Heidenheim vs FC Union Berlin Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Bundesliga
FC Union Berlin
FCU
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Heidenheim and FC Union Berlin is finished, ending 3-1 to the home side. Heidenheim led 2-0 at halftime and added a second-half goal to seal the result, while FC Union Berlin managed only a late reply. Pre-match assessments identified FC Union Berlin as the stronger team with the higher chance of victory, yet Heidenheim produced a significant deviation from expectations by taking all three points. The outcome did not align with the pre-match projection. Possession was relatively even, with Heidenheim at 46 percent and FC Union Berlin at 54 percent; no expected goals data was available to assess underlying performance. The efficiency shift was in line with general play, and no red cards were shown to either side. Heidenheim’s clinical finishing ultimately proved the difference in a result that overturned the anticipated balance of the fixture.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Heidenheim showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Heidenheim
FC Union Berlin
Movement
Changes since opening
Heidenheim
FC Union Berlin
Team Power Ranking
i
12.96
21.69
Heidenheim
FC Union Berlin
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Heidenheim
FC Union Berlin
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Heidenheim
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Heidenheim
⚠ Proxy
Heidenheim
FC Union Berlin
Heidenheim
FC Union Berlin
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Heidenheim
Heidenheim
FC Union Berlin
Heidenheim
FC Union Berlin
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- FCU had peak pressure around 54'.
- HDH started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-12T00:05:17+00:00
STARTING XI






















































General Information
Next Match
Heidenheim
vs
SC Freiburg
League: Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sun, 19 Apr - 1:30 PM
Venue: Europa-Park Stadion
FC Union Berlin
vs
VfL Wolfsburg
League: Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sat, 18 Apr - 1:30 PM
Venue: Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼




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Match Commentary