: Championship
Kickoff: Sat, 18 Apr - 2:00 PM
Venue: Swansea.com Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼
















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Match Commentary