FC København vs Silkeborg IF Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Parken Sun, 5 Apr - 4:00 PM
Superliga
FC København COP
7 Winner 0
Silkeborg IF SIL
Full Time Sun, 5 Apr 4:00 PM
Round 3 Relegation Round
Youssoufa Moukoko - 6', 25', 51'
Robert - 12', 62'
William Clem - 17'
Jordan Larsson - 78'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between FC København and Silkeborg IF has officially finished, ending in a commanding 7-0 victory for the home side. FC København took absolute control early on, building a massive 4-0 advantage by half-time before adding three more goals to complete the rout in the second half. The outcome fully aligned with the pre-match market, which heavily favored the hosts with a 69.7% probability of winning, compared to a 17.9% chance for a draw and just 12.4% for a Silkeborg IF upset. Despite the expected victory, the sheer margin of the scoreline represented a significant deviation in favor of FC København, completely overwhelming the visitors. FC København controlled the tempo throughout the contest, holding 56% possession compared to Silkeborg IF's 44%. While specific expected goals (xG) data was unavailable to evaluate the exact quality of scoring chances, the team's efficiency shift was in line with standard performance metrics. Furthermore, the game was completed with 11 men on both sides, as there were no red cards to alter the tactical landscape or impact the final, lopsided outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FC København showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Funder
S. Funder
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.3
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
D. Yurdakul
D. Yurdakul
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.3
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
A. Petersen
A. Petersen
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.3
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
M. Lykke
M. Lykke
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.3
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
FC København B. Svensson
B. Svensson
VS
Silkeborg IF K. Nielsen
K. Nielsen
0.64
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.86
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fredericia Rank: 52 L
Odense BK Rank: 56 L
Randers FC Rank: 61 L
Odense BK Rank: 57 D
Nordsjælland Rank: 66 L
FC Midtjylland Rank: 79 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Randers FC Rank: 62 W
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 49 D
Fredericia Rank: 53 L
FC Midtjylland Rank: 79 L
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 62 L
Viborg FF Rank: 64 L
25
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
25 - 10 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC København
69.69%
Draw
17.94%
Away Silkeborg IF
12.37%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.54
56.9
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC København
Silkeborg IF
Power Score
67.54
56.9
League Position
7
11
Global Rank
250
565

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC København — Opponent-weighted form score
Silkeborg IF — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC København Silkeborg IF

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FC København

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Silkeborg IF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC København ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Silkeborg IF
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
55.98
11.02
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
11.02
55.98
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC København +4.49 Efficiency Index
vs
Silkeborg IF -4.49 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC København
Silkeborg IF
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC København ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Silkeborg IF
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC København Silkeborg IF
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC København Silkeborg IF
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FC København
Silkeborg IF
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
FC København
vs
Silkeborg IF
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FC København Silkeborg IF
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
FC København 0.62
Silkeborg IF 0.24
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FC København Silkeborg IF
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
FC København 0.00
Silkeborg IF 0.15
FC København
Silkeborg IF
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 41 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC København COP Home
41 matches
Silkeborg IF SIL Away
Match Record
25
Wins
6
10
Draws
10
6
Losses
25
Goals
82
Goals Scored
36
36
Goals Conceded
82
+46
Goal Difference
-46
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:05:32+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
D. Kotarski
Croatia
1 D. Kotarski
J. Suzuki
Substitution
Japan
20 J. Suzuki
G. Pereira Magalhães dos Santos
Substitution
Brazil
5 G. Pereira Magalhães dos Santos
M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen
Denmark
25 M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen
M. López Lanfranco
Peru
15 M. López Lanfranco
M. Madsen
Denmark
21 M. Madsen
W. Clem
Denmark
36 W. Clem
J. Larsson
Sweden
11 J. Larsson
M. Elyounoussi
Substitution
Norway
10 M. Elyounoussi
R. Rodrigues Silva
Substitution
Brazil
16 R. Rodrigues Silva
Y. Moukoko
Substitution
Germany
9 Y. Moukoko
N. Larsen
Denmark
1 N. Larsen
A. Poulsen
Denmark
2 A. Poulsen
R. Østrøm
Norway
3 R. Østrøm
M. Jonsson
Sweden
15 M. Jonsson
J. Gammelby
Denmark
19 J. Gammelby
C. McCowatt
Substitution
New Zealand
17 C. McCowatt
A. Vikman
Sweden
6 A. Vikman
W. Kirk
Substitution
Denmark
27 W. Kirk
Y. Bakiz
Substitution
Denmark
10 Y. Bakiz
T. Adamsen
Substitution
Denmark
23 T. Adamsen
S. Brix
Substitution
Denmark
14 S. Brix

