Kudrivka vs Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Obolon' Arena Sun, 12 Apr - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Kudrivka Kudrivka
1 Winner 2
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 10:00 AM
Round 23 Regular Season
Andriy Storchous - 81'
Goal
|
Goal
Carlos Paraco - 33'
Yaroslav Shevchenko - 89'

CONTEXT

The match between Kudrivka and Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih is finished, ending with a full-time score of 1-2 to the visitors. Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih secured the win in a result that showed significant deviation in their favor compared to pre-match expectations, where they held only a modest edge. The away team, identified as the stronger side beforehand, converted their opportunities effectively while the hosts could not capitalize on their territorial share. Kudrivka held 57 percent possession to Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih’s 43 percent and led the territorial battle, yet they trailed 0-1 at half-time and ultimately fell short. No red cards were shown, and the efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations across both halves. With no xG data available, it is clear the home side’s extra ball dominance failed to produce enough quality chances. The outcome aligned with the pre-match projection, as the stronger team prevailed. This victory for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih confirmed the anticipated direction of the result despite the narrow pre-game balance and the home team’s higher possession totals.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
T. Klymenko
T. Klymenko
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.49
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.57
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
O. Dashko
O. Dashko
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.49
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.57
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
O. Kalyonov
O. Kalyonov
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.49
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.57
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
M. Skrypnyk
M. Skrypnyk
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.49
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.57
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Kudrivka V. Baranov
V. Baranov
VS
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih P. van Leeuwen
P. van Leeuwen
0.79
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.29
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: L
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: L
Veres Rank: D
Karpaty Rank: D
SK Poltava Rank: W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: L
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: D
Zorya Luhansk Rank: W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kudrivka
34.09%
Draw
26.89%
Away Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
39.02%

Movement

Changes since opening
Kudrivka
+33.45%
Draw
+23.17%
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
-56.62%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
16.01
25.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kudrivka
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Power Score
16.01
25.04
League Position
13
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kudrivka — Opponent-weighted form score
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kudrivka Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kudrivka

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kudrivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
12.81
14.07
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
14.07
12.81
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kudrivka -0.13 Efficiency Index
vs
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih +0.13 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kudrivka
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kudrivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kudrivka Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kudrivka Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kudrivka
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kudrivka
vs
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kudrivka Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kudrivka 0.11
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.24
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kudrivka Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kudrivka 0.10
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.02
Kudrivka
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Kudrivka had peak pressure around 74'.
  • Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih started the game with stronger pressure.
Kudrivka Pressure Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Kudrivka reached the top pressure at 74' (31.84).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kudrivka Kudrivka Home
1 matches
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
1
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:01:27+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
I. Karavashenko
Ukraine
44 I. Karavashenko
O. Gusev
Ukraine
30 O. Gusev
M. Serdyuk
Ukraine
17 M. Serdyuk
J. Collahuazo Vaca
Ecuador
55 J. Collahuazo Vaca
A. Machelyuk
Substitution
Ukraine
39 A. Machelyuk
V. Adeoye
23 V. Adeoye
O. Kozak
Substitution
Ukraine
10 O. Kozak
A. Storchous
Ukraine
8 A. Storchous
D. Nagnoynyi
Ukraine
29 D. Nagnoynyi
E. Morozko
Substitution
Ukraine
33 (C) E. Morozko
R. Frimpong Owusu
Substitution
Ghana
24 R. Frimpong Owusu
O. Kemkin
Ukraine
12 O. Kemkin
A. Bekavac
Substitution
Croatia
5 A. Bekavac
J. Jones
Panama
15 J. Jones
V. Volodymyr
Ukraine
4 V. Volodymyr
J. Jurčec
Croatia
2 J. Jurčec
A. Araujo Araque
Venezuela
6 A. Araujo Araque
G. Mendoza Barrios
Venezuela
7 G. Mendoza Barrios
O. Kamenskyi
Substitution
21 O. Kamenskyi
M. Zaderaka
Substitution
Ukraine
94 (C) M. Zaderaka
B. Lin
Substitution
Israel
18 B. Lin
C. Paraco González
Venezuela
9 C. Paraco González

