Lazio vs Udinese Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Olimpico Mon, 27 Apr - 6:45 PM
Serie A
Lazio LAZ
Versus
Udinese UDI
KICKOFF : Mon, 27 Apr - 6:45 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Lazio host Udinese in Serie A (Regular Season) at Stadio Olimpico. Domestically, Lazio sit 9th in the table while Udinese are 11th. Power ranking favours Lazio by 8 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lazio holds an 8-point power advantage over Udinese, ranked 9th versus 11th in Serie A.
  • Form: Lazio's form score of 40 surpasses Udinese's 24.
  • Squad: Lazio's squad power rates at 32.97, ahead of Udinese's 24.93.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: No specific transition data provided for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats use low-confidence proxies with no xG available for either side.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, limiting variable performance insights.
  • Market: Lazio 48% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.4% (Δ+0%) | Udinese 23.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Lazio M. Sarri
M. Sarri
VS
Udinese K. Runjaic
K. Runjaic
1.44
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.24
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Napoli Rank: W
Fiorentina Rank: L
Parma Rank: D
Bologna Rank: W
AC Milan Rank: W
Sassuolo Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Parma Rank: L
AC Milan Rank: W
Como Rank: D
Genoa Rank: W
Juventus Rank: L
Atalanta Rank: D
21
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
21 - 12 - 10
10
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lazio
48.04%
Draw
28.39%
Away Udinese
23.57%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
32.97
24.93
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lazio
Udinese
Power Score
32.97
24.93
League Position
9
11
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lazio — Opponent-weighted form score
Udinese — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lazio Udinese

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 43 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lazio LAZ Home
43 matches
Udinese UDI Away
Match Record
21
Wins
10
12
Draws
12
10
Losses
21
Goals
70
Goals Scored
48
48
Goals Conceded
70
+22
Goal Difference
-22
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T02:03:12+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
E. Motta
40 E. Motta
E. Hysaj
23 E. Hysaj
M. Fuentes
34 M. Fuentes
A. Romagnoli
13 A. Romagnoli
N. Varela Tavares
17 N. Varela Tavares
T. Bašić
26 T. Bašić
D. Cataldi
32 D. Cataldi
K. Taylor
24 K. Taylor
M. Cancellieri
22 M. Cancellieri
T. Noslin
14 T. Noslin
M. Zaccagni
10 M. Zaccagni
M. Okoye
40 M. Okoye
O. Solet Bomawoko
28 O. Solet Bomawoko
C. Kabasele
27 C. Kabasele
T. Kristensen
31 T. Kristensen
H. Kamara
11 H. Kamara
L. Miller
38 L. Miller
J. Piotrowski
24 J. Piotrowski
K. Ehizibue
19 K. Ehizibue
A. Atta
14 A. Atta
J. Ekkelenkamp
32 J. Ekkelenkamp
N. Zaniolo
10 N. Zaniolo

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 27, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Olimpico
Capacity
72698
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

40
Edoardo Motta
Edoardo Motta Goalkeeper
6.9
10
Mattia Zaccagni
Mattia Zaccagni Attacker
6.99
14
Tijjani Noslin
Tijjani Noslin Centre Forward
6.8
22
Matteo Cancellieri
Matteo Cancellieri Attacker
6.91
23
Elseid Hysaj
Elseid Hysaj Right Back
6.35
24
Kenneth Taylor
Kenneth Taylor Central Midfield
6.97
13
Alessio Romagnoli
Alessio Romagnoli Left Back
6.89
17
Nuno Tavares
Nuno Tavares Left Back
6.86
26
Toma Bašić
Toma Bašić Central Midfield
7.03
32
Danilo Cataldi
Danilo Cataldi Central Midfield
6.92
34
Mario Gila
Mario Gila Right Back
6.98

Starting XI ▼

40
Maduka Okoye
Maduka Okoye Goalkeeper
6.77
11
Hassane Kamara
Hassane Kamara Midfielder
6.75
14
Arthur Atta
Arthur Atta Midfielder
6.93
19
Kingsley Ehizibue
Kingsley Ehizibue Midfielder
6.49
32
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp Midfielder
6.91
10
Nicolò Zaniolo
Nicolò Zaniolo Centre Forward
6.92
24
Jakub Piotrowski
Jakub Piotrowski Central Midfield
6.73
27
Christian Kabasele
Christian Kabasele Centre Back
6.85
28
Oumar Solet
Oumar Solet Left Back
7.08
38
Lennon Miller
Lennon Miller Central Midfield
6.65
31
Thomas Kristensen
Thomas Kristensen Right Back
6.9

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Lazio holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Lazio a 8-point edge. External projection is Lazio 48%, draw 28.4%, and Udinese 23.6%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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