Newcastle United vs Sunderland Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
St. James' Park Sun, 22 Mar - 12:00 PM
Premier League
Newcastle United NEW
1 Winner 2
Sunderland SUN
Full Time Sun, 22 Mar 12:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
Anthony Gordon - 10'
Goal
|
Goal
Brian Brobbey - 90'
Chemsdine Talbi - 57'

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished with Sunderland securing a 2-0 away victory over Newcastle United. This full-time result represents a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, heavily favouring the away side. Newcastle entered the contest as the decidedly stronger team with a commanding 60.9% market probability to win. Conversely, Sunderland was given just a 16.3% chance of

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sunderland showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Newcastle United E. Howe
E. Howe
VS
Sunderland R. Le Bris
R. Le Bris
1.63
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.26
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leeds United Rank: 86 W
Crystal Palace Rank: 87 W
Burnley Rank: 79 W
Manchester United Rank: 92 L
Chelsea Rank: 91 D
Sunderland Rank: 82 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
AFC Bournemouth Rank: 89 D
Fulham Rank: 87 L
Liverpool Rank: 94 L
Arsenal Rank: 100 L
Burnley Rank: 79 W
West Ham United Rank: 83 L
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 8 - 9
9

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Newcastle United
60.94%
Draw
22.76%
Away Sunderland
16.3%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
90.02
82
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Newcastle United
Sunderland
Power Score
90.02
82
League Position
12
11
Global Rank
15
50

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Newcastle United — Opponent-weighted form score
Sunderland — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Newcastle United Sunderland

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Newcastle United

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sunderland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Newcastle United ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sunderland
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
30.75
48.88
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
48.88
30.75
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Newcastle United -2.06 Efficiency Index
vs
Sunderland +2.06 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Newcastle United
Sunderland
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Newcastle United
vs
Sunderland
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Newcastle United Sunderland
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Newcastle United Sunderland
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Newcastle United
Sunderland
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 26 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Newcastle United NEW Home
26 matches
Sunderland SUN Away
Match Record
9
Wins
9
8
Draws
8
9
Losses
9
Goals
33
Goals Scored
30
30
Goals Conceded
33
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:23:52+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
A. Ramsdale
England
32 A. Ramsdale
K. Trippier
Substitution
England
2 (C) K. Trippier
S. Botman
Substitution
Netherlands
4 S. Botman
D. Burn
England
33 D. Burn
L. Hall
England
3 L. Hall
J. Apolinário de Lira
Brazil
7 J. Apolinário de Lira
J. Ramsey
England
41 J. Ramsey
A. Elanga
Substitution
Sweden
20 A. Elanga
N. Woltemade
Substitution
Germany
27 N. Woltemade
H. Barnes
Substitution
England
11 H. Barnes
A. Gordon
Substitution
England
10 A. Gordon
Pitch
M. Ellborg
Sweden
31 M. Ellborg
T. Hume
Northern Ireland
32 T. Hume
O. Alderete Fernández
Paraguay
15 O. Alderete Fernández
L. O'Nien
England
13 L. O'Nien
L. Geertruida
Netherlands
6 L. Geertruida
G. Xhaka
Switzerland
34 (C) G. Xhaka
C. Talbi
Substitution
Belgium
7 C. Talbi
N. Sadiki
Belgium
27 N. Sadiki
M. Diarra
Substitution
France
19 M. Diarra
C. Rigg
England
11 C. Rigg
B. Brobbey
Substitution
Netherlands
9 B. Brobbey

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 22, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium :
St. James' Park
Capacity :
52409
Attendance :
52253
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
Referees :
Andy Madley
Gary Beswick
Adam Nunn
Anthony Taylor

Statistics

Possession
NEW
57%
SUN
43%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 3
4 Shots 7
49 Dangerous attacks 51
60 Possession 40
9 Corners 5
19 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 6

Match Overview

4 Successful Dribbles 5
1 Assists 0
29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 42
14 Dribble Attempts 12
19 Throwins 17
17 Successful Headers 12
7 Goal Kicks 12
1 Hit Woodwork 0
1 Injuries 0
6 Substitutions 3
9 Goal Attempts 8
76 Ball Safe 67

Attacking

79 Attacks 66
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

403 Passes 262
328 Successful Passes 187
12 Key Passes 9
81 Successful Passes Percentage 71
57 Long Passes 53
33 Successful Long Passes Percentage 25
19 Successful Long Passes 13

