IFK Göteborg vs Häcken Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Gamla Ullevi Sat, 11 Apr - 1:00 PM
Allsvenskan
IFK Göteborg GOT
0 Winner 2
Häcken HAC
Full Time Sat, 11 Apr 1:00 PM
Round 2 Regular Season
|
Goal
G. Lindgren - 17'
Mikkel Rygaard - 84'
Rockson Yeboah 89' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

The match between IFK Göteborg and Häcken is finished, ending with a full-time score of 0-1 to the visitors. Häcken took the lead in the first half and held on despite limited territorial control, as the sides went into the interval at 0-1. Pre-match projections had been closely balanced, listing IFK Göteborg at 34.3 percent, the draw at 29.5 percent and Häcken at 36.2 percent. The away victory therefore counts as a significant deviation in favor of Häcken, especially as IFK Göteborg entered as the stronger team. The outcome ultimately aligned with the pre-match projection while the efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations. IFK Göteborg dominated possession at 68 percent to 32 percent, yet no expected goals data is available to measure their chance quality. The decisive event was a home red card that created second-half distortion, limiting the hosts' ability to convert their territorial advantage and allowing the visitors to protect their narrow lead.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Häcken showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Sars
J. Sars
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.59
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
S. Kristensson
S. Kristensson
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.59
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
N. Nyberg
N. Nyberg
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.59
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
G. Maqedonci
G. Maqedonci
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.59
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
IFK Göteborg S. Billborn
S. Billborn
VS
Häcken J. Gustafsson
J. Gustafsson
1.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.8
1.4 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elfsborg Rank: L
Norrköping Rank: W
Djurgården Rank: D
Halmstad Rank: W
Mjällby Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.8 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brommapojkarna Rank: D
Mjällby Rank: L
Malmö FF Rank: D
AIK Rank: D
Sirius Rank: D
16
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
16 - 11 - 11
11

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home IFK Göteborg
34.25%
Draw
29.54%
Away Häcken
36.22%

Movement

Changes since opening
IFK Göteborg
+34.05%
Draw
+27.62%
Häcken
-61.67%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.36
16.68
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
IFK Göteborg
Häcken
Power Score
20.36
16.68
League Position
15
2
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
IFK Göteborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Häcken — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) IFK Göteborg Häcken

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

IFK Göteborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Häcken

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

IFK Göteborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Häcken
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.32
41.56
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
41.56
31.32
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
IFK Göteborg -1.09 Efficiency Index
vs
Häcken +1.09 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
IFK Göteborg
Häcken
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

IFK Göteborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Häcken
Created Set-piece attacking threat
IFK Göteborg Häcken
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
IFK Göteborg Häcken
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
IFK Göteborg
Häcken
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
IFK Göteborg
vs
Häcken
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
IFK Göteborg Häcken
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
IFK Göteborg 0.41
Häcken 0.46
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
IFK Göteborg Häcken
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
IFK Göteborg 0.08
Häcken 0.00
IFK Göteborg
Häcken
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GOT had peak pressure around 52'.
  • GOT started the game with stronger pressure.
GOT Pressure HAC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GOT reached the top pressure at 52' (85.71).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 38 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

IFK Göteborg GOT Home
38 matches
Häcken HAC Away
Match Record
16
Wins
11
11
Draws
11
11
Losses
16
Goals
66
Goals Scored
60
60
Goals Conceded
66
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-12T00:05:02+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
E. Bishesari
Sweden
25 E. Bishesari
F. Eriksson
Sweden
18 F. Eriksson
R. Yeboah
Ghana
4 R. Yeboah
A. Erlingmark
Sweden
3 A. Erlingmark
A. Jallow
Sweden
17 A. Jallow
D. Kjær Kruse
Denmark
15 D. Kjær Kruse
F. Ottosson
Sweden
16 F. Ottosson
S. Alioum Moubarak
Substitution
Cameroon
11 S. Alioum Moubarak
K. Thordarson
Iceland
23 K. Thordarson
T. Heintz
Norway
14 T. Heintz
A. Bergmark-Wiberg
Substitution
Sweden
29 A. Bergmark-Wiberg
A. Linde
Substitution
Sweden
1 A. Linde
A. Lundqvist
Sweden
21 A. Lundqvist
F. Helander
Sweden
22 F. Helander
J. Hammar
Sweden
3 J. Hammar
B. Wembangomo
Norway
5 B. Wembangomo
J. Lindberg
Sweden
11 J. Lindberg
S. Andersen
Denmark
8 S. Andersen
A. Doumbia
Ivory Coast
6 A. Doumbia
A. Layouni
Tunisia
24 A. Layouni
G. Lindgren
Substitution
Sweden
9 G. Lindgren
A. Svanbäck
Substitution
Sweden
20 A. Svanbäck

