Genk vs Standard Liège Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Luminus Arena Sat, 25 Apr - 4:15 PM
Pro League
Genk GNK
Versus
Standard Liège STL
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 4:15 PM
Round 5 Conference League Play-off Group

CONTEXT

Genk welcome Standard Liège to Luminus Arena for this Conference League Play-off Group clash in the 2025/2026 season. Hosting the Pro League mid-table rivals, Genk hold a slight edge with a power score of 25.28 against Standard's 23.33, translating to a two-point advantage that marks them as the stronger side overall. Form scores also favour the home team at 21.67 compared to 19.28, suggesting recent momentum swings their way despite sparse recent outing details. Sitting 7th and 8th respectively in the league table, both sides are jostling for playoff positioning, but Genk's home advantage in this international cup fixture could prove decisive. With limited advanced metrics available, the focus falls on tactical discipline and exploiting any defensive lapses from Standard, who have struggled to match Genk's underlying strength in prior encounters.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Genk possess a structural edge with a 25.28 power score over Standard Liège's 23.33, yielding a two-point advantage.
  • Form: Genk lead in form scoring with 21.67 against Standard Liège's 19.28.
  • Squad: Genk sit 7th in the Pro League, one place above 8th-placed Standard Liège.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable due to limited recent data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with proxy metrics and no xG available for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, impacting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Projection split: Genk 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Standard Liège 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Genk N. Hayen
N. Hayen
VS
Standard Liège V. Euvrard
V. Euvrard
1.52
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.43
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Charleroi Rank: D
Westerlo Rank: W
OH Leuven Rank: D
Antwerp Rank: W
La Louvière Rank: D
Sint-Truiden Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Antwerp Rank: D
Sporting Charleroi Rank: W
Westerlo Rank: L
OH Leuven Rank: W
Westerlo Rank: D
Antwerp Rank: D
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 15 - 26
26
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Genk
0%
Draw
0%
Away Standard Liège
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
25.28
23.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Genk
Standard Liège
Power Score
25.28
23.33
League Position
7
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Genk — Opponent-weighted form score
Standard Liège — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Genk Standard Liège

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 56 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Genk GNK Home
56 matches
Standard Liège STL Away
Match Record
15
Wins
26
15
Draws
15
26
Losses
15
Goals
54
Goals Scored
75
75
Goals Conceded
54
-21
Goal Difference
+21
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:08:21+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 04:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 5 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium
Luminus Arena
Capacity
24956
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Hendrik Van Crombrugge
Hendrik Van Crombrugge Goalkeeper
26
Tobias Okiki Lawal
Tobias Okiki Lawal Goalkeeper
71
Brent Stevens
Brent Stevens Goalkeeper
28
Lucca Kiaba Mounganga
Lucca Kiaba Mounganga Goalkeeper
97
Emile Doucouré
Emile Doucouré Goalkeeper
18
Joris Kayembe Ditu
Joris Kayembe Ditu Defender
3
Mujaid Sadick Aliu
Mujaid Sadick Aliu Defender
27
Ken Nkuba Tshiend
Ken Nkuba Tshiend Defender
77
Zakaria El Ouahdi
Zakaria El Ouahdi Defender
19
Yaimar Abel Medina Ortiz
Yaimar Abel Medina Ortiz Defender
44
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
Josue Ndenge Kongolo Defender
34
Adrián José Palacios Hernández
Adrián José Palacios Hernández Defender
6
Matte Smets
Matte Smets Defender
8
Bryan Heynen
Bryan Heynen Midfielder
38
Daan Heymans
Daan Heymans Midfielder
24
Nikolas Sattlberger
Nikolas Sattlberger Midfielder
21
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura Midfielder
20
Konstantinos Karetsas
Konstantinos Karetsas Midfielder
56
August De Wannemacker
August De Wannemacker Midfielder
10
Junya Ito
Junya Ito Attacker
14
Yira Collins Sor
Yira Collins Sor Attacker
99
Jusef Erabi
Jusef Erabi Attacker
7
Jarne Steuckers
Jarne Steuckers Attacker
30
Ayumu Yokoyama
Ayumu Yokoyama Attacker
29
Robin Mirisola
Robin Mirisola Attacker
32
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg Attacker
23
Aaron Bibout
Aaron Bibout Attacker

Squad ▼

21
Lucas Pirard
Lucas Pirard Goalkeeper
35
Belmin Dizdarević
Belmin Dizdarević Goalkeeper
12
Matteo Godfroid
Matteo Godfroid Goalkeeper
1
Luke Epolo Matthieu
Luke Epolo Matthieu Goalkeeper
5
Boli Bolingoli Mbombo
Boli Bolingoli Mbombo Defender
15
Souleyman Doumbia
Souleyman Doumbia Defender
4
David Bates
David Bates Defender
24
Josué Homawoo
Josué Homawoo Defender
13
Marlon Fossey
Marlon Fossey Defender
25
Ibe Hautekiet
Ibe Hautekiet Defender
18
Henry Lawrence
Henry Lawrence Defender
20
Ibrahim Karamoko
Ibrahim Karamoko Defender
29
Daan Dierckx
Daan Dierckx Defender
22
Alexandro Calut
Alexandro Calut Defender
3
Gustav Julius Mortensen
Gustav Julius Mortensen Defender
53
Steeven Assengue
Steeven Assengue Defender
27
Mohammed El Hankouri
Mohammed El Hankouri Midfielder
94
Casper Nielsen
Casper Nielsen Midfielder
23
Marco Ilaimaharitra
Marco Ilaimaharitra Midfielder
80
Teddy Teuma
Teddy Teuma Midfielder
7
Tobias Mohr
Tobias Mohr Midfielder
8
Nayel Mehssatou Sepúlveda
Nayel Mehssatou Sepúlveda Midfielder
14
Léandre Filipe Kuavita
Léandre Filipe Kuavita Midfielder
95
Grejohn Kyei
Grejohn Kyei Attacker
9
Thomas Henry
Thomas Henry Attacker
10
Dennis Yerai Eckert Ayensa
Dennis Yerai Eckert Ayensa Attacker
59
Timothée NKada
Timothée NKada Attacker
17
Rafiki Said Ahamada
Rafiki Said Ahamada Attacker
11
Abid Adnane
Abid Adnane Attacker
19
René Mitongo Muteba
René Mitongo Muteba Attacker
26
Bernard Nguene
Bernard Nguene Attacker

CONCLUSION

Genk enter this matchup as marginal favourites, bolstered by superior power and form metrics that highlight their structural superiority at Luminus Arena. Standard Liège's proximity in the table underscores a tight contest, yet Genk's home soil in the Conference League Play-off Group tips the scales. Without granular efficiency or set-piece insights, expect a battle of basics where Genk's two-point edge could manifest in key moments. The visitors must disrupt transitions to counter the hosts' momentum, but Genk's overall profile suggests they grasp control early and secure vital points in this Pro League-adjacent cup skirmish.

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