Defensive

13 Tackles 17
6 Interceptions 4
4 Saves 3

Build-up

23 Total Crosses 23
7 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

8 Fouls 19
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Anthony Taylor

Starting XI ▼

32
Aaron Ramsdale
Aaron Ramsdale Goalkeeper
6.88
2
Kieran Trippier
Kieran Trippier (C) Defender
6.72
21
Tino Livramento
Tino Livramento
Defender65'
6.46
3
Lewis Hall
Lewis Hall Defender
6.64
4
Sven Botman
Sven Botman Defender
7.39
12
Malick Thiaw
Malick Thiaw
Defender54'
6.41
33
Dan Burn
Dan Burn Defender
7.39
7
Joelinton
Joelinton Midfielder
6.69
11
Harvey Barnes
Harvey Barnes Midfielder
6.39
18
William Osula
William Osula
Attacker76'
6.55
20
Anthony Elanga
Anthony Elanga Midfielder
6.6
23
Jacob Murphy
Jacob Murphy
Midfielder65'
6.75
27
Nick Woltemade
Nick Woltemade Midfielder
7.02
28
Joe Willock
Joe Willock
Midfielder65'
6.64
41
Jacob Ramsey
Jacob Ramsey Midfielder
6.79
10
Anthony Gordon
Anthony Gordon Attacker
7.54
9
Yoane Wissa
Yoane Wissa
Attacker89'
Referee : Anthony Taylor

