Konyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu Sun, 12 Apr - 11:30 AM
Super Lig
Konyaspor KON
3 Winner 0
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük
Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 11:30 AM
Round 29 Regular Season
Blaz Kramer - 21'
Jackson Muleka - 28'
Diogo Gonçalves - 90+1'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between Konyaspor and Fatih Karagümrük is finished, ending with a full-time score of 3-0 to the home side. Konyaspor led 2-0 at halftime and maintained control after the break to complete a convincing victory, with no red cards shown to either team. Pre-match assessments gave Konyaspor a 51.6 percent share of expected outcomes compared to 21.5 percent for the visitors. The result marked a significant deviation in favor of Konyaspor, who produced a stronger performance than anticipated. Possession ended slightly against them at 46 percent to 54 percent, yet this imbalance had no bearing on the final result. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations, and the outcome aligned with the pre-match projection for a home win. Without available xG data, the margin of victory underscored Konyaspor’s clinical edge on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Konyaspor showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Çavuş
S. Çavuş
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.42
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.7
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
A. Akarsu
A. Akarsu
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.42
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.7
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
K. Ersoy
K. Ersoy
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.42
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.7
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
O. Aksu
O. Aksu
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.42
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.7
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
Konyaspor İ. Palut
İ. Palut
VS
Fatih Karagümrük A. Stanojević
A. Stanojević
0.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.85
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Samsunspor Rank: D
Gençlerbirliği Rank: W
Kocaelispor Rank: W
Kasımpaşa Rank: D
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: L
Galatasaray Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rizespor Rank: W
Kayserispor Rank: L
Fenerbahçe Rank: W
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: D
Trabzonspor Rank: L
Samsunspor Rank: D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 4 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Konyaspor
51.6%
Draw
26.95%
Away Fatih Karagümrük
21.46%

Movement

Changes since opening
Konyaspor
-46.24%
Draw
+25.03%
Fatih Karagümrük
+21.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.79
21.64
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Konyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Power Score
24.79
21.64
League Position
9
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Konyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Fatih Karagümrük — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Konyaspor Fatih Karagümrük

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Konyaspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Fatih Karagümrük

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Konyaspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fatih Karagümrük
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.87
26.11
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.11
25.87
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Konyaspor -0.03 Efficiency Index
vs
Fatih Karagümrük +0.03 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Konyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Konyaspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fatih Karagümrük
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Konyaspor Fatih Karagümrük
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Konyaspor Fatih Karagümrük
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Konyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Konyaspor
vs
Fatih Karagümrük
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Konyaspor Fatih Karagümrük
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Konyaspor 0.26
Fatih Karagümrük 0.18
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Konyaspor Fatih Karagümrük
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Konyaspor 0.00
Fatih Karagümrük 0.08
Konyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KON had peak pressure around 97'.
  • Fatih Karagümrük started the game with stronger pressure.
KON Pressure Fatih Karagümrük Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: KON reached the top pressure at 97' (54.67).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Konyaspor KON Home
9 matches
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
4
Draws
4
3
Losses
2
Goals
17
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
17
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:02:28+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
B. Güngördü
Turkey
13 B. Güngördü
J. Jo
Substitution
South Korea
21 J. Jo
U. Yazğılı
Turkey
5 U. Yazğılı
A. Demirbağ
Turkey
4 A. Demirbağ
B. Kutlu
Turkey
18 B. Kutlu
M. Jevtović
Serbia
16 M. Jevtović
M. Ibrahimoglu
Substitution
Austria
77 M. Ibrahimoglu
K. Olaigbe
Substitution
Belgium
70 K. Olaigbe
E. Bardhi
Substitution
Macedonia
10 E. Bardhi
J. Muleka
Substitution
DR Congo
40 J. Muleka
B. Kramer
Slovenia
99 B. Kramer
I. Grbić
Croatia
13 I. Grbić
Ç. Kurukalıp
Turkey
33 Ç. Kurukalıp
I. Lichnovsky Osorio
Chile
3 I. Lichnovsky Osorio
D. Biraschi
Italy
4 D. Biraschi
R. Sousa Esgaio
Portugal
47 R. Sousa Esgaio
W. Shavy
Substitution
Gabon
80 W. Shavy
B. Elmaz
Turkey
6 B. Elmaz
B. Özcan
Turkey
8 B. Özcan
D. Verde
Substitution
Italy
10 D. Verde
S. Da Luiz Junior
Substitution
Brazil
70 S. Da Luiz Junior
S. Larsson
Sweden
23 S. Larsson