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 05, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 3 · Relegation Round
Stadium
Parken
Capacity
38065
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Svend Funder
Deniz Yurdakul
Alex Petersen
Mathias Lykke

Statistics

Possession
COP
59%
SIL
41%

Top Statistics

7 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 0
9 Shots 2
47 Dangerous attacks 17
56 Possession 44
11 Corners 3
3 Free kicks 8
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

21 Goal Attempts 2
97 Ball Safe 81
18 Throwins 19
11 Dribble Attempts 9
61 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53
5 Goal Kicks 8
11 Successful Dribbles 9
7 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

128 Attacks 68
0 Counter Attacks 3

Possession

26 Key Passes 4
88 Successful Passes Percentage 83
577 Passes 452
505 Successful Passes 374
30 Long Passes 14

Defensive

1 Saves 6
20 Interceptions 10
14 Tackles 13
36 Duels Won 31

Build-up

5 Total Crosses 4

Discipline

8 Fouls 3
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Svend Funder

Starting XI ▼

1
Dominik Kotarski
Dominik Kotarski Goalkeeper
5
Gabriel Pereira
Gabriel Pereira Defender
6
Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Defender55'
15
Marcos López
Marcos López Defender
20
Junnosuke Suzuki
Junnosuke Suzuki Defender
17
Aurélio Buta
Aurélio Buta
Defender77'
25
Zanka
Zanka Defender
10
Mohamed Elyounoussi
Mohamed Elyounoussi Midfielder
7
Viktor Claesson
Viktor Claesson
Midfielder68'
11
Jordan Larsson
Jordan Larsson Midfielder
16
Robert
Robert Midfielder
2
30
Elias Achouri
Elias Achouri
Midfielder77'
21
M. Madsen
M. Madsen Midfielder
36
William Clem
William Clem Midfielder
9
Youssoufa Moukoko
Youssoufa Moukoko Attacker
3
14
Andreas Cornelius
Andreas Cornelius
Attacker68'
Referee : Svend Funder

Starting XI ▼

1
Nicolai Larsen
Nicolai Larsen Goalkeeper
2
Andreas Poulsen
Andreas Poulsen Defender
3
Robin Østrøm
Robin Østrøm Defender
15
Melker Jonsson
Melker Jonsson Defender
19
Jens Martin Gammelby
Jens Martin Gammelby Defender
6
Adam Wikman
Adam Wikman Midfielder
17
Callum McCowatt
Callum McCowatt Midfielder
7
Villads Westh
Villads Westh
Midfielder65'
27
William Kirk
William Kirk Midfielder
20
Mads Larsen
Mads Larsen
Midfielder35'
10
Younes Bakiz
Younes Bakiz Attacker
11
Oliver Ross
Oliver Ross
Attacker65'
14
Sofus Berger
Sofus Berger Attacker
28
Simon Stücker
Simon Stücker
Defender35'
23
Tonni Adamsen
Tonni Adamsen Attacker
9
Alexander Simmelhack
Alexander Simmelhack
Attacker77'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jordan Larsson
Header / 7th Goal
78'
Event
Elias Achouri → Robert
8th Substitution
77'
Event
Aurélio Buta → Junnosuke Suzuki
9th Substitution
77'
77'
Event
Alexander Simmelhack → Tonni Adamsen
10th Substitution
Event
Andreas Cornelius → Youssoufa Moukoko
7th Substitution
68'
Event
Viktor Claesson → Mohamed Elyounoussi
6th Substitution
68'
65'
Event
Oliver Ross → Younes Bakiz
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Villads Westh → Callum McCowatt
5th Substitution
Event
Robert
Right foot shot / 6th Goal
62'
Event
Zanka
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
57'
57'
Event
Callum McCowatt
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Pantelis Hatzidiakos → Gabriel Pereira
3rd Substitution
55'
Event
Youssoufa Moukoko
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
51'
1ST-HALF
35'
Event
Simon Stücker → Sofus Berger
2nd Substitution
35'
Event
Mads Larsen → William Kirk
1st Substitution
Event
Youssoufa Moukoko
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
25'
Event
William Clem
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
17'
Event
Robert
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
12'
Event
Youssoufa Moukoko
Goal awarded
7'
Event
Youssoufa Moukoko
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
6'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: FC København exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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