Häcken vs GAIS Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Nordic Wellness Arena Sun, 19 Apr - 2:30 PM
Allsvenskan
Häcken HAC
2 Winner 1
GAIS GAIS
Full Time Sun, 19 Apr 2:30 PM
Round 3 Regular Season
Abdoulaye Doumbia - 51'
G. Lindgren - 80'
Goal
|
Goal
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson - 57'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Häcken 2–1 GAIS. The result saw Häcken take the points. Häcken showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 45%–55%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Häcken recorded a significant structural deviation of 54.3% from expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Result aligned with pre-match market consensus.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable for evaluation.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout elements altered the outcome.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, avoiding any match distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
K. Karlsson
K. Karlsson
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.14
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.77
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
J. Sars
J. Sars
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.14
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.77
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
P. Rehnlund
P. Rehnlund
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.14
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.77
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
R. Wilde
R. Wilde
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.14
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.77
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
Häcken J. Gustafsson
J. Gustafsson
VS
GAIS F. Holmberg
F. Holmberg
1.2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
1.2 i
Last 6 Opponents
IFK Göteborg Rank: W
Brommapojkarna Rank: D
Mjällby Rank: L
Malmö FF Rank: D
AIK Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Malmö FF Rank: L
Djurgården Rank: L
Malmö FF Rank: L
Öster Rank: D
Brommapojkarna Rank: W
Djurgården Rank: W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 2 - 9
9

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Häcken
45.7%
Draw
25.83%
Away GAIS
28.47%

Movement

Changes since opening
Häcken
-49.53%
Draw
+21.25%
GAIS
+28.28%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
17.63
20.54
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Häcken
GAIS
Power Score
17.63
20.54
League Position
2
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Häcken — Opponent-weighted form score
GAIS — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Häcken GAIS

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Häcken

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

GAIS

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Häcken ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy GAIS
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.56
20.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.00
27.56
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Häcken +0.81 Efficiency Index
vs
GAIS -0.81 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Häcken
GAIS
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Häcken ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy GAIS
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Häcken GAIS
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Häcken GAIS
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Häcken
GAIS
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Häcken
vs
GAIS
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Häcken GAIS
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Häcken 0.39
GAIS 0.13
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Häcken GAIS
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Häcken 0.02
GAIS 0.07
Häcken
GAIS
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAC had peak pressure around 56'.
  • HAC started the game with stronger pressure.
HAC Pressure GAIS Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAC reached the top pressure at 56' (76.55).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Häcken HAC Home
14 matches
GAIS GAIS Away
Match Record
3
Wins
9
2
Draws
2
9
Losses
3
Goals
12
Goals Scored
23
23
Goals Conceded
12
-11
Goal Difference
+11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:04:08+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
D. Andersson
Sweden
35 D. Andersson
B. Wembangomo
Norway
5 B. Wembangomo
H. Hilvenius
Sweden
13 H. Hilvenius
F. Helander
Sweden
22 F. Helander
A. Lundqvist
Sweden
21 A. Lundqvist
S. Andersen
Denmark
8 S. Andersen
J. Agbonifo
Substitution
Sweden
14 J. Agbonifo
J. Lindberg
Substitution
Sweden
11 J. Lindberg
A. Doumbia
Ivory Coast
6 A. Doumbia
A. Layouni
Substitution
Tunisia
24 A. Layouni
A. Svanbäck
Substitution
Sweden
20 A. Svanbäck
A. Probst Hermansen
Denmark
33 A. Probst Hermansen
M. Wendin Thomasson
Sweden
5 M. Wendin Thomasson
O. Ågren
Substitution
Sweden
4 O. Ågren
R. Frej
Sweden
12 R. Frej
A. Wängberg
Sweden
6 A. Wängberg
W. Milovanovic
Substitution
Sweden
8 W. Milovanovic
J. Åberg
Sweden
7 J. Åberg
H. Sletsjøe
Substitution
Sweden
10 H. Sletsjøe
R. Niklasson Johansson
Substitution
Sweden
11 R. Niklasson Johansson
S. Salter
Substitution
Canada
20 S. Salter
R. Þorkelsson
Iceland
17 R. Þorkelsson

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
Nordic Wellness Arena
Capacity
7000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Kristoffer Karlsson
Joakim Sars
Per Rehnlund
Robin Wilde

Statistics

Possession
HAC
46%
GAIS
54%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 2
5 Shots 5
28 Dangerous attacks 60
45 Possession 55
5 Corners 3
29 Free kicks 10
4 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

