Leicester City vs Hull City Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
King Power Stadium Today - 6:45 PM
Championship
Leicester City LEI
Versus
Hull City HUL
KICKOFF : Today - 6:45 PM
Round 44 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Leicester City host Hull City in Championship (Regular Season) at King Power Stadium. Domestically, Leicester City sit 23th in the table while Hull City are 6th. Power ranking favours Hull City by 3.8 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hull City holds a 3.8-point power advantage with a score of 20.45 over Leicester City's 16.69.
  • Form: Hull City outperforms in form at 7.67 compared to Leicester City's 4.78.
  • Squad: Leicester City ranks 23rd in the league while Hull City sits in 6th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition data is not available in current statistics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data uses low-confidence proxies with no xG available for either side.
  • xVariable: xG variables are unavailable as xG data is not enabled.
  • Market: Leicester City 48.9% (Δ-0.1%) | Draw 25.1% (Δ+0.1%) | Hull City 26.1% (Δ+-0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Leicester City G. Rowett
G. Rowett
VS
Hull City S. Jakirović
S. Jakirović
0.91
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.64
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Portsmouth Rank: L
Swansea City Rank: L
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: D
Preston North End Rank: D
Watford Rank: D
Queens Park Rangers Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Birmingham City Rank: D
Sheffield United Rank: L
Coventry City Rank: D
Oxford United Rank: D
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: W
West Bromwich Albion Rank: L
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 6 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Leicester City
48.85%
Draw
25.05%
Away Hull City
26.1%

Movement

Changes since opening
Leicester City
-0.08%
Draw
+0.12%
Hull City
-0.04%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
16.69
20.45
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Leicester City
Hull City
Power Score
16.69
20.45
League Position
23
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Leicester City — Opponent-weighted form score
Hull City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Leicester City Hull City

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Leicester City LEI Home
20 matches
Hull City HUL Away
Match Record
7
Wins
7
6
Draws
6
7
Losses
7
Goals
23
Goals Scored
23
23
Goals Conceded
23
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T00:04:27+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Stolarczyk
Poland
1 J. Stolarczyk
R. Barbosa Pereira
Portugal
21 R. Barbosa Pereira
J. Lascelles
England
24 J. Lascelles
J. Vestergaard
Denmark
23 J. Vestergaard
L. Thomas
England
33 L. Thomas
J. Aribo
Nigeria
18 J. Aribo
O. Skipp
England
22 O. Skipp
A. Issahaku
Ghana
7 A. Issahaku
J. James
Wales
6 J. James
D. Mukasa
England
29 D. Mukasa
P. Daka
Zambia
20 P. Daka
I. Pandur
Croatia
1 I. Pandur
R. Giles
England
3 R. Giles
J. Egan
Republic of Ireland
15 J. Egan
O. Ibidapo Ajayi
Nigeria
6 O. Ibidapo Ajayi
L. Coyle
England
2 L. Coyle
A. Hadžiahmetović
Bosnia and Herzegovina
20 A. Hadžiahmetović
M. Crooks
England
25 M. Crooks
L. Millar
Canada
7 L. Millar
J. Gelhardt
England
21 J. Gelhardt
M. Belloumi
Algeria
10 M. Belloumi
O. McBurnie
Scotland
9 O. McBurnie

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 21, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 44 · Regular Season
Stadium
King Power Stadium
Capacity
32312
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Thomas Kirk
Alex James
Emily Carney
John Busby

Lineup

Referee : Thomas Kirk

Starting XI ▼

1
Jakub Stolarczyk
Jakub Stolarczyk Goalkeeper
6.76
21
Ricardo Pereira
Ricardo Pereira Defender
6.85
23
Jannik Vestergaard
Jannik Vestergaard Defender
7.02
24
Jamaal Lascelles
Jamaal Lascelles Defender
6.62
33
Luke Thomas
Luke Thomas Defender
6.79
6
Jordan James
Jordan James Midfielder
7.07
7
Issahaku Fatawu
Issahaku Fatawu Midfielder
6.9
18
Joe Aribo
Joe Aribo Midfielder
6.32
22
Oliver Skipp
Oliver Skipp Midfielder
6.63
29
Divine Mukasa
Divine Mukasa Midfielder
7.07
20
Patson Daka
Patson Daka Attacker
6.71
Referee : Thomas Kirk

Starting XI ▼

1
Ivor Pandur
Ivor Pandur Goalkeeper
6.9
2
Lewie Coyle
Lewie Coyle Defender
6.78
3
Ryan Giles
Ryan Giles Defender
6.72
6
Semi Ajayi
Semi Ajayi Defender
6.74
15
John Egan
John Egan Defender
6.87
7
Liam Millar
Liam Millar Midfielder
6.78
10
Mohamed Belloumi
Mohamed Belloumi Midfielder
6.88
20
Amir Hadziahmetovic
Amir Hadziahmetovic Midfielder
6.73
21
Joe Gelhardt
Joe Gelhardt Midfielder
7.01
25
Matt Crooks
Matt Crooks Midfielder
6.89
9
Oliver McBurnie
Oliver McBurnie Attacker
7.08

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Hull City holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Hull City a 3.8-point edge. External projection is Leicester City 46.7%, draw 25.9%, and Hull City 27.4%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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