Lausanne Sport vs Young Boys Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stade de la Tuilière (Lausanne) Sun, 15 Mar - 1:00 PM
Super League
Lausanne Sport LAU
0 Winner 2
Young Boys YBO
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 1:00 PM
|
Goal
Alvyn Sanches - 43', 55'
Karim Sow 48' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Lausanne Sport 0–1 Young Boys. The result saw Young Boys take the points. Young Boys showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 45%–55%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Young Boys showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
G. Maire
G. Maire
1st Assistant 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.75
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.35
M. Sbrissa
M. Sbrissa
2nd Assistant 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.75
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.35
L. Cibelli
L. Cibelli
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.75
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.35
L. Berchier
L. Berchier
4th Official 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.75
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.35
Lausanne Sport P. Zeidler
P. Zeidler
VS
Young Boys G. Seoane
G. Seoane
1.37
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.29
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Thun Rank: 65 L
St. Gallen Rank: 63 D
Winterthur Rank: 45 L
Grasshopper Rank: 52 D
Young Boys Rank: 62 W
Servette Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grasshopper Rank: 52 D
Zürich Rank: 53 W
Thun Rank: 65 L
Lausanne Sport Rank: 60 L
Lugano Rank: 64 L
Grasshopper Rank: 52 L
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 7 - 23
23

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lausanne Sport
41.35%
Draw
24.75%
Away Young Boys
33.9%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
57.57
62.2
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lausanne Sport
Young Boys
Power Score
57.57
62.2
League Position
8
6
Global Rank
529
390

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Lausanne Sport Opponent-weighted form score
Young Boys Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lausanne Sport Young Boys

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Lausanne Sport

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Young Boys

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lausanne Sport ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Young Boys
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.67
25.36
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.36
36.67
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lausanne Sport +1.07 Efficiency Index
vs
Young Boys -1.07 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lausanne Sport
Young Boys
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lausanne Sport ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Young Boys
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lausanne Sport Young Boys
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lausanne Sport Young Boys
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Lausanne Sport
Young Boys
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lausanne Sport LAU Home
17 matches
Young Boys YBO Away
Match Record
4
Wins
10
3
Draws
3
10
Losses
4
Goals
27
Goals Scored
37
37
Goals Conceded
27
-10
Goal Difference
+10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:57:11+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-1-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
K. Letica
Croatia
25 K. Letica
B. Soppy
France
2 B. Soppy
K. Mouanga
France
14 K. Mouanga
A. Sow
Switzerland
71 A. Sow
M. Poaty
France
18 M. Poaty
N. Beloko
Substitution
Switzerland
16 N. Beloko
O. Custodio Da Costa
Switzerland
10 (C) O. Custodio Da Costa
G. Diakité
Substitution
70 G. Diakité
B. Lekweiry
Substitution
Mauritania
27 B. Lekweiry
S. Traore
Substitution
Ivory Coast
17 S. Traore
O. Janneh Susso
Substitution
Spain
78 O. Janneh Susso
M. Keller
Switzerland
1 M. Keller
L. Benito
Switzerland
23 (C) L. Benito
S. Lauper
Switzerland
30 S. Lauper
G. Wüthrich
Switzerland
5 G. Wüthrich
Y. Valery
Substitution
Tunisia
22 Y. Valery
A. Gigovic
Sweden
37 A. Gigovic
D. Pech
Substitution
Czech Republic
13 D. Pech
J. Monteiro
Substitution
Portugal
77 J. Monteiro
A. Antonio Sanches
Switzerland
10 A. Antonio Sanches
A. Virginius
Substitution
France
7 A. Virginius
S. Essende
Substitution
France
99 S. Essende

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 15, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stadium
Stade de la Tuilière (Lausanne)
Capacity
12500
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Guillaume Maire
Matthias Sbrissa
Luca Cibelli
Logan Berchier

Statistics

Possession
LAU
45%
YBO
55%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
0 Big Chances Created 3
5 Shots 2
70 Dangerous attacks 79
45 Possession 55
4 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