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu
Capacity
42000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Samet Çavuş
Alper Akarsu
Kerem Ersoy
Oğuzhan Aksu

Statistics

Possession
KON
47%
Fatih Karagümrük
53%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 4
10 Shots 11
38 Dangerous attacks 62
46 Possession 54
3 Corners 4
8 Free kicks 16
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

8 Successful Headers 8
3 Assists 0
11 Dribble Attempts 21
98 Ball Safe 71
5 Successful Dribbles 11
22 Throwins 29
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 52
5 Goal Kicks 4
5 Substitutions 3
9 Goal Attempts 7
2 Injuries 0

Attacking

75 Attacks 117
2 Big Chances Missed 4

Possession

18 Successful Long Passes 20
389 Passes 453
53 Long Passes 44
34 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45
80 Successful Passes Percentage 80
313 Successful Passes 362
8 Key Passes 5

Defensive

14 Interceptions 10
3 Saves 4
18 Tackles 10

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 15
2 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

16 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Oğuzhan Aksu

Starting XI ▼

13
Bahadır Güngördü
Bahadır Güngördü Goalkeeper
4
Adil Demirbağ
Adil Demirbağ Defender
5
Uğurcan Yazğılı
Uğurcan Yazğılı Defender
18
Berkan Kutlu
Berkan Kutlu Defender
21
Jin-ho Jo
Jin-ho Jo Defender
20
Riechedly Bazoer
Riechedly Bazoer
Defender61'
10
Enis Bardhi
Enis Bardhi Midfielder
32
Sander Svendsen
Sander Svendsen
Midfielder81'
16
Marko Jevtovic
Marko Jevtovic Midfielder
40
Jackson Muleka
Jackson Muleka Midfielder
42
Morten Bjørlo
Morten Bjørlo
Midfielder71'
70
Kazeem Olaigbe
Kazeem Olaigbe Midfielder
7
Tunahan Taşçı
Tunahan Taşçı
Attacker71'
77
Melih İbrahimoğlu
Melih İbrahimoğlu Midfielder
17
Diogo Gonçalves
Diogo Gonçalves
Midfielder81'
99
Blaz Kramer
Blaz Kramer Attacker
Referee : Oğuzhan Aksu

Starting XI ▼

13
Ivo Grbic
Ivo Grbic Goalkeeper
3
Igor Lichnovsky
Igor Lichnovsky Defender
4
Davide Biraschi
Davide Biraschi Defender
33
Çağtay Kurukalıp
Çağtay Kurukalıp Defender
47
Ricardo Esgaio
Ricardo Esgaio Defender
6
Bartuğ Elmaz
Bartuğ Elmaz Midfielder
8
Berkay Özcan
Berkay Özcan Midfielder
10
Daniele Verde
Daniele Verde Midfielder
72
Barış Kalaycı
Barış Kalaycı
Attacker76'
80
Shavy Babicka
Shavy Babicka Midfielder
88
Ahmed Traore
Ahmed Traore
Attacker77'
23
Sam Larsson
Sam Larsson Attacker
70
Serginho
Serginho Attacker
21
Tiago Çukur
Tiago Çukur
Attacker67'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Diogo Gonçalves
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+1'
86'
Event
Igor Lichnovsky
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Diogo Gonçalves → Melih İbrahimoğlu
7th Substitution
81'
Event
Sander Svendsen → Enis Bardhi
8th Substitution
81'
77'
Event
Ahmed Traore → Shavy Babicka
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Barış Kalaycı → Daniele Verde
5th Substitution
Event
Tunahan Taşçı → Kazeem Olaigbe
4th Substitution
71'
Event
Morten Bjørlo → Jackson Muleka
3rd Substitution
71'
67'
Event
Tiago Çukur → Serginho
2nd Substitution
Event
Riechedly Bazoer → Jin-ho Jo
1st Substitution
61'
1ST-HALF
Event
Melih İbrahimoğlu
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
38'
Event
Jackson Muleka
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
28'
Event
Blaz Kramer
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
21'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Konyaspor exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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