Lechia Gdańsk vs Raków Częstochowa Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Energa Gdańsk Sat, 25 Apr - 3:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdańsk LGD
Versus
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 3:30 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Lechia Gdańsk host Raków Częstochowa in Ekstraklasa (Regular Season) at Stadion Energa Gdańsk. Domestically, Lechia Gdańsk sit 9th in the table while Raków Częstochowa are 6th. Power ranking favours Lechia Gdańsk by 4.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lechia Gdańsk possesses a 4.4-point power advantage over Raków Częstochowa, with home venue support at Stadion Energa Gdańsk.
  • Form: Lechia's form score stands at 25.33, outperforming Raków's 21.22.
  • Squad: Squad strength aligns with Lechia's higher power score of 28.51 versus Raków's 24.1.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance unavailable as xG data absent with low confidence and proxy used.
  • xVariable: xG variables inaccessible due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Projection split: Lechia Gdańsk 36.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.4% (Δ+0%) | Raków Częstochowa 36.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Lechia Gdańsk J. Carver
J. Carver
VS
Raków Częstochowa ?. Tomczyk
?. Tomczyk
1.65
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.61
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Piast Gliwice Rank: D
Wisła Płock Rank: L
Korona Kielce Rank: W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: W
Katowice Rank: L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cracovia Kraków Rank: W
Motor Lublin Rank: D
Widzew Lodz Rank: D
Legia Warszawa Rank: D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: L
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lechia Gdańsk
36.83%
Draw
26.35%
Away Raków Częstochowa
36.83%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.51
24.1
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lechia Gdańsk
Raków Częstochowa
Power Score
28.51
24.1
League Position
9
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lechia Gdańsk — Opponent-weighted form score
Raków Częstochowa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lechia Gdańsk Raków Częstochowa

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lechia Gdańsk LGD Home
11 matches
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa Away
Match Record
2
Wins
9
0
Draws
0
9
Losses
2
Goals
9
Goals Scored
26
26
Goals Conceded
9
-17
Goal Difference
+17
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:07:35+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Energa Gdańsk
Capacity
41984
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

29
Bogdan Sarnavskiy
Bogdan Sarnavskiy Goalkeeper
18
Alexander Noah Paulsen
Alexander Noah Paulsen Goalkeeper
1
Szymon Weirauch
Szymon Weirauch Goalkeeper
44
Michał Kaczorowski
Michał Kaczorowski Goalkeeper
80
Matej Rodin
Matej Rodin Defender
23
Milosz Kalahur
Milosz Kalahur Defender
27
Matúš Vojtko
Matúš Vojtko Defender
16
Alvis Jaunzems
Alvis Jaunzems Defender
15
Maxim Dyachuk
Maxim Dyachuk Defender
4
Bujar Pllana
Bujar Pllana Defender
33
Tomasz Wójtowicz
Tomasz Wójtowicz Defender
2
Bartłomiej Kłudka
Bartłomiej Kłudka Defender
76
Indrit Mavraj
Indrit Mavraj Defender
10
Rifet Kapič
Rifet Kapič Midfielder
5
Ivan Zhelizko
Ivan Zhelizko Midfielder
7
Bogdan V'Yunnik
Bogdan V'Yunnik Midfielder
99
Tomasz Neugebauer
Tomasz Neugebauer Midfielder
17
Anton Tsarenko
Anton Tsarenko Midfielder
90
Dawid Kurminowski
Dawid Kurminowski Attacker
89
Tomáš Bobček
Tomáš Bobček Attacker
11
Camilo Andrés Mena Márquez
Camilo Andrés Mena Márquez Attacker
8
Aleksandar Ćirković
Aleksandar Ćirković Attacker
79
Kacper Sezonienko
Kacper Sezonienko Attacker
21
Michał Głogowski
Michał Głogowski Attacker
49
Igor Bambecki
Igor Bambecki Attacker

Squad ▼

48
Oliwier Zych
Oliwier Zych Goalkeeper
1
Kacper Trelowski
Kacper Trelowski Goalkeeper
29
Wiktor Żołneczko
Wiktor Żołneczko Goalkeeper
31
Dominik Czeremski
Dominik Czeremski Goalkeeper
27
Paweł Dawidowicz
Paweł Dawidowicz Defender
24
Zoran Arsenić
Zoran Arsenić Defender
4
Efstratios Svarnas
Efstratios Svarnas Defender
25
Bogdan Racovitan
Bogdan Racovitan Defender
2
Ariel Mosór
Ariel Mosór Defender
21
Jerzy Napieraj
Jerzy Napieraj Defender
7
Fran Tudor
Fran Tudor Midfielder
10
Iván López Álvarez
Iván López Álvarez Midfielder
30
Vladyslav Kochergin
Vladyslav Kochergin Midfielder
20
Jean Carlos Silva Rocha
Jean Carlos Silva Rocha Midfielder
26
Erick Ouma Otieno
Erick Ouma Otieno Midfielder
6
Oskar Repka
Oskar Repka Midfielder
5
Marko Bulat
Marko Bulat Midfielder
19
Michael Ameyaw
Michael Ameyaw Midfielder
9
Patryk Makuch
Patryk Makuch Midfielder
23
Karol Struski
Karol Struski Midfielder
8
Tomasz Pieńko
Tomasz Pieńko Midfielder
11
Adriano Luis Amorim Santos
Adriano Luis Amorim Santos Midfielder
35
Mitja Ilenič
Mitja Ilenič Midfielder
44
Bogdan Mirčetić
Bogdan Mirčetić Midfielder
22
Abraham Emmanuel Ojo
Abraham Emmanuel Ojo Midfielder
18
Jonatan Braut Brunes
Jonatan Braut Brunes Attacker
17
Leonardo Miramar Rocha
Leonardo Miramar Rocha Attacker
80
Mohamed Lamine Diaby Fadiga
Mohamed Lamine Diaby Fadiga Attacker
39
Isak Brusberg
Isak Brusberg Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Lechia Gdańsk holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Lechia Gdańsk a 4.4-point edge. External projection is Lechia Gdańsk 36.8%, draw 26.4%, and Raków Częstochowa 36.8%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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