Famalicão vs Nacional Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho Sat, 21 Mar - 3:30 PM
Liga Portugal
Famalicão Famalicão
1 Winner 0
Nacional Nacional
Full Time Sat, 21 Mar 3:30 PM
Round 27 Regular Season
Ibrahima Ba - 63'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between Famalicão and Nacional has finished with a full-time score of 1-0 in favor of the home side. After an even 0-0 scoreline at halftime, Famalicão eventually broke the deadlock to secure the victory. This result was perfectly aligned with the pre-match market, which heavily favored Famalicão with a 60.2% implied probability of winning, compared to a 23.6% chance for a draw and just 16.1% for a Nacional upset. Despite being the expected outcome, achieving the win still represented a significant deviation level of 39.8% for Famalicão. The final outcome was entirely consistent with the expected goals (xG) metrics. Famalicão generated a dominant 1.99 xG compared to Nacional's meager 0.47 xG. The home side also controlled the flow of the game, holding 54% possession against Nacional's 46%. Both teams demonstrated an efficiency shift that was completely in line with general expectations, as Famalicão successfully translated their statistical superiority into the decisive lone goal. Furthermore, it was a disciplined affair with zero red cards issued to either squad, ensuring that the market logic and xG alignment were never disrupted by unforeseen dismissals.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Famalicão showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Famalicão H. Carvalho Oliveira
H. Carvalho Oliveira
VS
Nacional T. Carvalho Margarido
T. Carvalho Margarido
1.52
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.9
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 71 W
Arouca Rank: 64 W
Rio Ave Rank: 64 D
Casa Pia Rank: 64 W
Sporting CP Rank: 89 L
AVS Rank: 56 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Estoril Rank: 69 L
Moreirense Rank: 68 D
Sporting Braga Rank: 81 L
Arouca Rank: 65 L
Porto Rank: 88 L
Casa Pia Rank: 64 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Famalicão
60.24%
Draw
23.64%
Away Nacional
16.12%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
73.13
63.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Famalicão
Nacional
Power Score
73.13
63.33
League Position
5
16
Global Rank
141
379

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Famalicão — Opponent-weighted form score
Nacional — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Famalicão Nacional

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Famalicão

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Nacional

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Famalicão ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nacional
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.72
23.80
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.80
29.72
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Famalicão +0.60 Efficiency Index
vs
Nacional -0.60 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Famalicão
Nacional
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Famalicão
vs
Nacional
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Famalicão Nacional
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Famalicão Nacional
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Famalicão
Nacional
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Famalicão Famalicão Home
5 matches
Nacional Nacional Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
6
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:22:36+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
L. Carević
Montenegro
25 L. Carević
R. Pinheiro Ferreira
Portugal
17 R. Pinheiro Ferreira
I. Ba
Senegal
55 I. Ba
J. de Haas
Netherlands
16 J. de Haas
L. Soares Alves
Portugal
5 L. Soares Alves
G. Alves Freitas Azevedo Sá
Substitution
Portugal
20 (C) G. Alves Freitas Azevedo Sá
T. van de Looi
Netherlands
6 T. van de Looi
M. De Amorim
Substitution
France
14 M. De Amorim
G. Bastião Dias
Portugal
23 G. Bastião Dias
S. Elisor
Substitution
France
12 S. Elisor
M. Lopes Moura
Substitution
Brazil
7 M. Lopes Moura
K. Pereira Azarias
Brazil
1 K. Pereira Azarias
L. Vallier
France
24 L. Vallier
J. Lima Cardoso
Brazil
38 J. Lima Cardoso
L. Rodrigues dos Santos
Brazil
34 (C) L. Rodrigues dos Santos
A. Núñez Duarte
Paraguay
16 A. Núñez Duarte
C. Abidi
Substitution
Tunisia
15 C. Abidi
Matheus Dias
Substitution
Brazil
6 Matheus Dias
M. Baeza Pérez
Substitution
Spain
8 M. Baeza Pérez
P. Pereira da Silva
Substitution
Brazil
11 P. Pereira da Silva
L. Santos João
Angola
19 L. Santos João
D. de Melo Araujo Junior
Brazil
10 D. de Melo Araujo Junior

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 21, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Capacity
5307
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho
Diogo Pereira dos Santos
Inácio Pereira
Bruno José Ribeiro Pires Costa

Statistics

Possession
Famalicão
53%
Nacional
47%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 6
41 Dangerous attacks 39
54 Possession 46
7 Corners 6
18 Free kicks 13
3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

65 Ball Safe 57
22 Throwins 18
6 Goal Kicks 9
8 Goal Attempts 9
15 Dribble Attempts 13
1 Injuries 3
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 31
5 Successful Dribbles 4
13 Successful Headers 9
1 Assists 0
4 Substitutions 4

Attacking

99 Attacks 88
1 Counter Attacks 1
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

49 Long Passes 52
428 Passes 361
10 Key Passes 7
359 Successful Passes 303
84 Successful Passes Percentage 84
51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40
25 Successful Long Passes 21

Defensive

6 Saves 3
18 Tackles 21
6 Interceptions 11

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 20
6 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

