Hajduk Split vs Osijek Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Poljud Today - 4:45 PM
1. HNL
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split
Versus
Osijek Osijek
KICKOFF : Today - 4:45 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Hajduk Split host Osijek in 1. HNL (Regular Season) at Stadion Poljud. Domestically, Hajduk Split sit 2th in the table while Osijek are 9th. Power ranking favours Hajduk Split by 12 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hajduk Split enjoys a 12-point power advantage over Osijek, rooted in superior overall ratings.
  • Form: Hosts lead with a form score of 26.17, outpacing Osijek's 18.72.
  • Squad: Hajduk Split occupies 2nd in the league, while Osijek sits 9th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics provided in available data.
  • Transition: Transition statistics unavailable for this matchup.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis features low confidence and proxy data without xG for both squads.
  • xVariable: xG variables absent, limiting advanced performance insights.
  • Market: Baseline split: Hajduk Split 66.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 22.1% (Δ+0%) | Osijek 11.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Hajduk Split G. García García
G. García García
VS
Osijek T. Radotic
T. Radotic
1.9
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: D
Gorica Rank: W
Istra 1961 Rank: W
Vukovar Rank: W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: W
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Varaždin Rank: L
Rijeka Rank: W
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: L
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: D
Gorica Rank: D
Istra 1961 Rank: W
31
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
31 - 20 - 22
22
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hajduk Split
66.3%
Draw
22.08%
Away Osijek
11.62%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
32.65
20.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hajduk Split
Osijek
Power Score
32.65
20.67
League Position
2
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hajduk Split — Opponent-weighted form score
Osijek — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hajduk Split Osijek

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 73 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hajduk Split Hajduk Split Home
73 matches
Osijek Osijek Away
Match Record
31
Wins
22
20
Draws
20
22
Losses
31
Goals
102
Goals Scored
74
74
Goals Conceded
102
+28
Goal Difference
-28
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T00:02:24+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
T. Silić
33 T. Silić
D. Melnjak
17 D. Melnjak
Z. Šarlija
31 Z. Šarlija
D. Maresic
15 D. Maresic
?. Hrgović
32 ?. Hrgović
A. Pajaziti
4 A. Pajaziti
H. Guillamón Sanmartín
6 H. Guillamón Sanmartín
R. Brajković
28 R. Brajković
R. Pukstas
21 R. Pukstas
A. Rebić
9 A. Rebić
A. Sanyang
24 A. Sanyang
M. Malenica
31 M. Malenica
L. Jelenić
26 L. Jelenić
J. Mersinaj
5 J. Mersinaj
I. Kolarik
49 I. Kolarik
D. Čolina
38 D. Čolina
O. Petrusenko
16 O. Petrusenko
D. Mejía Moscoso
6 D. Mejía Moscoso
D. Bukvić
39 D. Bukvić
N. Omerović
11 N. Omerović
A. Matković
34 A. Matković
S. Akere
57 S. Akere

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 21, 2026, 04:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Poljud
Capacity
34198
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Igor Pajač

Expected Lineup

Referee : Igor Pajač

Starting XI ▼

33
Toni Silic
Toni Silic Goalkeeper
6.84
24
Abdoulie Sanyang
Abdoulie Sanyang Centre Forward
6.76
21
Rokas Pukstas
Rokas Pukstas Attacking Midfield
7.33
9
Ante Rebić
Ante Rebić Left Wing
7.05
17
Dario Melnjak
Dario Melnjak Right Back
6.8
4
Adrion Pajaziti
Adrion Pajaziti Defensive Midfield
6.89
6
Hugo Guillamón
Hugo Guillamón Defensive Midfield
6.94
28
Roko Brajkovic
Roko Brajkovic Right Wing
6.96
15
Dario Maresic
Dario Maresic Left Back
6.96
31
Zvonimir Sarlija
Zvonimir Sarlija Right Back
6.93
32
Simun Hrgovic
Simun Hrgovic Left Back
6.77
Referee : Igor Pajač

Starting XI ▼

31
Marko Malenica
Marko Malenica Goalkeeper
6.91
38
David Colina
David Colina Midfielder
6.7
39
Domagoj Bukvic
Domagoj Bukvic Midfielder
6.64
11
Nail Omerovic
Nail Omerovic Attacker
6.93
57
Samuel Akere
Samuel Akere Attacker
6.83
34
Anton Matkovic
Anton Matkovic Centre Forward
6.65
5
Jon Mersinaj
Jon Mersinaj Centre Back
6.62
6
David Mejía
David Mejía Central Midfield
6.7
16
Oleksandr Petrusenko
Oleksandr Petrusenko Central Midfield
6.69
26
Luka Jelenic
Luka Jelenic Left Back
6.79
49
Ivano Kolarik
Ivano Kolarik Right Back
6.57

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Hajduk Split holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Hajduk Split a 12-point edge. External projection is Hajduk Split 66.3%, draw 22.1%, and Osijek 11.6%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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