Hull City vs Coventry City Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
MKM Stadium Mon, 6 Apr - 7:00 PM
Championship
Hull City HUL
0 – 0
Coventry City CVC
Full Time Mon, 6 Apr 7:00 PM
Round 41 Regular Season

CONTEXT

The match between Hull City and Coventry City has finished, with the final whistle confirming a 0-0 draw. The teams were deadlocked at half-time with a scoreless tie, and neither side managed to find a breakthrough during the second half. Coventry City entered the fixture as the stronger team, boasting a 50.1% pre-match market probability of taking the win, compared to Hull City's 23.9% chance and a 26% likelihood of a draw. Because the match ended in a stalemate, the outcome did not align with the pre-match market. This result represents a significant deviation for Coventry City, who ultimately fell short of the market's high expectations. On the pitch, Coventry City controlled the ball slightly more, finishing with 55% possession to Hull City's 45%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, so it remains unconfirmed if the draw was consistent with the overall quality of chances created. However, the overall efficiency shift for both squads remained in line with general expectations. Finally, the match was completed without any major disciplinary events, as neither side received a red card.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Coventry City showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Webb
D. Webb
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.96
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
M. Smith
M. Smith
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.96
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
G. Kane
G. Kane
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.96
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
A. Backhouse
A. Backhouse
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.96
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
Hull City S. Jakirović
S. Jakirović
VS
Coventry City F. Lampard
F. Lampard
1.77
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.06
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Oxford United Rank: 64 D
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: 53 W
West Bromwich Albion Rank: 63 L
Wrexham Rank: 74 W
Millwall Rank: 74 L
Ipswich Town Rank: 77 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Derby County Rank: 70 W
Swansea City Rank: 68 W
Southampton Rank: 73 L
Preston North End Rank: 66 W
Bristol City Rank: 69 W
Stoke City Rank: 68 W
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 6 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hull City
23.86%
Draw
26%
Away Coventry City
50.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.02
77.52
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hull City
Coventry City
Power Score
71.02
77.52
League Position
5
1
Global Rank
167
77

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hull City — Opponent-weighted form score
Coventry City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hull City Coventry City

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Hull City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Coventry City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Hull City ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Coventry City
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.89
14.36
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
14.36
34.89
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Hull City +1.99 Efficiency Index
vs
Coventry City -1.99 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Hull City
Coventry City
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Hull City ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Coventry City
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Hull City Coventry City
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Hull City Coventry City
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Hull City
Coventry City
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Hull City
vs
Coventry City
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Hull City Coventry City
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Hull City 0.24
Coventry City 0.16
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Hull City Coventry City
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Hull City 0.00
Coventry City 0.00
Hull City
Coventry City
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hull City HUL Home
19 matches
Coventry City CVC Away
Match Record
7
Wins
6
6
Draws
6
6
Losses
7
Goals
19
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
19
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-07T00:05:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
I. Pandur
Croatia
1 I. Pandur
C. Drameh
England
18 C. Drameh
O. Ibidapo Ajayi
Nigeria
6 O. Ibidapo Ajayi
J. Egan
Republic of Ireland
15 J. Egan
L. Coyle
England
2 L. Coyle
T. Collyer
Substitution
England
33 T. Collyer
A. Hadžiahmetović
Bosnia and Herzegovina
20 A. Hadžiahmetović
J. Gelhardt
Substitution
England
21 J. Gelhardt
M. Crooks
Substitution
England
25 M. Crooks
L. Millar
Substitution
Canada
7 L. Millar
O. McBurnie
Scotland
9 O. McBurnie
C. Rushworth
England
19 C. Rushworth
J. Dasilva
England
3 J. Dasilva
L. Kitching
England
15 L. Kitching
J. Latibeaudiere
Jamaica
22 J. Latibeaudiere
M. van Ewijk
Netherlands
27 M. van Ewijk
O. Frank
Nigeria
16 O. Frank
M. Grimes
England
6 M. Grimes
E. Mason-Clark
England
10 E. Mason-Clark
V. Torp Overgaard
Substitution
Denmark
29 V. Torp Overgaard
T. Sakamoto
Substitution
Japan
7 T. Sakamoto
H. Wright
Substitution
United States
11 H. Wright

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 06, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 41 · Regular Season
Stadium
MKM Stadium
Capacity
25586
Attendance
22507
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
David Webb
Matthew Smith
Graham Kane
Anthony Backhouse

Statistics

Possession
HUL
48%
CVC
52%

Top Statistics

2 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 1
54 Dangerous attacks 38
45 Possession 55
2 Corners 4
12 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

57 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67
15 Throwins 25
7 Goal Kicks 10
14 Dribble Attempts 12
15 Successful Headers 21
8 Successful Dribbles 8
4 Substitutions 3
65 Ball Safe 87
0 Injuries 1
9 Goal Attempts 5