13 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

Starting XI ▼

25
Lazar Carević
Lazar Carević Goalkeeper
7.99
5
Rafa Soares
Rafa Soares Defender
7.27
16
Justin de Haas
Justin de Haas Defender
6.85
17
Rodrigo Pinheiro
Rodrigo Pinheiro Defender
7.65
55
Ibrahima Ba
Ibrahima Ba Defender
7.83
6
Tom van de Looi
Tom van de Looi Midfielder
6.7
14
Mathias de Amorim
Mathias de Amorim Midfielder
6.85
8
Marcos Peña
Marcos Peña
Midfielder79'
6.65
20
Gustavo Sá
Gustavo Sá (C) Midfielder
7.28
3
Léo Realpe
Léo Realpe
Defender89'
7
Sorriso
Sorriso Attacker
6.47
77
Antoine Joujou
Antoine Joujou
Attacker87'
12
Simon Elisor
Simon Elisor Attacker
7.13
9
Umar Abubakar
Umar Abubakar
Attacker79'
6.55
23
Gil Dias
Gil Dias Attacker
7.05
Referee : Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

Starting XI ▼

1
Kaique
Kaique Goalkeeper
7.01
16
Alan Nuñez
Alan Nuñez Defender
7.02
24
L. Vallier
L. Vallier Defender
7.23
34
Léo Santos
Léo Santos (C) Defender
6.95
38
Ze Vitor
Ze Vitor Defender
7.39
6
Matheus Dias
Matheus Dias Midfielder
6.54
22
Filipe Soares
Filipe Soares
Midfielder77'
6.45
8
Miguel Baeza
Miguel Baeza Midfielder
6.47
7
Witiness Quembo
Witiness Quembo
Attacker77'
6.58
15
Chiheb Labidi
Chiheb Labidi Midfielder
6.78
26
Joel Silva
Joel Silva
Midfielder77'
6.42
10
Daniel Jr
Daniel Jr Attacker
6.9
11
Paulinho Bóia
Paulinho Bóia Attacker
6.5
99
Pablo Ruan
Pablo Ruan
Attacker84'
6.7
19
Lucas João
Lucas João Attacker
6.75

