Kalmar vs Elfsborg Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden

Guldfågeln Arena Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM

Allsvenskan

Kalmar KAL

Elfsborg ELF

KICKOFF : Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM

Round 5 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Kalmar host Elfsborg in Allsvenskan (Regular Season) at Guldfågeln Arena. Domestically, Kalmar sit 15th in the table while Elfsborg are 3th. Power ranking favours Elfsborg by 16 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

Structural: Elfsborg enjoy a commanding 16-point power advantage over Kalmar.
Form: Elfsborg's form score stands at 20.33, vastly superior to Kalmar's 0.92.
Squad: Elfsborg's squad power rates at 22.34 versus Kalmar's 6.3.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this fixture.
Transition: Transition play data not provided in current analysis.
Set pieces: Set piece performance relies on low-confidence proxy data with no xG available.
xVariable: xG variables unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
Market: Kalmar 34.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.8% (Δ+0%) | Elfsborg 38.4% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

T. Koskela

B. Hamberg

0.25

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.33

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

11 - 12 - 17

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Kalmar

34.79%

Draw

26.81%

Elfsborg

38.41%

Team Power Ranking

6.3

22.34

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Kalmar

Elfsborg

Power Score

6.3

22.34

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Kalmar — Opponent-weighted form score

Elfsborg — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kalmar Elfsborg

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 40 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kalmar KAL Home

40 matches

Elfsborg ELF Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-19

Goal Difference

+19

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T02:02:34+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 27, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition

2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 5 · Regular Season

Stadium

Guldfågeln Arena

Capacity

12500

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

T. Koskela Coach

Squad ▼

Samuel Brolin Goalkeeper

Jakob Kindberg Goalkeeper

Casper Andersson Goalkeeper

Lars Sætra Defender

Sivert Øverby Defender

Achraf Dari Defender

Aboubacar Keita Defender

Victor Larsson Defender

Rony Jansson Defender

Love Zakarias Råvik Defender

Melker Hallberg Midfielder

Robert Gojani Midfielder

Abdussalam Magashy Midfielder

Carl Gustafsson Midfielder

Marius Söderbäck Midfielder

Nassef Chourak Midfielder

—

Wilmer Andersson Midfielder

William Andersson Midfielder

Vilmer Tyren Midfielder

Anthony Olusanya Attacker

Malcolm Peter Oscar Stolt Attacker

Chukwuemeka Paul Nnamani Attacker

Charles Sagoe Junior Attacker

Abdi Mohamed Sabriye Attacker

Ville Nilsson Attacker

Charlie Rosenquist Attacker

Manager ▼

B. Hamberg Coach

Squad ▼

Tim Erlandsson Goalkeeper

Isak Pettersson Goalkeeper

Simon Hedlund Defender

Niklas Hult Defender

Sebastian Holmén Defender

Thomas Poppler-Isherwood Defender

Rasmus Wikström Defender

Ibrahim Buhari Defender

Ludvig Richtnér Defender

Rufai Mohammed Defender

Frode Aronsson Defender

Simon Olsson Midfielder

Júlíus Magnússon Midfielder

Julius Beck Midfielder

Altti Hellemaa Midfielder

—

Momoh Ibrahim Kamara Midfielder

Victor Ozor Okeke Midfielder

Arbër Zeneli Attacker

Per Frick Attacker

Taylor Silverholt Attacker

Linnéa Östman Attacker

Ari Sigurpálsson Attacker

Frederik Ihler Attacker

Dion Krasniqi Attacker

Gottfrid Rapp Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Elfsborg holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Elfsborg a 16-point edge. External projection is Kalmar 34.8%, draw 26.8%, and Elfsborg 38.4%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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