Shakhtar Donetsk vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Arena L'viv Thu, 30 Apr - 7:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Shakhtar Donetsk SHK
Versus
Crystal Palace CRY
KICKOFF : Thu, 30 Apr - 7:00 PM
Semi Finals Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Shakhtar Donetsk welcomes Crystal Palace to Arena L'viv for the first leg of the Europa Conference League semi-finals, a pivotal clash in the 2025/2026 season. Shakhtar boasts a superior power score of 35.78 against Palace's 31.05, translating to a clear 4.7-point edge that underscores their structural strength in this international cup tie. However, Palace counters with better recent form at 31.83 versus Shakhtar's 27.22, hinting at momentum on their side. League positions reflect Shakhtar at 6th and Palace at 10th, but this knockout stage levels the field as the aggregate stands at 0-0 entering Leg 1 of 2. With limited advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces unavailable due to missing xG data, the focus shifts to raw power and form dynamics. Shakhtar's home advantage in Ukraine could prove decisive, yet Palace's form suggests they can exploit transitions effectively. Expect a tactical battle where Shakhtar's overall quality meets Palace's sharpness.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Shakhtar Donetsk possesses a 4.7-point power advantage over Crystal Palace with scores of 35.78 to 31.05.
  • Form: Crystal Palace leads in form score at 31.83 compared to Shakhtar Donetsk's 27.22.
  • Squad: Shakhtar Donetsk ranks 6th and Crystal Palace 10th in league positions.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable due to lack of detailed tracking data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable with low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG variables not available as add-on is disabled.
  • Market: Projection split: Shakhtar Donetsk 24.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.5% (Δ+0%) | Crystal Palace 47.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Shakhtar Donetsk A. Turan
A. Turan
VS
Crystal Palace O. Glasner
O. Glasner
2.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.8
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
AZ Rank: D
AZ Rank: W
Lech Poznań Rank: L
Lech Poznań Rank: W
Rijeka Rank: D
Hamrun Spartans Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fiorentina Rank: L
Fiorentina Rank: W
AEK Larnaca Rank: W
AEK Larnaca Rank: D
Zrinjski Rank: W
Zrinjski Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Shakhtar Donetsk
24.59%
Draw
27.49%
Away Crystal Palace
47.92%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
35.78
31.05
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
Power Score
35.78
31.05
League Position
6
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Shakhtar Donetsk — Opponent-weighted form score
Crystal Palace — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Shakhtar Donetsk Crystal Palace

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Shakhtar Donetsk SHK Home
0 matches
Crystal Palace CRY Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-23T01:15:54+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 30, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe · Semi Finals · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Arena L'viv
Capacity
34915
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

31
Dmytro Riznyk
Dmytro Riznyk Goalkeeper
23
Kiril Fesiun
Kiril Fesiun Goalkeeper
48
Denys Tvardovskyi
Denys Tvardovskyi Goalkeeper
4
Marlon Santos da Silva Barbosa
Marlon Santos da Silva Barbosa Defender
22
Mykola Matviyenko
Mykola Matviyenko Defender
5
Valerii Bondar
Valerii Bondar Defender
26
Yukhym Konoplia
Yukhym Konoplia Defender
99
Viktor Korniienko
Viktor Korniienko Defender
16
Irakli Azarovi
Irakli Azarovi Defender
18
Alaa Ghram
Alaa Ghram Defender
17
Vinicius Augusto Tobias da Silva
Vinicius Augusto Tobias da Silva Defender
13
Pedro Henrique Azevedo Pereira
Pedro Henrique Azevedo Pereira Defender
46
Danylo Udod
Danylo Udod Defender
—
Roman Savchenko
Roman Savchenko Defender
3
Diego Arroyo
Diego Arroyo Defender
29
Egor Nazaryna
Egor Nazaryna Midfielder
8
Dmytro Kryskiv
Dmytro Kryskiv Midfielder
21
Artem Bondarenko
Artem Bondarenko Midfielder
27
Oleh Ocheretko
Oleh Ocheretko Midfielder
—
Kyrylo Siheiev
Kyrylo Siheiev Midfielder
6
Marlon Gomes Claudino
Marlon Gomes Claudino Midfielder
24
Viktor Tsukanov
Viktor Tsukanov Midfielder
30
Alisson Santana Lopes da Fonseca
Alisson Santana Lopes da Fonseca Midfielder
14
Isaque Severino Silva
Isaque Severino Silva Midfielder
34
Ivan Petryak
Ivan Petryak Attacker
9
Marian Shved
Marian Shved Attacker
10
Pedro Victor Delmino da Silva
Pedro Victor Delmino da Silva Attacker
2
Lassina Traore
Lassina Traore Attacker
7
Eguinaldo de Sousa Lemos
Eguinaldo de Sousa Lemos Attacker
19
Kauã Elias Nogueira
Kauã Elias Nogueira Attacker
11
Newertton Martins da Silva
Newertton Martins da Silva Attacker
68
Prosper Soporuchi Obah
Prosper Soporuchi Obah Attacker
37
Lucas dos Santos Ferreira
Lucas dos Santos Ferreira Attacker
49
Luca Oliveira Meirelles
Luca Oliveira Meirelles Attacker

Squad ▼

31
Remi Matthews
Remi Matthews Goalkeeper
1
Dean Henderson
Dean Henderson Goalkeeper
44
Walter Daniel Benítez
Walter Daniel Benítez Goalkeeper
17
Nathaniel Edwin Clyne
Nathaniel Edwin Clyne Defender
24
Borna Sosa
Borna Sosa Defender
2
Daniel Muñoz Mejía
Daniel Muñoz Mejía Defender
3
Tyrick Mitchell
Tyrick Mitchell Defender
5
Maxence Lacroix
Maxence Lacroix Defender
26
Chris Richards
Chris Richards Defender
34
Chadi Riad
Chadi Riad Defender
58
Caleb Kporha
Caleb Kporha Defender
59
Rio Cardines
Rio Cardines Defender
23
Jaydee Canvot
Jaydee Canvot Defender
19
Will Hughes
Will Hughes Midfielder
8
Jefferson Andrés Lerma Solís
Jefferson Andrés Lerma Solís Midfielder
18
Daichi Kamada
Daichi Kamada Midfielder
28
Cheick Oumar Doucoure
Cheick Oumar Doucoure Midfielder
20
Adam Wharton
Adam Wharton Midfielder
55
Justin Devenny
Justin Devenny Midfielder
42
Kayden Rodney
Kayden Rodney Midfielder
7
Ismaïla Sarr
Ismaïla Sarr Attacker
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
Jean-Philippe Mateta Attacker
22
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Jørgen Strand Larsen Attacker
9
Edward Nketiah
Edward Nketiah Attacker
29
Evann Guessand
Evann Guessand Attacker
10
Yeremi Jesús Pino Santos
Yeremi Jesús Pino Santos Attacker
11
Brennan Johnson
Brennan Johnson Attacker
12
Christantus Ugonna Uche
Christantus Ugonna Uche Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Shakhtar Donetsk holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Shakhtar Donetsk a 4.7-point edge. External projection is Shakhtar Donetsk 24.6%, draw 27.5%, and Crystal Palace 47.9%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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