FC Twente vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
De Grolsch Veste Sat, 25 Apr - 7:00 PM
Eredivisie
FC Twente TWE
Versus
NEC Nijmegen NEC
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 7:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

FC Twente host NEC Nijmegen at De Grolsch Veste in a pivotal Eredivisie regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Twente hold a slight edge with a power score of 38.3 against NEC's 33.75, translating to a 4.6-point advantage that marks them as the stronger side on paper. Currently sitting 4th in the table, Twente trail their 3rd-placed visitors by a narrow margin, making this encounter crucial for climbing the standings. Form favours the hosts too, boasting a 38.11 rating compared to NEC's 30.17, suggesting recent momentum swings in their direction. With no recent outings detailed, both teams enter fresh, but Twente's home advantage at their fortress could prove decisive. NEC's resilience on the road will be tested against Twente's structured play, setting up a tactical battle in the midfield. Expect a high-stakes affair where fine margins define the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural: FC Twente possess a 4.6-point power advantage over NEC Nijmegen, positioning them as the structurally stronger team.
  • Form: Twente's form score of 38.11 outpaces NEC's 30.17, indicating superior recent performance.
  • Squad: Squad details unavailable, with league positions showing NEC at 3rd and Twente at 4th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics not available for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for both teams.
  • Market: Projection split: FC Twente 47.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.6% (Δ+0%) | NEC Nijmegen 28.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
FC Twente J. van den Brom
J. van den Brom
VS
NEC Nijmegen D. Schreuder
D. Schreuder
1.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.9
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Volendam Rank: W
Ajax Rank: W
Fortuna Sittard Rank: W
FC Utrecht Rank: L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: W
Feyenoord Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Feyenoord Rank: D
Excelsior Rank: W
SC Heerenveen Rank: D
PSV Rank: W
FC Volendam Rank: W
Fortuna Sittard Rank: L
19
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
19 - 7 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Twente
47.63%
Draw
23.64%
Away NEC Nijmegen
28.73%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
38.3
33.75
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Power Score
38.3
33.75
League Position
4
3
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Twente — Opponent-weighted form score
NEC Nijmegen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Twente NEC Nijmegen

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 32 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Twente TWE Home
32 matches
NEC Nijmegen NEC Away
Match Record
19
Wins
6
7
Draws
7
6
Losses
19
Goals
73
Goals Scored
39
39
Goals Conceded
73
+34
Goal Difference
-34
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:10:08+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
L. Unnerstall
1 L. Unnerstall
B. van Rooij
28 B. van Rooij
S. Lemkin
23 S. Lemkin
R. Nijstad
43 R. Nijstad
M. Rots
39 M. Rots
R. Zerrouki
6 R. Zerrouki
T. van den Belt
20 T. van den Belt
R. van Wolfswinkel
9 R. van Wolfswinkel
K. Hlynsson
14 K. Hlynsson
S. Ørjasæter
27 S. Ørjasæter
S. Lammers
10 S. Lammers
G. Crettaz
1 G. Crettaz
B. Nuytinck
17 B. Nuytinck
P. Sandler
3 P. Sandler
E. Dasa
14 E. Dasa
B. Onal
11 B. Onal
D. Nejašmić
6 D. Nejašmić
K. Sano
23 K. Sano
S. Ouaissa
25 S. Ouaissa
N. Lebreton
20 N. Lebreton
T. Chery
10 T. Chery
B. Linssen
30 B. Linssen

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
De Grolsch Veste
Capacity
30205
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Lars Unnerstall
Lars Unnerstall Goalkeeper
6.76
10
Sam Lammers
Sam Lammers Centre Forward
7.13
14
Kristian Hlynsson
Kristian Hlynsson Attacking Midfield
7.06
43
Ruud Nijstad
Ruud Nijstad Left Back
6.84
6
Ramiz Zerrouki
Ramiz Zerrouki Defensive Midfield
7.15
9
Ricky van Wolfswinkel
Ricky van Wolfswinkel Right Wing
6.89
23
Stav Lemkin
Stav Lemkin Right Back
6.85
20
Thomas van den Belt
Thomas van den Belt Defensive Midfield
6.95
28
Bart van Rooij
Bart van Rooij Right Back
7.23
39
Mats Rots
Mats Rots Left Back
6.97
27
Sondre Ørjasæter
Sondre Ørjasæter Left Wing
7.03

Starting XI ▼

1
Gonzalo Crettaz
Gonzalo Crettaz Goalkeeper
6.8
20
Noé Lebreton
Noé Lebreton Midfielder
7.08
10
Tjaronn Chery
Tjaronn Chery Midfielder
7.25
11
Başar Önal
Başar Önal Midfielder
6.92
25
Sami Ouaissa
Sami Ouaissa Midfielder
7.05
30
Bryan Linssen
Bryan Linssen Centre Forward
7.07
3
Philippe Sandler
Philippe Sandler Centre Back
6.56
6
Darko Nejasmic
Darko Nejasmic Central Midfield
7.08
14
Eli Dasa
Eli Dasa Right Back
6.66
17
Bram Nuytinck
Bram Nuytinck Left Back
6.36
23
Kodai Sano
Kodai Sano Central Midfield
7.08

CONCLUSION

This Eredivisie showdown pits two top-four sides against each other, with FC Twente's power and form edges giving them the upper hand at De Grolsch Veste. NEC Nijmegen's higher league standing adds intrigue, but Twente's home strength and 4.6-point superiority suggest they can edge a tight contest. Without detailed set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus falls on overall structure and momentum, where hosts prevail. A narrow victory for Twente feels likely, boosting their title aspirations while denting NEC's momentum.

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