Hibernian vs Hearts Prediction, Preview and Stats

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Easter Road Stadium Sun, 26 Apr - 3:30 PM
Premiership
Hibernian HIB
Versus
Hearts Hearts
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 3:30 PM
Round 34 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Hibernian host Hearts in Premiership (2nd Phase) at Easter Road Stadium. Domestically, Hibernian sit 5th in the table while Hearts are 1th. Power ranking favours Hearts by 7.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hearts top the Premiership in 1st place while Hibernian sit 5th.
  • Form: Hearts hold a superior form score of 28.83 over Hibernian's 21.78.
  • Squad: Power scores favor Hearts at 37.19 against Hibernian's 30.14.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not available in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable for attack and defence.
  • Market: Hibernian 34.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.3% (Δ+0%) | Hearts 37.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Hibernian D. Gray
D. Gray
VS
Hearts D. McInnes
D. McInnes
1.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.92
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aberdeen Rank: L
Kilmarnock Rank: W
Motherwell Rank: D
Livingston Rank: D
Dundee Rank: D
Celtic Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Motherwell Rank: W
Livingston Rank: D
Dundee Rank: W
Kilmarnock Rank: L
Aberdeen Rank: W
Falkirk Rank: W
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 20 - 25
25
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hibernian
34.1%
Draw
28.33%
Away Hearts
37.58%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
30.14
37.19
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hibernian
Hearts
Power Score
30.14
37.19
League Position
5
1
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hibernian — Opponent-weighted form score
Hearts — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hibernian Hearts

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 60 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hibernian HIB Home
60 matches
Hearts Hearts Away
Match Record
15
Wins
25
20
Draws
20
25
Losses
15
Goals
52
Goals Scored
74
74
Goals Conceded
52
-22
Goal Difference
+22
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:15:14+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
R. Sallinger
1 R. Sallinger
W. O'Hora
5 W. O'Hora
R. Bushiri
33 R. Bushiri
J. Iredale
15 J. Iredale
F. Passlack
25 F. Passlack
D. Barlaser
22 D. Barlaser
M. Changa Chaiwa
14 M. Changa Chaiwa
J. Obita
21 J. Obita
J. McGrath
17 J. McGrath
O. Elding
47 O. Elding
D. Scarlett
44 D. Scarlett
A. Schwolow
25 A. Schwolow
S. Kingsley
3 S. Kingsley
S. Findlay
19 S. Findlay
C. Halkett
4 C. Halkett
O. McEntee
31 O. McEntee
A. Kiziridis
89 A. Kiziridis
C. Devlin
14 C. Devlin
B. Baningime
6 B. Baningime
B. Spittal
16 B. Spittal
L. Shankland
9 L. Shankland
C. Soares Braga
10 C. Soares Braga

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 34 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Easter Road Stadium
Capacity
20421
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Raphael Sallinger
Raphael Sallinger Goalkeeper
6.98
21
Jordan Obita
Jordan Obita Midfielder
6.75
25
Felix Passlack
Felix Passlack Midfielder
7.05
47
Owen Elding
Owen Elding Attacker
6.99
44
Dane Scarlett
Dane Scarlett Attacker
6.53
14
Miguel Chaiwa
Miguel Chaiwa Central Midfield
6.76
17
Jamie McGrath
Jamie McGrath Attacking Midfield
7.3
5
Warren O'Hora
Warren O'Hora Right Back
6.97
15
Jack Iredale
Jack Iredale Left Back
6.87
33
Rocky Bushiri
Rocky Bushiri Centre Back
6.87
22
Dan Barlaser
Dan Barlaser Central Midfield
6.89

Starting XI ▼

25
Alexander Schwolow
Alexander Schwolow Goalkeeper
6.78
16
Blair Spittal
Blair Spittal Midfielder
6.86
89
Alexandros Kyziridis
Alexandros Kyziridis Midfielder
7.02
9
Lawrence Shankland
Lawrence Shankland Attacker
7.23
10
Cláudio Braga
Cláudio Braga Attacker
7.02
3
Stephen Kingsley
Stephen Kingsley Left Back
6.9
6
Beni Baningime
Beni Baningime Central Midfield
6.7
14
Cammy Devlin
Cammy Devlin Central Midfield
7.24
19
Stuart Findlay
Stuart Findlay Left Back
7.12
31
Oisin McEntee
Oisin McEntee Right Back
6.88
4
Craig Halkett
Craig Halkett Right Back
7.12

CONCLUSION

Hearts arrive at Easter Road as league leaders with clear edges in power, form, and structural standings, positioning them as favorites in this Edinburgh derby. Hibernian, 5th in the table, must harness home atmosphere to bridge the 7.1-point gap and form deficit. Sparse data on efficiency, transitions, and set pieces leaves room for surprises, but Hearts' overall superiority points to a narrow advantage. Expect intensity, rivalry-fueled passion, and a contest where fine margins decide the spoils in the Premiership's 2nd Phase.

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