Grasshopper vs Luzern Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stadion Letzigrund Sat, 25 Apr - 4:00 PM
Super League
Grasshopper GRA
Versus
Luzern LUZ
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 4:00 PM
Relegation Round

CONTEXT

Grasshopper host Luzern in Super League (Relegation Round) at Stadion Letzigrund. Domestically, Grasshopper sit 11th in the table while Luzern are 7th. Power ranking favours Luzern by 11.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Luzern possess an 11.3-point power advantage over Grasshopper.
  • Form: Luzern's form score of 16.17 significantly outpaces Grasshopper's 3.22.
  • Squad: Grasshopper sit 11th and Luzern 7th in the Super League table.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable for this matchup.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG variable data not available for either side.
  • Market: Grasshopper 35.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.6% (Δ+0%) | Luzern 39.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Grasshopper G. Messner
G. Messner
VS
Luzern M. Frick
M. Frick
0.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Winterthur Rank: W
Sion Rank: L
Servette Rank: L
Thun Rank: L
Lausanne Sport Rank: L
Basel Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
St. Gallen Rank: D
Servette Rank: L
Lausanne Sport Rank: W
Winterthur Rank: L
Lugano Rank: W
Young Boys Rank: L
21
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
21 - 21 - 27
27
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Grasshopper
35.18%
Draw
25.6%
Away Luzern
39.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
9.88
21.16
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Grasshopper
Luzern
Power Score
9.88
21.16
League Position
11
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Grasshopper Opponent-weighted form score
Luzern Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Grasshopper Luzern

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 69 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Grasshopper GRA Home
69 matches
Luzern LUZ Away
Match Record
21
Wins
27
21
Draws
21
27
Losses
21
Goals
103
Goals Scored
104
104
Goals Conceded
103
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:08:04+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-1-2-1-2
Pitch
J. Hammel
71 J. Hammel
I. Beka
30 I. Beka
M. Ngom
20 M. Ngom
S. Köhler
27 S. Köhler
M. Ullmann
31 M. Ullmann
A. Abrashi
6 A. Abrashi
S. Krasniqi
54 S. Krasniqi
D. Abels
2 D. Abels
H. Imourane
5 H. Imourane
J. Asp Jensen
10 J. Asp Jensen
M. Frey
99 M. Frey
P. Loretz
1 P. Loretz
R. Fernandes
22 R. Fernandes
A. Bajrami
4 A. Bajrami
B. Freimann
46 B. Freimann
P. Dorn
20 P. Dorn
T. Owusu
24 T. Owusu
M. Di Giusto
11 M. Di Giusto
O. Kabwit tshikomb
16 O. Kabwit tshikomb
L. Silva Ferreira
73 L. Silva Ferreira
V. Villiger
27 V. Villiger
A. Vasovic
19 A. Vasovic

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Relegation Round
Stadium
Stadion Letzigrund
Capacity
26104
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

71
Justin Hammel
Justin Hammel Goalkeeper
6.67
10
Jonathan Asp Jensen
Jonathan Asp Jensen Midfielder
6.98
54
Samuel Krasniqi
Samuel Krasniqi Midfielder
6.56
99
Michael Frey
Michael Frey Centre Forward
6.96
2
Dirk Abels
Dirk Abels Central Midfield
6.82
5
Imourane Hassane
Imourane Hassane Central Midfield
6.62
6
Amir Abrashi
Amir Abrashi Defensive Midfield
6.39
20
Mouhamed El Bachir Ngom
Mouhamed El Bachir Ngom Right Back
6.82
27
Sven Köhler
Sven Köhler Left Back
6.83
30
Ismajl Beka
Ismajl Beka Right Back
6.36
31
Maximilian Ullmann
Maximilian Ullmann Left Back
6.6

Starting XI

1
Pascal Loretz
Pascal Loretz Goalkeeper
6.78
16
Oscar Kabwit
Oscar Kabwit Midfielder
7.02
11
Matteo Di Giusto
Matteo Di Giusto Midfielder
7.49
19
Andrej Vasovic
Andrej Vasovic Attacker
6.65
27
Lars Villiger
Lars Villiger Attacker
6.85
20
Pius Dorn
Pius Dorn Right Back
6.81
22
Rúben Dantas Fernandes
Rúben Dantas Fernandes Left Back
7.02
24
Tyron Owusu
Tyron Owusu Defensive Midfield
6.86
46
Bung Meng Freimann
Bung Meng Freimann Right Back
6.85
73
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira Attacking Midfield
6.61
4
Adrian Bajrami
Adrian Bajrami Left Back
6.82

CONCLUSION

Luzern arrive with clear advantages in power, form, and standings, positioning them as favourites in this relegation round encounter at Stadion Letzigrund. Grasshopper's home advantage offers hope, but their inferior metrics paint a tough picture. Without detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, the focus falls on Luzern's edge to grind out a result. Expect a tense battle where the visitors' quality likely shines through, potentially securing vital points in the survival fight.

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