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 11, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Gamla Ullevi
Capacity
18416
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Joakim Sars
Simon Kristensson
Niklas Nyberg
Granit Maqedonci

Statistics

Possession
GOT
63%
HAC
37%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 2
19 Shots 12
46 Dangerous attacks 26
68 Possession 32
9 Corners 3
18 Free kicks 8
3 Yellow Cards 6
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67
20 Throwins 16
11 Dribble Attempts 15
4 Goal Kicks 12
19 Ball Safe 17
0 Assists 2
5 Successful Dribbles 10
1 Penalties 0
2 Substitutions 3
2 Goal Attempts 2
1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

111 Attacks 61
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

590 Passes 271
32 Long Passes 50
31 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32
516 Successful Passes 206
87 Successful Passes Percentage 76
10 Successful Long Passes 16
8 Key Passes 7

Defensive

14 Tackles 16
8 Interceptions 13
5 Saves 7

Build-up

34 Total Crosses 15
7 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

8 Fouls 19
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Joakim Sars

Starting XI ▼

25
Elis Bishesari
Elis Bishesari Goalkeeper
3
August Erlingmark
August Erlingmark Defender
4
Rockson Yeboah
Rockson Yeboah Defender
17
Alexander Jallow
Alexander Jallow Defender
18
Felix Eriksson
Felix Eriksson Defender
11
Saidou Alioum Moubarak
Saidou Alioum Moubarak Midfielder
9
Max Fenger
Max Fenger
Attacker67'
14
Tobias Heintz
Tobias Heintz Midfielder
15
David Kruse
David Kruse Midfielder
16
Filip Ottosson
Filip Ottosson Midfielder
23
Kolbeinn Thórdarson
Kolbeinn Thórdarson Midfielder
29
Adam Bergmark-Wiberg
Adam Bergmark-Wiberg Attacker
7
Sebastian Clemmensen
Sebastian Clemmensen
Attacker87'
Referee : Joakim Sars

Starting XI ▼

1
Andreas Linde
Andreas Linde Goalkeeper
35
David Andersson
David Andersson
Goalkeeper46'
3
Johan Hammar
Johan Hammar Defender
5
Brice Wembangomo
Brice Wembangomo Defender
21
Adam Lundkvist
Adam Lundkvist Defender
22
Filip Helander
Filip Helander Defender
6
Abdoulaye Doumbia
Abdoulaye Doumbia Midfielder
8
Silas Andersen
Silas Andersen Midfielder
11
Julius Lindberg
Julius Lindberg Midfielder
24
Amor Layouni
Amor Layouni Midfielder
9
G. Lindgren
G. Lindgren Attacker
10
Mikkel Rygaard
Mikkel Rygaard
Midfielder63'
20
Adrian Svanbäck
Adrian Svanbäck Attacker
7
Sanders Ngabo
Sanders Ngabo
Midfielder81'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Julius Lindberg
Foul / 9th Yellowcard
Event
Rockson Yeboah
Foul / 1st Redcard
89'
Event
Sebastian Clemmensen → Adam Bergmark-Wiberg
5th Substitution
87'
84'
Event
Mikkel Rygaard
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
84'
Event
Mikkel Rygaard
8th Yellowcard
81'
Event
Sanders Ngabo → Adrian Svanbäck
4th Substitution
Event
Adam Bergmark-Wiberg
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
79'
79'
Event
Silas Andersen
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Max Fenger
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
75'
Event
Max Fenger → Saidou Alioum Moubarak
3rd Substitution
67'
63'
Event
Mikkel Rygaard → G. Lindgren
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Jens Gustafsson
Argument / 11th Yellowcard
Event
Saidou Alioum Moubarak
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
56'
46'
Event
David Andersson → Andreas Linde
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Abdoulaye Doumbia
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
40'
Event
10th Yellowcard
Event
Tobias Heintz
OffTarget
25'
23'
Event
Filip Helander
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
17'
Event
G. Lindgren
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
2'
Event
Adam Lundkvist
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Häcken exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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