Starting XI ▼

31
Melker Ellborg
Melker Ellborg Goalkeeper
6.48
6
Lutsharel Geertruida
Lutsharel Geertruida Defender
6.89
13
Luke O'Nien
Luke O'Nien Defender
5.87
15
Omar Alderete
Omar Alderete Defender
6.52
32
Trai Hume
Trai Hume Defender
6.77
7
Chemsdine Talbi
Chemsdine Talbi Midfielder
7.22
17
Reinildo Mandava
Reinildo Mandava
Defender90+3'
6.39
11
Chris Rigg
Chris Rigg Midfielder
7.76
19
Habib Diarra
Habib Diarra Midfielder
6.91
28
Enzo Le Fée
Enzo Le Fée
Midfielder85'
6.78
27
Noah Sadiki
Noah Sadiki Midfielder
6.51
34
Granit Xhaka
Granit Xhaka (C) Midfielder
6.88
9
Brian Brobbey
Brian Brobbey Attacker
7
12
Eliezer Mayenda
Eliezer Mayenda
Attacker90+3'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+9'
Event
Reinildo Mandava
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Lutsharel Geertruida
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Noah Sadiki
6th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Eliezer Mayenda → Brian Brobbey
9th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Reinildo Mandava → Chemsdine Talbi
8th Substitution
Event
Joelinton
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
90+1'
90+1'
Event
Brian Brobbey
3rd Yellowcard
90'
Event
Brian Brobbey
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Yoane Wissa → Anthony Gordon
7th Substitution
89'
85'
Event
Enzo Le Fée → Habib Diarra
6th Substitution
82'
Event
Omar Alderete
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
William Osula → Harvey Barnes
5th Substitution
76'
Event
Var
76'
Event
Tino Livramento → Kieran Trippier
2nd Substitution
65'
Event
Joe Willock → Nick Woltemade
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Jacob Murphy → Anthony Elanga
3rd Substitution
65'
57'
Event
Chemsdine Talbi
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Malick Thiaw → Sven Botman
1st Substitution
54'
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Trai Hume
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Anthony Gordon
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
10'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 7 minutes of stoppage time.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Newcastle United 1, Sunderland 2. Brian Brobbey scores for Sunderland with a right-footed shot from close range into the bottom right corner.
90
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push underway. Brian Brobbey of Sunderland takes a right-footed shot from close range, but it's stopped by goalkeeper Aaron Ramsdale, who is positioned centrally for Newcastle United. The assist came from Enzo Le Fée.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Brian Brobbey of Sunderland has been shown a yellow card for overzealous celebration.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: Eliezer Mayenda comes on to replace Brian Brobbey.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: Reinildo Mandava comes on to replace Chemsdine Talbi.
90
Update Update
Omar Alderete from Sunderland committed a foul.
90
Update Update
William Osula from Newcastle United earned a free kick in an offensive position.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Noah Sadiki from Sunderland has been shown a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Lutsharel Geertruida of Sunderland committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Tino Livramento from Newcastle United has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lutsharel Geertruida of Sunderland has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
90
Attempt Attempt
Lewis Hall from Newcastle United attempts a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Newcastle United after Melker Ellborg allowed the ball to go out.
90
Update Update
Enzo Le Fée from Sunderland committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Jacob Ramsey of Newcastle United has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
Reinildo Mandava committed a foul on a Sunderland player.
90
Update Update
Tino Livramento from Newcastle United earned a free kick in the offensive zone.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Reinildo Mandava of Sunderland has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Newcastle United 1, Sunderland 2.
90
Update Update
That's a wrap! The match has concluded with Sunderland defeating Newcastle United 2-1.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle United: Yoane Wissa is coming on to replace Anthony Gordon.
89
Update Update
Chemsdine Talbi from Sunderland committed a foul.
89
Update Update
Aaron Ramsdale of Newcastle United has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sunderland after Tino Livramento allowed the ball to go out.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: Enzo Le Fée comes on to replace Habib Diarra.
85
Attempt Attempt
Close call! Anthony Gordon from Newcastle United took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area that just barely missed the target. The opportunity was set up by Joe Willock during a quick counterattack.
84
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Chemsdine Talbi of Sunderland took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the right of the goal. The assist came from Omar Alderete.
84
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is deflected. Habib Diarra from Sunderland takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
83
Update Update
Omar Alderete from Sunderland has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
83
Update Update
Dan Burn from Newcastle United committed a foul.
82
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Trai Hume from Sunderland takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist was provided by Chris Rigg.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Omar Alderete from Sunderland has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
82
Update Update
Omar Alderete from Sunderland committed a foul.
82
Update Update
William Osula from Newcastle United has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
80
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Anthony Gordon from Newcastle United took a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it sailed over the bar. The chance was set up by Joe Willock after a quick counter-attack.
79
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Joelinton from Newcastle United fires a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Anthony Gordon.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle United: William Osula comes on to replace Harvey Barnes.
75
Update Update
Offside call against Newcastle United. Jacob Murphy has been caught offside.
75
Update Update
Melker Ellborg from Sunderland has been awarded a free kick in their defensive area.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Newcastle United after Trai Hume allowed the ball to go out.
72
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Brian Brobbey from Sunderland takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Chris Rigg.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sunderland after Tino Livramento allowed the ball to go out.
71
Update Update
Another offensive push from Newcastle United. Dan Burn attempts a header from close range, but Melker Ellborg, the Sunderland goalkeeper, makes a crucial save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Lewis Hall, who delivered a precise cross.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Newcastle United after Lutsharel Geertruida allowed the ball to go out.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Newcastle United after Lutsharel Geertruida allowed the ball to go out.
69
Update Update
Lewis Hall from Newcastle United was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
69
Update Update
Fouled by Habib Diarra of Sunderland.
69
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive play unfolds as Noah Sadiki from Sunderland takes a right-footed shot from the heart of the box, but it's expertly stopped by Newcastle United's goalkeeper, Aaron Ramsdale, who is positioned centrally in the goal.
67
Update Update
Harvey Barnes of Newcastle United committed a foul.
67
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Tino Livramento of Newcastle United fires a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
67
Update Update
Luke O'Nien from Sunderland has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
66
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Newcastle United after Melker Ellborg allowed the ball to go out.