Attacking

100 Attacks 82
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

78 Successful Passes Percentage 83
289 Successful Passes 365
371 Passes 441
75 Long Passes 51
10 Key Passes 4
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39
33 Successful Long Passes 20

Defensive

51 Duels Won 49
1 Saves 4
8 Interceptions 4
17 Tackles 10

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 22
3 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

10 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : David Webb

Starting XI ▼

1
Ivor Pandur
Ivor Pandur Goalkeeper
2
Lewie Coyle
Lewie Coyle Defender
6
Semi Ajayi
Semi Ajayi Defender
15
John Egan
John Egan Defender
18
Cody Drameh
Cody Drameh Defender
7
Liam Millar
Liam Millar Midfielder
10
Mohamed Belloumi
Mohamed Belloumi
Attacker74'
20
Amir Hadziahmetovic
Amir Hadziahmetovic Midfielder
21
Joe Gelhardt
Joe Gelhardt Midfielder
5
John Lundstram
John Lundstram
Midfielder74'
25
Matt Crooks
Matt Crooks Midfielder
22
Kyle Joseph
Kyle Joseph
Attacker83'
33
Toby Collyer
Toby Collyer Midfielder
36
Lewis Koumas
Lewis Koumas
Attacker74'
9
Oliver McBurnie
Oliver McBurnie Attacker
Referee : David Webb

