Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Aldo Drosina Tomorrow - 6:15 PM
1. HNL
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
Versus
Dinamo Zagreb GNK
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 6:15 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 1. HNL regular season clash at Stadion Aldo Drosina, mid-table Istra 1961 host league leaders Dinamo Zagreb. Dinamo enter as overwhelming favorites, boasting a power score of 40.59 against Istra's 22.48, translating to an 18.1-point advantage. Their form score of 37 dwarfs Istra's 15.94, underscoring the gulf in recent performances. Sitting top of the table, Dinamo have dominated proceedings this 2025/2026 campaign, while Istra languish in seventh. With no recent outings detailed, focus shifts to underlying metrics highlighting Dinamo's structural superiority. Set-piece data remains elusive due to absent xG, but Dinamo's overall edge suggests control in transitions and efficiency. Istra will need a heroic defensive stand to counter Dinamo's attacking prowess.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dinamo Zagreb enjoys an 18.1-point power advantage over Istra 1961.
  • Form: Dinamo Zagreb's form score stands at 37, far ahead of Istra 1961's 15.94.
  • Squad: League-leading Dinamo Zagreb fields a superior squad to seventh-placed Istra 1961.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Dinamo Zagreb's higher power score indicates stronger transition play.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data unavailable; low-confidence proxies used for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Baseline split: Istra 1961 9.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 16.8% (Δ+0%) | Dinamo Zagreb 74.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Istra 1961 O. Riera Magem
O. Riera Magem
VS
Dinamo Zagreb M. Kovačević
M. Kovačević
1.2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.4
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vukovar Rank: L
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: L
Hajduk Split Rank: L
Varaždin Rank: W
Rijeka Rank: W
Osijek Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rijeka Rank: D
Vukovar Rank: W
Osijek Rank: W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: W
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: W
Hajduk Split Rank: W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 10 - 49
49
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Istra 1961
9.1%
Draw
16.82%
Away Dinamo Zagreb
74.08%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.48
40.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
Power Score
22.48
40.59
League Position
7
1
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Istra 1961 — Opponent-weighted form score
Dinamo Zagreb — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Istra 1961 Dinamo Zagreb

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 64 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Istra 1961 Istra 1961 Home
64 matches
Dinamo Zagreb GNK Away
Match Record
5
Wins
49
10
Draws
10
49
Losses
5
Goals
33
Goals Scored
146
146
Goals Conceded
33
-113
Goal Difference
+113
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T00:07:38+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
F. Kolić
1 F. Kolić
A. Kadušić
97 A. Kadušić
F. Taraba
24 F. Taraba
R. Kumar
38 R. Kumar
M. Heister
26 M. Heister
J. Radošević
5 J. Radošević
L. Štulac
23 L. Štulac
E. Frederiksen
17 E. Frederiksen
A. Mauric
8 A. Mauric
V. Rozić
7 V. Rozić
S. Prevljak
9 S. Prevljak
D. Livaković
40 D. Livaković
B. Goda
3 B. Goda
S. McKenna
26 S. McKenna
S. Domínguez Viloria
36 S. Domínguez Viloria
N. Galesic
15 N. Galesic
M. Zajc
8 M. Zajc
J. Mišić
27 J. Mišić
L. Stojković
7 L. Stojković
G. Vidović
10 G. Vidović
D. Dijon
9 D. Dijon
M. Bakrar
71 M. Bakrar

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 22, 2026, 06:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Aldo Drosina
Capacity
9800
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ante Terzić

Expected Lineup

Referee : Ante Terzić

Starting XI ▼

1
Franko Kolic
Franko Kolic Goalkeeper
6.91
9
Smail Prevljak
Smail Prevljak Centre Forward
6.9
38
Raul Kumar
Raul Kumar Left Back
6.72
17
Emil Frederiksen
Emil Frederiksen Right Wing
6.96
5
Josip Radosevic
Josip Radosevic Defensive Midfield
6.87
23
Leo Stulac
Leo Stulac Defensive Midfield
6.78
26
Marcel Heister
Marcel Heister Left Back
6.71
7
Vinko Rozic
Vinko Rozic Left Wing
6.63
8
Antonio Mauric
Antonio Mauric Attacking Midfield
6.81
24
Filip Taraba
Filip Taraba Right Back
6.52
97
Advan Kadusic
Advan Kadusic Right Back
6.8
Referee : Ante Terzić

Starting XI ▼

40
Dominik Livakovic
Dominik Livakovic Goalkeeper
6.67
10
Gabriel Vidovic
Gabriel Vidovic Attacker
7.01
9
Dion Beljo
Dion Beljo Centre Forward
7.51
71
Monsef Bakrar
Monsef Bakrar Attacker
6.89
3
Bruno Goda
Bruno Goda Left Back
6.78
7
Luka Stojkovic
Luka Stojkovic Central Midfield
7.23
8
Miha Zajc
Miha Zajc Central Midfield
7.54
26
Scott McKenna
Scott McKenna Left Back
7.12
15
Niko Galesic
Niko Galesic Right Back
6.81
27
Josip Misic
Josip Misic Central Midfield
7.21
36
Sergi Domínguez
Sergi Domínguez Right Back
7.08

CONCLUSION

Dinamo Zagreb arrive at Stadion Aldo Drosina poised for a routine victory over Istra 1961, leveraging their top-table position, superior form, and commanding power edge. Istra's home advantage offers scant hope against a side scoring 37 in form metrics to their 15.94. Expect Dinamo to dictate tempo, exploiting transitions while Istra defends deep. Absent detailed set-piece or efficiency insights, the baseline metrics paint a clear picture of dominance. A professional away win seems inevitable in this 1. HNL encounter.

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