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 23 · Regular Season
Stadium
Obolon' Arena
Capacity
5100
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Taras Klymenko
Oleksandr Dashko
Oleksandr Kalyonov
Maksym Skrypnyk

Statistics

Possession
Kudrivka
58%
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
43%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
5 Shots 4
46 Dangerous attacks 21
57 Possession 43
5 Corners 2
3 Free kicks 4
3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 4
1 Assists 1

Attacking

68 Attacks 54

Discipline

4 Offsides 1
4 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Oleksandr Kalyonov

Starting XI ▼

44
Illia Karavashchenko
Illia Karavashchenko Goalkeeper
5.88
17
Myroslav Serdyuk
Myroslav Serdyuk Defender
6.05
23
Victor Adeoye
Victor Adeoye Defender
30
Oleksiy Gusev
Oleksiy Gusev Defender
6.04
39
Artem Machelyuk
Artem Machelyuk Defender
6.26
74
Maryan Faryna
Maryan Faryna
Defender65'
6.26
55
Jair Collahuazo
Jair Collahuazo Defender
6.05
8
Andriy Storchous
Andriy Storchous Midfielder
6.47
10
Oleksandr Kozak
Oleksandr Kozak Midfielder
6.37
21
Anton Glushchenko
Anton Glushchenko
Midfielder46'
6.48
29
Denys Nagnoynyi
Denys Nagnoynyi Midfielder
6.23
33
Yevgeniy Morozko
Yevgeniy Morozko (C) Midfielder
6.37
20
Denys Svityukha
Denys Svityukha
Midfielder46'
6.37
24
Raymond Owusu
Raymond Owusu Attacker
6.42
77
Artem Liehostaiev
Artem Liehostaiev
Attacker75'
6.46
Referee : Oleksandr Kalyonov

Starting XI ▼

12
Oleksandr Kemkin
Oleksandr Kemkin Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Jan Jurcec
Jan Jurcec Defender
6.26
4
Volodymyr Vilivald
Volodymyr Vilivald Defender
6.25
5
Ante Bekavac
Ante Bekavac Defender
6.49
55
Yvan Dibango
Yvan Dibango
Defender69'
6.26
15
Joseph Jones
Joseph Jones Defender
6.26
6
Andrusw Araujo
Andrusw Araujo Midfielder
6.37
7
Gleiker Mendoza
Gleiker Mendoza Midfielder
6.37
18
Bar Lin
Bar Lin Midfielder
6.37
10
Giovany Herbert
Giovany Herbert
Attacker90+3'
21
Oleksandr Kamenskyi
Oleksandr Kamenskyi Midfielder
6.45
8
Yaroslav Shevchenko
Yaroslav Shevchenko
Midfielder59'
6.57
94
Maksym Zaderaka
Maksym Zaderaka (C) Midfielder
6.5
—
Maksym Zaderaka
69'
9
Carlos Paraco
Carlos Paraco Attacker
6.82

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Giovany Herbert → Bar Lin
9th Substitution
89'
Event
Yaroslav Shevchenko
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Denys Nagnoynyi
6th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Oleksiy Gusev
5th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Andriy Storchous
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
81'
Event
Oleg Pushkaryov → Denys Svityukha
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Artem Liehostaiev → Raymond Owusu
7th Substitution
75'
Event
7th Yellowcard
73'
69'
Event
Yvan Dibango → Ante Bekavac
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Volodymyr Mulyk → Maksym Zaderaka
6th Substitution
66'
Event
Ante Bekavac
4th Yellowcard
Event
Maryan Faryna → Artem Machelyuk
4th Substitution
65'
62'
Event
Volodymyr Vilivald
3rd Yellowcard
59'
Event
Yaroslav Shevchenko → Oleksandr Kamenskyi
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Oleksandr Kamenskyi
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Denys Svityukha → Yevgeniy Morozko
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Anton Glushchenko → Oleksandr Kozak
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Raymond Owusu
1st Yellowcard
40'
33'
Event
Carlos Paraco
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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