17 Successful Dribbles 9
5 Goal Kicks 7
20 Throwins 15
81 Successful Dribbles Percentage 64
21 Dribble Attempts 14
0 Assists 2
76 Ball Safe 96
5 Substitutions 5
0 Injuries 1
5 Goal Attempts 5
1 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

97 Attacks 115
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

445 Passes 560
82 Successful Passes Percentage 85
367 Successful Passes 478
27 Successful Long Passes 50
49 Long Passes 78
55 Successful Long Passes Percentage 64
11 Key Passes 10

Defensive

13 Tackles 27
19 Interceptions 18
2 Saves 3

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 10
1 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Luca Cibelli

Starting XI

25
Karlo Letica
Karlo Letica Goalkeeper
6.55
2
Brandon Soppy
Brandon Soppy Defender
7.26
14
Kévin Mouanga
Kévin Mouanga Defender
7.57
18
Morgan Poaty
Morgan Poaty Defender
6.7
71
Karim Sow
Karim Sow Defender
5.88
10
Olivier Custodio
Olivier Custodio (C) Midfielder
7.23
16
Nicky Beloko
Nicky Beloko Midfielder
6.5
38
Gabriel Sigua
Gabriel Sigua
Midfielder61'
6.97
27
Beyatt Lekoueiry
Beyatt Lekoueiry Midfielder
6.03
93
Sékou Fofana
Sékou Fofana
Defender54'
6.48
70
Gaoussou Diakité
Gaoussou Diakité Midfielder
6.89
22
Enzo Kana-Biyik
Enzo Kana-Biyik
Attacker82'
6.67
17
Seydou Traoré
Seydou Traoré Attacker
6.4
9
Theo Bair
Theo Bair
Attacker54'
6.43
78
Omar Janneh
Omar Janneh Attacker
6.76
91
Florent Mollet
Florent Mollet
Midfielder61'
6.82
Referee : Luca Cibelli

Starting XI

1
Marvin Keller
Marvin Keller Goalkeeper
7.15
5
Gregory Wüthrich
Gregory Wüthrich Defender
7.35
22
Yan Valery
Yan Valery Defender
7.39
17
Saidy Janko
Saidy Janko
Defender87'
23
Loris Benito
Loris Benito (C) Defender
7.28
30
Sandro Lauper
Sandro Lauper Defender
7.94
7
Alan Virginius
Alan Virginius Midfielder
6.86
11
Ebrima Colley
Ebrima Colley
Attacker75'
7.08
10
Alvyn Sanches
Alvyn Sanches Midfielder
2
8.43
13
Dominik Pech
Dominik Pech Midfielder
7.3
45
Rayan Raveloson
Rayan Raveloson
Midfielder87'
6.81
37
Armin Gigovic
Armin Gigovic Midfielder
7.19
77
Joël Monteiro
Joël Monteiro Midfielder
6.95
39
Darian Males
Darian Males
Midfielder64'
6.76
99
Samuel Essende
Samuel Essende Attacker
6.64
29
Chris Bedia
Chris Bedia
Attacker75'
6.25

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Rayan Raveloson Dominik Pech
10th Substitution
87'
Event
Saidy Janko Yan Valery
9th Substitution
Event
Enzo Kana-Biyik Gaoussou Diakité
8th Substitution
82'
75'
Event
Ebrima Colley Alan Virginius
7th Substitution
75'
Event
Chris Bedia Samuel Essende
6th Substitution
64'
Event
Darian Males Joël Monteiro
5th Substitution
Event
Florent Mollet Omar Janneh
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Gabriel Sigua Nicky Beloko
4th Substitution
61'
55'
Event
Alvyn Sanches
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Sékou Fofana Beyatt Lekoueiry
2nd Substitution
54'
Event
Theo Bair Seydou Traoré
1st Substitution
54'
53'
Event
Alvyn Sanches
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Karim Sow
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
48'
1ST-HALF
43'
Event
Alvyn Sanches
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
30'
Event
Joël Monteiro
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Young Boys exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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