1 Assists 1
4 Substitutions 5
68 Ball Safe 58
8 Goal Attempts 7
10 Goal Kicks 7
5 Successful Dribbles 4
31 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
0 Hit Woodwork 1
19 Throwins 16
16 Dribble Attempts 10

Attacking

74 Attacks 126
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

82 Successful Passes Percentage 84
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46
356 Successful Passes 446
26 Successful Long Passes 30
436 Passes 533
7 Key Passes 7
55 Long Passes 65

Defensive

65 Duels Won 48
10 Interceptions 12
16 Tackles 18
2 Saves 3

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 18
3 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

10 Fouls 29
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Kristoffer Karlsson

Starting XI ▼

35
David Andersson
David Andersson Goalkeeper
6.87
5
Brice Wembangomo
Brice Wembangomo Defender
6.96
13
Harry Hilvenius
Harry Hilvenius Defender
7.33
21
Adam Lundkvist
Adam Lundkvist Defender
6.68
22
Filip Helander
Filip Helander Defender
6.89
6
Abdoulaye Doumbia
Abdoulaye Doumbia Midfielder
7.17
8
Silas Andersen
Silas Andersen Midfielder
7.4
11
Julius Lindberg
Julius Lindberg Midfielder
7.31
7
Sanders Ngabo
Sanders Ngabo
Midfielder77'
6.65
14
Jeremy Agbonifo
Jeremy Agbonifo Midfielder
6.34
10
Mikkel Rygaard
Mikkel Rygaard
Midfielder59'
6.96
24
Amor Layouni
Amor Layouni Midfielder
7.51
3
Johan Hammar
Johan Hammar
Defender88'
7.01
20
Adrian Svanbäck
Adrian Svanbäck Attacker
6.76
9
G. Lindgren
G. Lindgren
Attacker77'
6.69
Referee : Kristoffer Karlsson

Starting XI ▼

33
Andreas Probst Hermansen
Andreas Probst Hermansen Goalkeeper
6.72
4
Oskar Ågren
Oskar Ågren Defender
7.41
24
Filip Beckman
Filip Beckman
Defender87'
5
Robin Wendin Thomasson
Robin Wendin Thomasson Defender
6.42
6
August Wängberg
August Wängberg Defender
6.88
12
Robin Frej
Robin Frej Defender
6.43
7
Joackim Åberg
Joackim Åberg Midfielder
6.61
8
William Milovanovic
William Milovanovic Midfielder
7.36
25
Jonas Lindberg
Jonas Lindberg
Midfielder87'
6.28
10
Henry Sletsjøe
Henry Sletsjøe Midfielder
6.34
16
M. Andersson
M. Andersson
Midfielder87'
6.59
11
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson Attacker
6.48
32
Oscar Pettersson
Oscar Pettersson
Attacker74'
6.51
17
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson Attacker
6.79
20
S. Salter
S. Salter Attacker
6.61
21
S. Ekong
S. Ekong
Attacker66'
7.51

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Johan Hammar → Amor Layouni
9th Substitution
88'
87'
Event
M. Andersson → Henry Sletsjøe
6th Substitution
87'
Event
Filip Beckman → Oskar Ågren
7th Substitution
87'
Event
Jonas Lindberg → William Milovanovic
8th Substitution
Event
11th Yellowcard
84'
Event
10th Yellowcard
84'
Event
G. Lindgren
Foul / 9th Yellowcard
84'
83'
Event
Henry Sletsjøe
Argument / 8th Yellowcard
Event
G. Lindgren
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
80'
Event
G. Lindgren → Adrian Svanbäck
4th Substitution
77'
Event
Sanders Ngabo → Julius Lindberg
5th Substitution
77'
74'
Event
Oscar Pettersson → Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
S. Ekong → S. Salter
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Robin Frej
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Mikkel Rygaard → Jeremy Agbonifo
1st Substitution
59'
57'
Event
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Abdoulaye Doumbia
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
51'
Event
Abdoulaye Doumbia
6th Yellowcard
51'
Event
Amor Layouni
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
50'
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
Joackim Åberg
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Silas Andersen
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
45+1'
45+1'
Event
William Milovanovic
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
41'
Event
Robin Wendin Thomasson
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Häcken's 2-1 win over GAIS exemplifies their second-half prowess, converting limited possession into decisive goals against a possession-dominant foe. Defying the stronger GAIS label, Häcken's significant deviation highlights tactical adaptability and finishing efficiency. With no disruptions from reds or events, the clean sheet until late underscores defensive solidity. This market-aligned result boosts Häcken's momentum, potentially shifting intra-league dynamics while exposing GAIS's vulnerability in conversion despite control.

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