Hartberg vs Blau-Weiß Linz Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
PROfertil ARENA Sun, 8 Mar - 4:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Hartberg HTB
1 – 1
Blau-Weiß Linz BWL
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 4:00 PM
David Riegler - 1' (Own Goal)
Goal
|
Goal
David Bumberger - 11'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Hartberg 0–0 Blau-Weiß Linz. The match ended in a draw. Hartberg showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 52%–48%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Hartberg showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Ristoskov
E. Ristoskov
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Weinberger
J. Weinberger
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Brandner
R. Brandner
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Heidenreich
A. Heidenreich
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Hartberg M. Schmid
M. Schmid
VS
Blau-Weiß Linz M. Köllner
M. Köllner
1.63
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.81
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Salzburg Rank: D
Grazer AK Rank: W
Rheindorf Altach Rank: D
SK Rapid Rank: D
WSG Tirol Rank: W
LASK Linz Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
WSG Tirol Rank: L
Sturm Graz Rank: L
Wolfsberger AC Rank: W
Rheindorf Altach Rank: L
SK Rapid Rank: D
Salzburg Rank: L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 1 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hartberg
37.37%
Draw
28.97%
Away Blau-Weiß Linz
33.67%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
50
22.73
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hartberg
Blau-Weiß Linz
Power Score
50
22.73
League Position
6
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hartberg — Opponent-weighted form score
Blau-Weiß Linz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hartberg Blau-Weiß Linz

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Hartberg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Blau-Weiß Linz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Hartberg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Blau-Weiß Linz
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
21.63
34.48
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.48
21.63
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Hartberg -1.00 Efficiency Index
vs
Blau-Weiß Linz +1.00 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Hartberg
Blau-Weiß Linz
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Hartberg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Blau-Weiß Linz
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Hartberg Blau-Weiß Linz
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Hartberg Blau-Weiß Linz
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Hartberg
Blau-Weiß Linz
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hartberg HTB Home
5 matches
Blau-Weiß Linz BWL Away
Match Record
3
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
3
Goals
10
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
10
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:13:34+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Stadium
PROfertil ARENA
Capacity
4635
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Emil Ristoskov
Julian Weinberger
Roland Brandner
Andreas Heidenreich

Statistics

Possession
HTB
51%
BWL
49%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 0
7 Shots 7
45 Dangerous attacks 51
52 Possession 48
3 Corners 5
11 Free kicks 9

Match Overview

4 Goal Attempts 10
64 Ball Safe 62
12 Goal Kicks 9
0 Assists 1
25 Throwins 26
4 Successful Dribbles 4
27 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67
1 Hit Woodwork 0
15 Dribble Attempts 6
3 Substitutions 3
1 Injuries 0

Attacking

112 Attacks 115
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

34 Successful Long Passes 18
386 Successful Passes 344
486 Passes 442
49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33
79 Successful Passes Percentage 78
70 Long Passes 54
9 Key Passes 10

Defensive

9 Interceptions 12
9 Tackles 19
3 Saves 1

Build-up

9 Total Crosses 23
5 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

10 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Dominik Reiter → Shon Weissman
6th Substitution
Event
Lukas Fridrikas → Elias Havel
4th Substitution
77'
77'
Event
Mamadou Fofana → Alexander Briedl
3rd Substitution
77'
Event
Ronivaldo → Nico Maier
5th Substitution
Event
Jed Drew → Marco Hoffmann
1st Substitution
62'
Event
Luca Pazourek → Tobias Kainz
2nd Substitution
62'
1ST-HALF
11'
Event
David Bumberger
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
David Riegler
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal
1'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Hartberg exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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