Halmstad vs Degerfors Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Björkevi IP Sun, 12 Apr - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Halmstad HAL
0 Winner 3
Degerfors Degerfors
Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 12:00 PM
Round 2 Regular Season
|
Goal
Daniel Sundgren - 44'
Sebastian Ohlsson - 56'
Marcus Rafferty - 90+3'

CONTEXT

The match between Halmstad and Degerfors is finished, ending with a full-time score of 0-2 to the visitors. Degerfors led 1-0 at half-time and added a second goal after the interval to claim a comfortable away victory. Pre-match expectations pointed to a relatively even contest, with forecasts suggesting roughly 31 percent for a Halmstad win, 30 percent for a draw, and 39 percent for a Degerfors success. The result marked a significant deviation in favor of Degerfors, who emerged as the stronger team and delivered a decisive performance well above those projections. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations, as the away side showed greater clinical edge despite the hosts enjoying a slight territorial advantage. Halmstad recorded 54 percent possession to Degerfors’ 46 percent, yet no xG data is available to determine precise alignment with expected goals. The outcome proved consistent with the pre-match projection favoring Degerfors. No red cards were issued and no major disruptive events altered the flow, allowing the visitors to control the key moments and secure the win.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Degerfors showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Mattsson
E. Mattsson
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.71
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.21
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
A. Söderkvist
A. Söderkvist
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.71
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.21
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
J. Dahl
J. Dahl
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.71
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.21
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
K. Karlsson
K. Karlsson
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.71
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.21
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Halmstad J. Lindholm
J. Lindholm
VS
Degerfors H. Goitom
H. Goitom
1.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.4
1.4 i
Last 6 Opponents
AIK Rank: L
AIK Rank: W
Brommapojkarna Rank: D
IFK Göteborg Rank: L
Degerfors Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.4 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sirius Rank: L
Brommapojkarna Rank: W
Hammarby Rank: D
Öster Rank: W
Halmstad Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Halmstad
31.26%
Draw
30%
Away Degerfors
38.75%

Movement

Changes since opening
Halmstad
+31.04%
Draw
+28.08%
Degerfors
-59.11%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.74
22.7
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Halmstad
Degerfors
Power Score
20.74
22.7
League Position
14
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Halmstad — Opponent-weighted form score
Degerfors — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Halmstad Degerfors

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Halmstad

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Degerfors

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Halmstad ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Degerfors
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
14.54
27.83
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.83
14.54
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Halmstad -1.42 Efficiency Index
vs
Degerfors +1.42 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Halmstad
Degerfors
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Halmstad ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Degerfors
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Halmstad Degerfors
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Halmstad Degerfors
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Halmstad
Degerfors
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Halmstad
vs
Degerfors
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Halmstad Degerfors
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Halmstad 0.16
Degerfors 0.18
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Halmstad Degerfors
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Halmstad 0.05
Degerfors 0.00
Halmstad
Degerfors
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Degerfors had peak pressure around 64'.
  • Degerfors started the game with stronger pressure.
HAL Pressure Degerfors Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Degerfors reached the top pressure at 64' (71.47).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Halmstad HAL Home
6 matches
Degerfors Degerfors Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
3
-7
Goal Difference
+7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:02:52+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
T. Rönning
Sweden
1 T. Rönning
A. Boman
Sweden
17 A. Boman
P. Gregor
Denmark
5 P. Gregor
E. Tõugjas
Estonia
16 E. Tõugjas
G. Friberg
Sweden
15 G. Friberg
H. Carneil
Substitution
Sweden
14 H. Carneil
J. Allansson
Sweden
6 J. Allansson
R. Ascone
France
27 R. Ascone
O. Liimatta
Finland
20 O. Liimatta
M. Persson
Substitution
18 M. Persson
R. Kaib
Substitution
Tunisia
24 R. Kaib
M. Igonen
Estonia
38 M. Igonen
S. Diatara
18 S. Diatara
J. Pikkarainen
Finland
5 J. Pikkarainen
S. Ohlsson
Sweden
16 S. Ohlsson
D. Sundgren
Sweden
6 D. Sundgren
E. Barsoum
Substitution
Sweden
20 E. Barsoum
N. Girmai
Sweden
22 N. Girmai
K. Karlsson
Substitution
Sweden
4 K. Karlsson
L. Fritzson
Sweden
14 L. Fritzson
M. Rafferty
Sweden
10 M. Rafferty
D. Vukojevic
Substitution
Sweden
11 D. Vukojevic

