Kalmar vs IFK Göteborg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Guldfågeln Arena Thu, 23 Apr - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Kalmar KAL
Versus
IFK Göteborg GOT
KICKOFF : Thu, 23 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 4 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Kalmar host IFK Göteborg in Allsvenskan (Regular Season) at Guldfågeln Arena. Domestically, Kalmar sit 15th in the table while IFK Göteborg are 14th. Power ranking favours Kalmar by 8.6 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Kalmar enters as the stronger team with an 8.6-point power advantage over IFK Göteborg.
  • Form: IFK Göteborg holds a slight form edge at 1.22 compared to Kalmar's 0.
  • Squad: Kalmar sits 15th while IFK Göteborg occupies 14th in the Allsvenskan table.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Power scores favor Kalmar at home with 27.78 versus 19.21 for the visitors.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics unavailable due to low confidence and proxy data usage.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, preventing analysis of expected goals performance.
  • Market: Kalmar 31.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29% (Δ+0%) | IFK Göteborg 39.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Kalmar T. Koskela
T. Koskela
VS
IFK Göteborg S. Billborn
S. Billborn
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
AIK Rank: L
Djurgården Rank: L
Västerås SK Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Halmstad Rank: D
Häcken Rank: L
Elfsborg Rank: L
Norrköping Rank: W
Djurgården Rank: D
Halmstad Rank: W
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 11 - 16
16
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kalmar
31.18%
Draw
29.01%
Away IFK Göteborg
39.81%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
27.78
19.21
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kalmar
IFK Göteborg
Power Score
27.78
19.21
League Position
15
14
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kalmar — Opponent-weighted form score
IFK Göteborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kalmar IFK Göteborg

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 40 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kalmar KAL Home
40 matches
IFK Göteborg GOT Away
Match Record
13
Wins
16
11
Draws
11
16
Losses
13
Goals
44
Goals Scored
56
56
Goals Conceded
44
-12
Goal Difference
+12
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T01:07:12+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Kindberg
30 J. Kindberg
R. Jansson
4 R. Jansson
L. Sætra
39 L. Sætra
A. Dari
20 A. Dari
V. Larsson
2 V. Larsson
V. Tyren
6 V. Tyren
N. Chourak
7 N. Chourak
R. Gojani
23 R. Gojani
M. Söderbäck
10 M. Söderbäck
C. Rosenquist
13 C. Rosenquist
C. Sagoe Junior
24 C. Sagoe Junior
E. Bishesari
25 E. Bishesari
A. Jallow
17 A. Jallow
A. Erlingmark
3 A. Erlingmark
R. Yeboah
4 R. Yeboah
F. Eriksson
18 F. Eriksson
D. Kjær Kruse
15 D. Kjær Kruse
F. Ottosson
16 F. Ottosson
K. Thordarson
23 K. Thordarson
T. Heintz
14 T. Heintz
M. Fenger
9 M. Fenger
S. Alioum Moubarak
11 S. Alioum Moubarak

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 23, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
Guldfågeln Arena
Capacity
12500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

30
J. Kindberg
J. Kindberg Goalkeeper
6.89
10
Marius Söderbäck
Marius Söderbäck Midfielder
6.54
6
V. Tyren
V. Tyren Midfielder
6.8
13
C. Rosenquist
C. Rosenquist Attacker
6.69
24
Charles Sagoe Jr
Charles Sagoe Jr Attacker
6.6
23
R. Gojani
R. Gojani Central Midfield
7.17
4
R. Jansson
R. Jansson Right Back
6.68
39
L. Sætra
L. Sætra Right Back
6.42
20
Achraf Dari
Achraf Dari Left Back
6.87
2
Victor Larsson
Victor Larsson Left Back
6.54
7
N. Chourak
N. Chourak Central Midfield
6.86

Starting XI ▼

25
Elis Bishesari
Elis Bishesari Goalkeeper
6.68
11
Saidou Alioum Moubarak
Saidou Alioum Moubarak Attacker
7.14
14
Tobias Heintz
Tobias Heintz Attacker
7.62
9
Max Fenger
Max Fenger Centre Forward
6.66
18
Felix Eriksson
Felix Eriksson Right Back
6.51
16
Filip Ottosson
Filip Ottosson Central Midfield
6.88
23
Kolbeinn Thórdarson
Kolbeinn Thórdarson Central Midfield
6.55
3
August Erlingmark
August Erlingmark Left Back
7.14
4
Rockson Yeboah
Rockson Yeboah Right Back
6.64
15
David Kruse
David Kruse Central Midfield
6.89
17
Alexander Jallow
Alexander Jallow Left Back
6.67

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Kalmar holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Kalmar a 8.6-point edge. External projection is Kalmar 31.9%, draw 28%, and IFK Göteborg 40%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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