KFUM vs Start Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
KFUM Arena Sun, 15 Mar - 4:00 PM
Eliteserien
KFUM KFUM
2 Winner 0
Start Start
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 4:00 PM
Teodor Berg Haltvik - 58'
Rasmus Eggen Vinge - 72'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. KFUM 2–0 Start. The result saw KFUM take the points. KFUM showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 60%–40%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: KFUM showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
C. Moen
C. Moen
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.6
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.3
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.4
KFUM J. Moesgaard
J. Moesgaard
VS
Start A. Karadas
A. Karadas
0.78
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sandefjord Rank: 62 L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 82 L
Brann Rank: 69 D
Haugesund Rank: 42 L
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 60 L
Kristiansund Rank: 54 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home KFUM
49.31%
Draw
27.56%
Away Start
23.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
57.89
46.3
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
KFUM
Start
Power Score
57.89
46.3
League Position
4
14
Global Rank
519
761

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
KFUM Opponent-weighted form score
Start Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) KFUM Start

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

KFUM

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Start

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

KFUM ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Start
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.25
17.75
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
17.75
31.25
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
KFUM +1.40 Efficiency Index
vs
Start -1.40 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
KFUM
Start
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

KFUM ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Start
Created Set-piece attacking threat
KFUM Start
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
KFUM Start
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
KFUM
Start
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

KFUM KFUM Home
0 matches
Start Start Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T02:33:51+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
K. Bąkowski
Poland
12 K. Bąkowski
D. Schneider
Norway
2 D. Schneider
F. Berglie
Norway
5 F. Berglie
E. Franke Saunes
Norway
19 E. Franke Saunes
S. Sjøkvist
Norway
21 S. Sjøkvist
T. Sørås
Substitution
Norway
27 T. Sørås
S. Hestnes
Norway
8 (C) S. Hestnes
H. Hoseth
Substitution
Norway
14 H. Hoseth
R. Eggen Vinge
Substitution
Norway
18 R. Eggen Vinge
T. Haltvik
Substitution
Norway
17 T. Haltvik
M. Vinjor
Substitution
Norway
9 M. Vinjor
J. Larsen
Denmark
1 J. Larsen
K. Tønnessen
Norway
19 K. Tønnessen
J. Norheim
Norway
6 J. Norheim
E. Reitan
Norway
29 E. Reitan
T. Strannegard
Substitution
Sweden
16 T. Strannegard
E. Schulze
Norway
11 (C) E. Schulze
S. Mvoue
Substitution
Cameroon
10 S. Mvoue
E. Segberg
Substitution
Norway
23 E. Segberg
M. Ugland
Norway
18 M. Ugland
J. Cornelius
Substitution
17 J. Cornelius
H. Lorentzen
Norway
20 H. Lorentzen

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 15, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Stadium
KFUM Arena
Capacity
1500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Christian Moen

Statistics

Possession
KFUM
58%
Start
42%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 0
7 Shots 2
55 Dangerous attacks 42
60 Possession 40
4 Corners 2
13 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

2 Assists 0
22 Throwins 32
62 Ball Safe 62
12 Dribble Attempts 17
8 Goal Attempts 4
6 Successful Dribbles 5
5 Substitutions 4
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29
6 Goal Kicks 8
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

109 Attacks 88

Possession

76 Long Passes 86
508 Passes 336
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40
78 Successful Passes Percentage 67
30 Successful Long Passes 34
394 Successful Passes 226
9 Key Passes 1

Defensive

24 Tackles 9
9 Interceptions 9
2 Saves 4

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 12
6 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

9 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Christian Moen

Starting XI

12
Krzysztof Bakowski
Krzysztof Bakowski Goalkeeper
7.23
2
Daniel Schneider
Daniel Schneider Defender
7.35
5
Fredrik Berglie
Fredrik Berglie Defender
7.05
19
Eirik Saunes
Eirik Saunes Defender
7.86
8
Simen Hestnes
Simen Hestnes (C) Midfielder
7.12
14
Håkon Helland Hoseth
Håkon Helland Hoseth Midfielder
6.68
16
Jonas Lange Hjorth
Jonas Lange Hjorth
Defender67'
6.6
21
S. Sjøkvist
S. Sjøkvist Midfielder
7.8
27
T. Sørås
T. Sørås Midfielder
7.27
7
Robin Rasch
Robin Rasch
Midfielder80'
6.42
9
Martin Tangen Vinjor
Martin Tangen Vinjor Attacker
7.51
22
Bjørn Martin Kristensen
Bjørn Martin Kristensen
Attacker80'
6.5
17
Teodor Berg Haltvik
Teodor Berg Haltvik Attacker
7.62
23
Magnus Wolff Eikrem
Magnus Wolff Eikrem
Midfielder80'
6.41
18
Rasmus Eggen Vinge
Rasmus Eggen Vinge Attacker
7.5
28
Magnus Grødem
Magnus Grødem
Attacker87'
Referee : Christian Moen

Starting XI

1
J. Pryts
J. Pryts Goalkeeper
6.68
6
John Norheim
John Norheim Defender
6.39
19
Kristoffer Tønnessen
Kristoffer Tønnessen Defender
6.57
29
Erlend Dahl Reitan
Erlend Dahl Reitan Defender
6.35
10
S. Mvoué
S. Mvoué Midfielder
6.86
14
Markus Soomets
Markus Soomets
Midfielder45'
6.45
11
E. Schulze
E. Schulze (C) Midfielder
6.67
16
T. Strannegård
T. Strannegård Midfielder
6.22
12
D. Dasjajev
D. Dasjajev
Defender70'
5.85
18
M. Ugland
M. Ugland Midfielder
6.89
23
Erlend Segberg
Erlend Segberg Midfielder
6.12
30
L. Gausdal
L. Gausdal
Midfielder70'
6.33
17
J. Cornelius
J. Cornelius Attacker
5.92
15
M. Nordal
M. Nordal
Attacker86'
20
H. Lorentzen
H. Lorentzen Attacker
7.07

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Magnus Grødem Rasmus Eggen Vinge
9th Substitution
87'
86'
Event
M. Nordal J. Cornelius
8th Substitution
Event
Robin Rasch T. Sørås
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Magnus Wolff Eikrem Teodor Berg Haltvik
5th Substitution
80'
Event
Bjørn Martin Kristensen Martin Tangen Vinjor
6th Substitution
80'
Event
Rasmus Eggen Vinge
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
72'
70'
Event
D. Dasjajev T. Strannegård
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
L. Gausdal Erlend Segberg
4th Substitution
Event
Jonas Lange Hjorth Håkon Helland Hoseth
2nd Substitution
67'
Event
Teodor Berg Haltvik
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
58'
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Markus Soomets S. Mvoué
1st Substitution
44'
Event
S. Mvoué
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Rasmus Eggen Vinge
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
5'
2'
Event
John Norheim
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: KFUM exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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