Starting XI ▼

19
Carl Rushworth
Carl Rushworth Goalkeeper
3
Jay Dasilva
Jay Dasilva Defender
15
Liam Kitching
Liam Kitching Defender
22
Joel Latibeaudiere
Joel Latibeaudiere Defender
27
Milan van Ewijk
Milan van Ewijk Defender
6
Matt Grimes
Matt Grimes Midfielder
7
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto Midfielder
24
Jahnoah Markelo
Jahnoah Markelo
Attacker90+1'
10
Ephron Mason-Clark
Ephron Mason-Clark Midfielder
16
Frank Onyeka
Frank Onyeka Midfielder
29
Victor Torp
Victor Torp Midfielder
5
Jack Rudoni
Jack Rudoni
Midfielder64'
11
Haji Wright
Haji Wright Attacker
9
Ellis Simms
Ellis Simms
Attacker64'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Jahnoah Markelo → Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
7th Substitution
Event
Kyle Joseph → Matt Crooks
6th Substitution
83'
Event
Mohamed Belloumi → Liam Millar
3rd Substitution
74'
Event
Lewis Koumas → Toby Collyer
4th Substitution
74'
Event
John Lundstram → Joe Gelhardt
5th Substitution
74'
64'
Event
Jack Rudoni → Victor Torp
1st Substitution
64'
Event
Ellis Simms → Haji Wright
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Matt Grimes
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
61'
Event
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Sergej Jakirović
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
59'
Event
Lewie Coyle
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
53'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The second half ends with Hull City and Coventry City drawing 0-0.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Coventry City: Jahnoah Markelo replaces Tatsuhiro Sakamoto.
90
Corner Corner
Coventry City wins a corner after Cody Drameh concedes.
90
Attempt Attempt
Oliver McBurnie from Hull City had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box but it went wide to the left. Amir Hadziahmetovic provided the assist.
90
Update Update
John Egan of Hull City won a free kick in an attacking position.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Ellis Simms of Coventry City.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
89
Corner Corner
Coventry City wins a corner after it is conceded by Mohamed Belloumi.
89
Update Update
John Lundstram commits a handball for Hull City.
88
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Mohamed Belloumi of Hull City shoots with his left foot from the right side of the box, but Carl Rushworth of Coventry City saves it in the right corner. The assist comes from Oliver McBurnie.
84
Update Update
Frank Onyeka of Coventry City won a free kick in defense.
84
Update Update
Foul committed by Kyle Joseph of Hull City.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hull City: Kyle Joseph replaces Matt Crooks.
83
Update Update
Cody Drameh from Hull City misses a chance, shooting with his left foot from outside the box, sending the ball high and wide to the left. Kyle Joseph provided the assist.
78
Update Update
Foul committed by Matt Crooks for Hull City.
78
Update Update
Ephron Mason-Clark from Coventry City won a free kick in defense.
77
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance for Coventry City. Ellis Simms shoots with his right foot from the right side of the box, but it goes high. The assist was from Jack Rudoni.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hull City: Mohamed Belloumi replaces Liam Millar.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hull City: John Lundstram replaces Joe Gelhardt.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hull City: Lewis Koumas replaces Toby Collyer.
73
Attempt Attempt
Liam Millar's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Cody Drameh.
73
Corner Corner
Hull City wins a corner after Frank Onyeka concedes.
70
Update Update
Matt Crooks of Hull City won a free kick in defense.
70
Update Update
Matt Crooks of Hull City won a free kick in defense.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by Frank Onyeka against Coventry City.
66
Update Update
Jack Rudoni from Coventry City won a free kick on the right wing.
66
Update Update
Foul committed by John Egan - Hull City.
64
Update Update
Toby Collyer from Hull City won a free kick in defense.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Coventry City: Ellis Simms replaces Haji Wright.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Coventry City: Jack Rudoni replaces Victor Torp.
64
Update Update
Toby Collyer from Hull City won a free kick in defense.
62
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Oliver McBurnie from Hull City heads the ball from the center of the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Carl Rushworth from Coventry City. The assist comes from Lewie Coyle's cross.
61
Update Update
Foul committed by Matt Grimes for Coventry City.
61
Update Update
Amir Hadziahmetovic from Hull City won a free kick in the attacking area.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matt Grimes of Coventry City receives a yellow card for a foul.
59
Update Update
Offside called against Hull City. Joe Gelhardt is offside.
55
Attempt Attempt
Joe Gelhardt of Hull City attempts an attack with a header from the center of the box, but his shot is saved by Coventry City goalkeeper Carl Rushworth, who is positioned in the center of the goal.
53
Update Update
Foul committed by Lewie Coyle of Hull City.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lewie Coyle of Hull City receives a yellow card for a foul.
53
Update Update
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto from Coventry City won a free kick on the right wing.
51
Update Update
Foul committed by Jay Dasilva of Coventry City.
51
Update Update
Amir Hadziahmetovic of Hull City won a free kick in defense.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
45
Corner Corner
Coventry City wins a corner after Lewie Coyle concedes.
45
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Matt Grimes from Coventry City had a left-footed shot from outside the box that missed after a corner.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Hull City and Coventry City drawing 0-0.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Toby Collyer of Hull City.
45
Update Update
Ephron Mason-Clark from Coventry City won a free kick on the left wing.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at 0-0 between Hull City and Coventry City.
43
Update Update
Offside called against Coventry City. Haji Wright is offside.
41
Update Update
Offside called against Coventry City. Haji Wright is in an offside position.
41
Update Update
Fouled by Tatsuhiro Sakamoto of Coventry City.
39
Update Update
Amir Hadziahmetovic from Hull City won a free kick in defense.
34
Update Update
Haji Wright from Coventry City misses a chance with a header from the center of the box.
34
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Tatsuhiro Sakamoto from Coventry City.
33
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Victor Torp from Coventry City takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Ivor Pandur from Hull City.
32
Update Update
Offside called against Hull City. Oliver McBurnie is offside.
32
Update Update
Liam Millar from Hull City won a free kick on the left wing.
30
Update Update
Liam Kitching fouled a player from Coventry City.
30
Update Update
Milan van Ewijk fouled a player from Coventry City.
29
Update Update
Amir Hadziahmetovic from Hull City won a free kick in the attacking area.
26
Update Update
Offside called against Hull City. Matt Crooks is offside.
26
Update Update
Oliver McBurnie of Hull City won a free kick in defense.
25
Update Update
Foul committed by Matt Crooks of Hull City.
25
Update Update
Foul committed by Liam Kitching of Coventry City.
24
Update Update
Ephron Mason-Clark of Coventry City won a free kick in an attacking position.
24
Update Update
Frank Onyeka of Coventry City won a free kick on the left wing.
20
Update Update
Foul committed by Jay Dasilva of Coventry City.
20
Update Update
Foul by Toby Collyer of Hull City.
16
Update Update
Amir Hadziahmetovic from Hull City won a free kick on the right wing.
15
Update Update
Oliver McBurnie's header from the center of the box is blocked.
15
Attempt Attempt
John Egan's left-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box is blocked.
15
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Victor Torp from Coventry City shot with his left foot from the left side of the box but missed. Ephron Mason-Clark provided the assist.
14
Update Update
Liam Millar from Hull City won a free kick on the left wing.
14
Update Update
Foul committed by Milan van Ewijk of Coventry City.
12
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Joe Gelhardt from Hull City takes a left-footed shot from outside the box.
11
Corner Corner
Coventry City wins a corner after Cody Drameh concedes it.
10
Update Update
Milan van Ewijk of Coventry City won a free kick in defense.
10
Update Update
Foul committed by Oliver McBurnie for Hull City.
9
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Amir Hadziahmetovic from Hull City takes a right-footed shot from outside the box.
6
Update Update
Joel Latibeaudiere from Coventry City won a free kick in defense.
6
Update Update
Foul committed by Oliver McBurnie of Hull City.
5
Attempt Attempt
Cody Drameh's shot from outside the box is blocked. Joe Gelhardt provided the assist.
5
Attempt Attempt
Cody Drameh from Hull City misses a chance as his right-footed shot from outside the box goes high. Matt Crooks provided the assist.
4
Corner Corner
Hull City wins a corner after Milan van Ewijk concedes.
3
Update Update
Liam Kitching commits a foul against Coventry City.
3
Update Update
Oliver McBurnie from Hull City won a free kick in the attacking area.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Coventry City exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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