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Björkevi IP
Capacity
15500
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Erik Mattsson
Andreas Söderkvist
Jonas Dahl
Kristoffer Karlsson

Statistics

Possession
HAL
53%
Degerfors
47%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
0 Big Chances Created 2
3 Shots 8
37 Dangerous attacks 56
54 Possession 46
0 Corners 6
14 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

6 Successful Dribbles 3
12 Dribble Attempts 17
4 Goal Attempts 5
22 Throwins 30
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 18
3 Goal Kicks 4
51 Ball Safe 47
0 Assists 2
3 Substitutions 3

Attacking

108 Attacks 93

Possession

79 Long Passes 67
24 Successful Long Passes 23
444 Passes 366
77 Successful Passes Percentage 73
4 Key Passes 7
341 Successful Passes 268
30 Successful Long Passes Percentage 34

Defensive

2 Interceptions 6
22 Tackles 22
2 Saves 1

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 20
0 Accurate Crosses 9

Discipline

7 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Erik Mattsson

Starting XI ▼

1
Tim Rönning
Tim Rönning Goalkeeper
5
Pascal Gregor
Pascal Gregor Defender
15
Gustav Friberg
Gustav Friberg Defender
16
Erko Tougjas
Erko Tougjas Defender
17
André Boman
André Boman Defender
6
Joel Allansson
Joel Allansson Midfielder
14
Hussein Carneil
Hussein Carneil Midfielder
9
Omar Faraj
Omar Faraj
Attacker61'
27
Rocco Ascone
Rocco Ascone Midfielder
18
Malte Persson
Malte Persson Attacker
99
Emmanuel Yeboah
Emmanuel Yeboah
Attacker70'
20
Otso Liimatta
Otso Liimatta Attacker
24
Rami Kaib
Rami Kaib Attacker
19
Marvin Illary
Marvin Illary
Midfielder61'
Referee : Erik Mattsson

Starting XI ▼

38
Matvei Igonen
Matvei Igonen Goalkeeper
5
Juhani Pikkarainen
Juhani Pikkarainen Defender
6
Daniel Sundgren
Daniel Sundgren Defender
16
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson Defender
18
Samba Diatara
Samba Diatara Defender
4
Kazper Karlsson
Kazper Karlsson Midfielder
24
Olle Leonardsson
Olle Leonardsson
Attacker81'
14
Ludvig Fritzson
Ludvig Fritzson Midfielder
20
Elias Barsoum
Elias Barsoum Midfielder
8
Bilal Hussein
Bilal Hussein
Midfielder70'
22
Nahom Girmai Netabay
Nahom Girmai Netabay Midfielder
10
Marcus Rafferty
Marcus Rafferty Attacker
11
Dijan Vukojevic
Dijan Vukojevic Attacker
17
Arman Taranis
Arman Taranis
Attacker70'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Marcus Rafferty
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
84'
Event
Matvei Igonen
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
81'
Event
Olle Leonardsson → Kazper Karlsson
6th Substitution
Event
Erko Tougjas
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
72'
Event
Emmanuel Yeboah → Malte Persson
5th Substitution
70'
70'
Event
Bilal Hussein → Elias Barsoum
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Arman Taranis → Dijan Vukojevic
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Elias Barsoum
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Omar Faraj → Hussein Carneil
1st Substitution
61'
Event
Marvin Illary → Rami Kaib
2nd Substitution
61'
56'
Event
Sebastian Ohlsson
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Otso Liimatta
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
55'
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Daniel Sundgren
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Degerfors exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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