Korona Kielce vs Katowice Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Exbud Arena Sat, 25 Apr - 12:45 PM
Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
Versus
Katowice Katowice
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 12:45 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Korona Kielce host Katowice in Ekstraklasa (Regular Season) at Exbud Arena. Domestically, Korona Kielce sit 12th in the table while Katowice are 7th. Power ranking favours Katowice by 11.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Katowice hold an 11.9-point power advantage over Korona Kielce.
  • Form: Katowice's form score of 26.44 significantly exceeds Korona Kielce's 14.22.
  • Squad: Katowice's squad power rated at 31.51 tops Korona Kielce's 19.59.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG.
  • xVariable: xG data absent for both Korona Kielce and Katowice.
  • Market: Korona Kielce 42.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.4% (Δ+0%) | Katowice 30.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Korona Kielce J. Zielinski
J. Zielinski
VS
Katowice R. Górak
R. Górak
1.06
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.88
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Górnik Zabrze Rank: L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: D
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: L
Arka Gdynia Rank: W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: L
Nieciecza Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Motor Lublin Rank: W
Lech Poznań Rank: D
Wisła Płock Rank: W
Cracovia Kraków Rank: L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: L
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Korona Kielce
42.94%
Draw
26.37%
Away Katowice
30.69%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.59
31.51
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Korona Kielce
Katowice
Power Score
19.59
31.51
League Position
12
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Korona Kielce — Opponent-weighted form score
Katowice — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Korona Kielce Katowice

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce Home
3 matches
Katowice Katowice Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
2
Goals
4
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
4
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:03:37+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
X. Dziekonski
1 X. Dziekonski
S. Rubežić
23 S. Rubežić
P. Resta Tell
5 P. Resta Tell
M. Pieczek
6 M. Pieczek
W. Długosz
71 W. Długosz
M. Remacle
8 M. Remacle
T. Svetlin
88 T. Svetlin
K. Matuszewski
3 K. Matuszewski
S. Davidović
9 S. Davidović
M. Stępiński
14 M. Stępiński
D. Błanik
7 D. Błanik
D. Kudła
1 D. Kudła
L. Klemenz
6 L. Klemenz
A. Jędrych
2 A. Jędrych
M. Wdowiak
70 M. Wdowiak
M. Wasielewski
23 M. Wasielewski
D. Rasak
26 D. Rasak
S. Milewski
22 S. Milewski
E. Jirka
97 E. Jirka
B. Nowak
27 B. Nowak
I. Shkurin
80 I. Shkurin
E. Marković
15 E. Marković

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 12:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Exbud Arena
Capacity
5000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Xavier Dziekonski
Xavier Dziekonski Goalkeeper
6.94
3
Konrad Matuszewski
Konrad Matuszewski Midfielder
6.95
71
Wiktor Dlugosz
Wiktor Dlugosz Midfielder
6.91
7
Dawid Blanik
Dawid Blanik Attacker
7.22
14
Mariusz Stepinski
Mariusz Stepinski Centre Forward
6.94
9
Stjepan Davidovic
Stjepan Davidovic Attacker
6.73
5
Pau Resta
Pau Resta Centre Back
7.1
6
Marcel Pieczek
Marcel Pieczek Left Back
6.84
8
Martin Remacle
Martin Remacle Central Midfield
6.91
23
Slobodan Rubezic
Slobodan Rubezic Right Back
6.74
88
Tamar Svetlin
Tamar Svetlin Central Midfield
6.91

Starting XI ▼

1
Dawid Kudla
Dawid Kudla Goalkeeper
6.71
23
Marcin Wasielewski
Marcin Wasielewski Midfielder
6.94
97
Erik Jirka
Erik Jirka Midfielder
6.99
80
Ilya Shkurin
Ilya Shkurin Centre Forward
6.53
15
Eman Markovic
Eman Markovic Attacker
6.83
27
Bartosz Nowak
Bartosz Nowak Attacker
7.47
6
Lukas Klemenz
Lukas Klemenz Left Back
7.04
22
Sebastian Milewski
Sebastian Milewski Central Midfield
6.79
2
Arkadiusz Jedrych
Arkadiusz Jedrych Centre Back
7.01
26
Damian Rasak
Damian Rasak Central Midfield
6.75
70
Mateusz Wdowiak
Mateusz Wdowiak Right Back
6.62

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Katowice holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Katowice a 11.9-point edge. External projection is Korona Kielce 42.9%, draw 26.4%, and Katowice 30.7%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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