66
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Newcastle United after Melker Ellborg allowed the ball to go out.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle United: Joe Willock comes on to replace Nick Woltemade.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle United: Jacob Murphy is coming on to replace Anthony Elanga.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle United: Tino Livramento replaces Kieran Trippier.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sunderland after Jacob Ramsey allowed the ball to go out of play.
62
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Granit Xhaka from Sunderland fires a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Brian Brobbey.
61
Update Update
Anthony Elanga from Newcastle United has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
61
Update Update
Trai Hume from Sunderland commits a foul.
60
Update Update
Nick Woltemade from Newcastle United has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
60
Update Update
Granit Xhaka committed a foul against Sunderland.
59
Update Update
Luke O'Nien from Sunderland committed a foul.
59
Update Update
Malick Thiaw from Newcastle United has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
58
Update Update
Joelinton commits a handball for Newcastle United.
57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's now Newcastle United 1, Sunderland 1. Chemsdine Talbi from Sunderland has found the net with a right-footed shot from close range, directing it into the left corner following a corner kick.
57
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Habib Diarra from Sunderland takes a close-range shot, but it's successfully defended.
57
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Trai Hume from Sunderland took a right-footed shot from the center of the box following a corner, but it went just wide.
56
Update Update
Nick Woltemade from Newcastle United committed a foul.
56
Update Update
Habib Diarra from Sunderland has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sunderland after a play that resulted in Aaron Ramsdale conceding.
56
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive push unfolds as Chris Rigg from Sunderland takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it's expertly saved in the bottom right corner by Aaron Ramsdale of Newcastle United. The assist came from Chemsdine Talbi.
55
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
54
Update Update
Match interruption - Newcastle United.
54
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle United: Malick Thiaw replaces Sven Botman due to an injury.
54
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
51
Update Update
Match is currently paused due to an injury to Sven Botman from Newcastle United.
50
Update Update
Sven Botman of Newcastle United earned a free kick in the defensive area.
50
Update Update
Brian Brobbey committed a foul on a Sunderland player.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be two minutes of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with Newcastle United leading Sunderland 1-0.
45
Update Update
Noah Sadiki from Sunderland committed a foul.
45
Update Update
Anthony Elanga from Newcastle United earned a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push from Newcastle United. Lewis Hall takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Melker Ellborg, the Sunderland goalkeeper, makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Kieran Trippier.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with Newcastle United leading Sunderland 1-0.
44
Update Update
Anthony Elanga from Newcastle United earned a free kick in an offensive position.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Trai Hume from Sunderland has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
44
Update Update
Trai Hume from Sunderland committed a foul.
43
Update Update
Sven Botman from Newcastle United strikes the crossbar with a header from the center of the penalty area.
42
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal was thwarted. Nick Woltemade from Newcastle United fired a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Sven Botman, who set him up with a header.
40
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Chemsdine Talbi from Sunderland attempted a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Newcastle United after Granit Xhaka allowed the ball to go out.
37
Update Update
Harvey Barnes from Newcastle United earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
37
Update Update
Lutsharel Geertruida of Sunderland committed a foul.
33
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Anthony Elanga of Newcastle United attempted a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area.
31
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Chris Rigg from Sunderland fires a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Newcastle United after Trai Hume allowed the ball to go out.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Newcastle United after Lutsharel Geertruida allowed the ball to go out.
25
Update Update
Trai Hume from Sunderland has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
25
Update Update
Kieran Trippier from Newcastle United committed a foul.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sunderland after a play that resulted in Aaron Ramsdale allowing the ball out of play.
24
Corner Corner
Another offensive push here. Chemsdine Talbi from Sunderland takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Aaron Ramsdale from Newcastle United makes a fantastic save, denying it in the top right corner. The assist came from Granit Xhaka.
24
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted. Chris Rigg from Sunderland took a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it sailed high and to the left after a corner kick.
21
Update Update
Lewis Hall from Newcastle United earned a free kick in the defensive area.
21
Update Update
Brian Brobbey committed a foul against Sunderland.
20
Update Update
Kieran Trippier of Newcastle United has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
20
Update Update
Trai Hume from Sunderland committed a foul.
18
Update Update
Offside call against Newcastle United. Dan Burn has been caught offside.
18
Update Update
Offside call against Newcastle United. Dan Burn has been caught offside.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Newcastle United after Luke O'Nien allowed the ball to go out.
15
Update Update
Sven Botman of Newcastle United was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
15
Update Update
Omar Alderete from Sunderland committed a foul.
12
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Granit Xhaka from Sunderland attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
10
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Newcastle United takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Sunderland. Anthony Gordon scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, placing it perfectly into the left corner of the net. The assist comes from Nick Woltemade.
9
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered. Sven Botman of Newcastle United attempted a header from the right side of the six-yard box following a corner kick.
8
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Newcastle United after Granit Xhaka allowed the ball to go out.
6
Update Update
Sven Botman from Newcastle United earned a free kick in the defensive area.
6
Update Update
Brian Brobbey from Sunderland committed a foul.
6
Update Update
Habib Diarra from Sunderland has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
6
Update Update
Jacob Ramsey committed a foul against Newcastle United.
5
Update Update
Granit Xhaka committed a foul against Sunderland.
5
Update Update
Jacob Ramsey of Newcastle United has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
5
Update Update
Trai Hume from Sunderland was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
5
Update Update
Trai Hume from Sunderland earned a free kick in the defensive area.
3
Update Update
Close call! Anthony Elanga of Newcastle United heads the ball from the center of the box, but it narrowly misses the target. The opportunity was set up by a cross from Lewis Hall.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Sunderland exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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