Ipswich Town vs Middlesbrough Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Championship, England
Championship
Middlesbrough
MID
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Ipswich Town and Middlesbrough played out an entertaining 2-2 draw at Portman Road, with the score level at 1-1 at half-time. Ipswich, deemed the stronger team, controlled 53% of possession against Middlesbrough's 47%, yet both sides demonstrated clinical finishing to share the spoils. The match remained competitive throughout, with no red cards issued and no notable second-half tactical adjustments. Pre-match market probabilities strongly anticipated a draw at 91.4%, assigning Ipswich just 5% and Middlesbrough 3.6% chances of victory. This result exhibited a moderate 8.6% structural deviation linked to Ipswich Town, though it stayed aligned with overall market expectations. Efficiency metrics showed no notable shift. The absence of xG data limits deeper chance quality analysis.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Moderate 8.6% deviation attributed to Ipswich Town.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations.
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xG alignment: xG data unavailable for outcome alignment assessment.
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Market alignment: Result aligned with pre-match market probabilities.
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xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable due to missing data.
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Event impact: No significant events altered match dynamics.
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Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, avoiding any distortion.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Ipswich Town
Middlesbrough
Movement
Changes since opening
Ipswich Town
Middlesbrough
Team Power Ranking
i
31.68
21.56
Ipswich Town
Middlesbrough
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Ipswich Town
Middlesbrough
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Ipswich Town
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Ipswich Town
⚠ Proxy
Ipswich Town
Middlesbrough
Ipswich Town
Middlesbrough
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Ipswich Town
Ipswich Town
Middlesbrough
Ipswich Town
Middlesbrough
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- IPS had peak pressure around 39'.
- IPS started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 25 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:01:49+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Ipswich Town
vs
Charlton Athletic
League: Championship
Kickoff: Wed, 22 Apr - 6:45 PM
Venue: The Valley
Middlesbrough
vs
Sheffield Wednesday
League: Championship
Kickoff: Wed, 22 Apr - 6:45 PM
Venue: Riverside Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
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Match Commentary