Karpaty vs Kudrivka Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Ukrajina Sun, 8 Mar - 1:30 PM
Premier League
Karpaty Karpaty
1 – 1
Kudrivka Kudrivka
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 1:30 PM
Yan Kostenko - 6'
Goal
|
Goal
Oleksandr Kozak - 66'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Karpaty 1–1 Kudrivka. The match ended in a draw. Kudrivka showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 42%–58%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kudrivka showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Tsybulko
E. Tsybulko
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Zaytsev
A. Zaytsev
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Karpaty F. Fernández Díaz
F. Fernández Díaz
VS
Kudrivka V. Baranov
V. Baranov
1.14
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.86
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: L
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: L
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: L
Zorya Luhansk Rank: L
Veres Rank: D
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
SK Poltava Rank: W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: D
Oleksandria Rank: D
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: L
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: L
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Karpaty
61.2%
Draw
23.68%
Away Kudrivka
15.12%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
35.09
36.99
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Karpaty
Kudrivka
Power Score
35.09
36.99
League Position
11
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Karpaty — Opponent-weighted form score
Kudrivka — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Karpaty Kudrivka

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Karpaty

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kudrivka

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Karpaty ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kudrivka
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.43
14.74
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
14.74
26.43
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Karpaty +1.18 Efficiency Index
vs
Kudrivka -1.18 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Karpaty
Kudrivka
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Karpaty ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kudrivka
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Karpaty Kudrivka
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Karpaty Kudrivka
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Karpaty
Kudrivka
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Karpaty Karpaty Home
1 matches
Kudrivka Kudrivka Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
2
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:06:11+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadium
Stadion Ukrajina
Capacity
28051
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Evgen Tsybulko
Andrii Zaytsev

Statistics

Possession
Karpaty
48%
Kudrivka
52%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
2 Shots 1
62 Dangerous attacks 71
42 Possession 58
2 Corners 8
9 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

1 Assists 1
6 Goal Kicks 7
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

109 Attacks 108

Defensive

0 Saves 1

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 11

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
3rd Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Stênio
4th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
6th Yellowcard
90+4'
90+3'
Event
Oleg Pushkaryov → Oleksandr Kozak
10th Substitution
Event
7th Substitution
87'
Event
Paulo Vitor → Baboucarr Faal
9th Substitution
87'
87'
Event
8th Substitution
83'
Event
5th Yellowcard
75'
Event
Artur Dumanyuk → Denys Nagnoynyi
6th Substitution
Event
Ambrosiy Chachua → Edson Fernando
4th Substitution
70'
Event
Artur Shakh → Bruninho
5th Substitution
70'
66'
Event
Oleksandr Kozak
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Stênio → Xeber Alkain
3rd Substitution
62'
54'
Event
Maryan Faryna
2nd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Raymond Owusu → Alban Taipi
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Anton Glushchenko → Oleksandr Belyaev
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Denys Nagnoynyi
1st Yellowcard
Event
Yan Kostenko
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
6'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Kudrivka exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Premier League View all league clusters