Heracles Almelo vs FC Volendam Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Asito Stadion Sun, 26 Apr - 12:30 PM
Eredivisie
Heracles Almelo HEA
Versus
FC Volendam VOL
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 12:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Heracles Almelo host FC Volendam in Eredivisie (Regular Season) at Asito Stadion. Domestically, Heracles Almelo sit 18th in the table while FC Volendam are 15th. Power ranking favours FC Volendam by 5.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: FC Volendam enters as the stronger side with a 5.2-point power advantage and higher overall score of 17.05 over Heracles Almelo's 11.82.
  • Form: Volendam boasts a superior form score of 11.17 compared to Heracles' 4.44, indicating better recent momentum.
  • Squad: Heracles sit 18th while Volendam occupy 15th in the Eredivisie standings, reflecting squad depth differences.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team in this matchup.
  • Transition: Power scores suggest Volendam's better transition play potential driven by higher rating.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting advanced variable analysis for attacking and defensive phases.
  • Market: Heracles Almelo 44.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.4% (Δ+0%) | FC Volendam 31% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Heracles Almelo E. Faber
E. Faber
VS
FC Volendam R. Kruijs
R. Kruijs
0.8
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.9
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ajax Rank: L
SC Heerenveen Rank: L
Excelsior Rank: D
AZ Rank: L
FC Utrecht Rank: D
PSV Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Twente Rank: L
Feyenoord Rank: D
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: L
Fortuna Sittard Rank: L
NEC Nijmegen Rank: L
FC Groningen Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 3 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Heracles Almelo
44.53%
Draw
24.44%
Away FC Volendam
31.03%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
11.82
17.05
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Heracles Almelo
FC Volendam
Power Score
11.82
17.05
League Position
18
15
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Heracles Almelo — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Volendam — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Heracles Almelo FC Volendam

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Heracles Almelo HEA Home
5 matches
FC Volendam VOL Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
0
Goals
5
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
5
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-23T01:07:57+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
R. Pasveer
22 R. Pasveer
J. Wieckhoff
3 J. Wieckhoff
D. Mirani
4 D. Mirani
A. Van Hoorenbeeck
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
I. Mesík
24 I. Mesík
T. Bruns
10 T. Bruns
S. Scheperman
32 S. Scheperman
T. van Gilst
17 T. van Gilst
M. Engels
8 M. Engels
N. Ünüvar
9 N. Ünüvar
L. Zeefuik
25 L. Zeefuik
K. van Oevelen
1 K. van Oevelen
Y. Leliendal
32 Y. Leliendal
L. Blondeau
25 L. Blondeau
M. Amevor
3 M. Amevor
P. Ugwu
5 P. Ugwu
G. Yah
8 G. Yah
R. van Cruijsen
40 R. van Cruijsen
J. Ideho
17 J. Ideho
A. Descotte
99 A. Descotte
J. Bacuna
4 J. Bacuna
B. Kuwas
10 B. Kuwas

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Asito Stadion
Capacity
12500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Joris Westhof
Jannick van der Laan
Erik Koopman
Rick Sturm

Expected Lineup

Referee : Jannick van der Laan

Starting XI ▼

22
Remko Pasveer
Remko Pasveer Goalkeeper
6.81
25
Lequincio Zeefuik
Lequincio Zeefuik Centre Forward
6.53
8
Mario Engels
Mario Engels Attacking Midfield
6.43
9
Naci Ünüvar
Naci Ünüvar Left Wing
6.66
10
Thomas Bruns
Thomas Bruns Defensive Midfield
6.47
17
Tristan van Gilst
Tristan van Gilst Right Wing
6.53
18
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck Left Back
6.72
3
Jannes Wieckhoff
Jannes Wieckhoff Right Back
6.34
4
Damon Mirani
Damon Mirani Right Back
6.68
24
Ivan Mesik
Ivan Mesik Left Back
6.54
32
Sem Scheperman
Sem Scheperman Defensive Midfield
6.97
Referee : Jannick van der Laan

Starting XI ▼

1
Kayne van Oevelen
Kayne van Oevelen Goalkeeper
7.17
10
Brandley Kuwas
Brandley Kuwas Centre Forward
6.79
5
Precious Ugwu
Precious Ugwu Right Back
6.47
17
Joel Ideho
Joel Ideho Left Wing
6.64
3
Mawouna Amevor
Mawouna Amevor Right Back
6.78
25
Luca Blondeau
Luca Blondeau Left Back
6.59
4
Juninho Bacuna
Juninho Bacuna Right Wing
6.77
32
Yannick Leliendal
Yannick Leliendal Left Back
6.88
8
Gibson Yah
Gibson Yah Defensive Midfield
6.96
40
Robin van Cruijsen
Robin van Cruijsen Defensive Midfield
6.79
99
Anthony Descotte
Anthony Descotte Attacking Midfield
6.93

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward FC Volendam holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give FC Volendam a 5.2-point edge. External projection is Heracles Almelo 44.5%, draw 25.4%, and FC Volendam 30.1%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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