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ibrahima Ba
Time wasting / 6th Yellowcard
90+2'
90+1'
Event
Daniel Jr
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
7th Yellowcard
Event
Léo Realpe → Gustavo Sá
8th Substitution
89'
Event
Antoine Joujou → Sorriso
7th Substitution
87'
84'
Event
Pablo Ruan → Paulinho Bóia
6th Substitution
Event
Marcos Peña → Mathias de Amorim
5th Substitution
79'
Event
Umar Abubakar → Simon Elisor
4th Substitution
79'
Event
Mathias de Amorim
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
78'
77'
Event
Witiness Quembo → Miguel Baeza
1st Substitution
77'
Event
Joel Silva → Chiheb Labidi
2nd Substitution
77'
Event
Filipe Soares → Matheus Dias
3rd Substitution
Event
Ibrahima Ba
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
63'
1ST-HALF
43'
Event
L. Vallier
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Gustavo Sá
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
40'
16'
Event
Matheus Dias
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Daniel Júnior from CD Nacional receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Famalicão: Léo Realpe comes on to take the place of Gustavo Sá.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded, with the final score being Famalicão 1, CD Nacional 0.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Pablo Ruan from CD Nacional took a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it sailed high and to the right after a set piece.
90
Update Update
Tom van de Looi commits a foul for Famalicão.
90
Update Update
Lenny Vallier from CD Nacional earns a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
90
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Famalicão after Zé Vítor allowed the ball to go out.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ibrahima Ba from Famalicão receives a yellow card.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lazar Carevic from Famalicão receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Daniel Júnior from CD Nacional commits a foul.
90
Update Update
Tom van de Looi from Famalicão earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of stoppage time.
89
Update Update
Zé Vítor from CD Nacional commits a foul.
89
Update Update
Gustavo Sá from Famalicão has been awarded a free kick in the opponent's half.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Famalicão: Antoine Joujou comes on to take the place of Sorriso.
86
Update Update
Umar Abubakar from Famalicão commits a handball foul.
86
Corner Corner
The attempt was thwarted. Lucas João of CD Nacional took a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but Lazar Carevic from Famalicão made a save in the bottom right corner. The chance was set up by Léo Santos, who provided a headed assist.
85
Update Update
Tom van de Looi commits a foul for Famalicão.
85
Update Update
Pablo Ruan from CD Nacional earns a free kick on the left flank.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for CD Nacional: Pablo Ruan comes on to take the place of Paulinho Bóia.
84
Update Update
Alan Núñez from CD Nacional commits a foul.
84
Update Update
Sorriso - Famalicão has been awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
82
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Famalicão after Lenny Vallier's defensive play.
81
Update Update
Filipe Soares from CD Nacional commits a foul.
81
Update Update
Umar Abubakar from Famalicão is awarded a free kick on the right flank.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Famalicão: Marcos Peña comes on to take the place of Mathias de Amorim.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Famalicão: Umar Abubakar comes on to take the place of Simon Elisor.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mathias de Amorim from Famalicão receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
78
Update Update
Gustavo Sá commits a foul for Famalicão.
78
Update Update
Daniel Júnior from CD Nacional earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for CD Nacional: Filipe Soares comes on to take the place of Matheus Dias.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for CD Nacional: Witi comes on to replace Miguel Baeza, who has sustained an injury.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for CD Nacional: Joel Silva comes on to take the place of Chiheb Labidi.
76
Update Update
Chiheb Labidi from CD Nacional is awarded a free kick in their own half.
76
Update Update
Foul committed by Tom van de Looi of Famalicão.
75
Update Update
Rodrigo Pinheiro from Famalicão earns a free kick in his team's defensive half.
75
Update Update
Daniel Júnior from CD Nacional commits a foul.
72
Corner Corner
A shot on goal was blocked. Chiheb Labidi from CD Nacional tried a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but Lazar Carevic from Famalicão made a save in the bottom right corner, with assistance from Alan Núñez.
70
Update Update
Tom van de Looi commits a foul for Famalicão.
70
Update Update
Offside call against CD Nacional. Paulinho Bóia has been flagged for being in an offside position.
70
Update Update
Daniel Júnior from CD Nacional is awarded a free kick in the opponent's half.
67
Update Update
Zé Vítor from CD Nacional earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by Simon Elisor of Famalicão.
65
Update Update
Gustavo Sá commits a foul for Famalicão.
65
Update Update
Chiheb Labidi of CD Nacional is awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
63
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Famalicão takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against CD Nacional. Ibrahima Ba finds the back of the net with a right-footed shot from just a few yards out after a set piece play.
62
Update Update
Gil Dias from Famalicão earns a free kick on the right flank.
62
Update Update
Foul committed by Chiheb Labidi of CD Nacional.
60
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Gustavo Sá from Famalicão takes a right-footed strike from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Simon Elisor.
60
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Gil Dias from Famalicão takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sails over the crossbar.
59
Update Update
Zé Vítor from CD Nacional commits a foul.
59
Update Update
Rodrigo Pinheiro from Famalicão earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
57
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Simon Elisor from Famalicão took a left-footed shot from just a short distance, but it went over the bar. The chance was set up by a cross from Rafa Soares.
56
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Alan Núñez from CD Nacional takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sails high and to the right of the goal. The attempt was set up by Lenny Vallier after a corner kick.
55
Corner Corner
A shot on goal was thwarted. Paulinho Bóia from CD Nacional took a left-footed strike from the left side of the penalty area, but Lazar Carevic from Famalicão made a save, denying the attempt in the bottom right corner. The effort was set up by Daniel Júnior.
55
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to CD Nacional after Rodrigo Pinheiro allowed the ball to go out.
52
Update Update
Sorriso has been awarded a free kick in their own half against Famalicão.
52
Update Update
Sorriso - Famalicão has been awarded a free kick in their own half.
50
Update Update
Gustavo Sá from Famalicão commits a foul.
50
Update Update
Matheus Dias from CD Nacional is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
48
Update Update
Sorriso has been awarded a free kick in their own half against Famalicão.
48
Update Update
Foul committed by Alan Núñez of CD Nacional.
47
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Famalicão after Lenny Vallier's defensive play.
45
Corner Corner
Shot on goal blocked. Gustavo Sá from Famalicão takes a right-footed strike from the right side of the six-yard box, but Kaique from CD Nacional makes a save in the bottom right corner.
45
Update Update
Miguel Baeza from CD Nacional commits a foul.
45
Update Update
The game is currently paused due to an injury to Kaique from CD Nacional.
45
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Famalicão after Alan Núñez allowed the ball to go out.
45
Update Update
Léo Santos from CD Nacional commits a foul.
45
Update Update
The pause has ended. The teams are set to resume play.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
Simon Elisor from Famalicão earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
45
Update Update
The first half concludes with the score tied at 0-0 between Famalicão and CD Nacional.
45
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Gil Dias from Famalicão tries a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Tom van de Looi.
45
Update Update
Gil Dias from Famalicão earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
44
Update Update
Mathias de Amorim from Famalicão earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
44
Update Update
Daniel Júnior from CD Nacional commits a foul.
43
Update Update
Gil Dias from Famalicão is awarded a free kick in the defensive half of the field.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lenny Vallier from CD Nacional receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
43
Update Update
Lenny Vallier from CD Nacional commits a foul.
42
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
41
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Mathias de Amorim from Famalicão.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Gustavo Sá from Famalicão receives a yellow card.
40
Update Update
Zé Vítor from CD Nacional earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
40
Update Update
Gustavo Sá commits a foul for Famalicão.
39
Update Update
Sorriso has been awarded a free kick on the left side of the field against Famalicão.
39
Update Update
Foul committed by Alan Núñez of CD Nacional.
38
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Simon Elisor from Famalicão took a left-footed shot from a challenging angle on the left side, but it went wide to the left. Rafa Soares provided the assist.
36
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Mathias de Amorim from Famalicão takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sails over the crossbar.
35
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Chiheb Labidi from CD Nacional took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed high and wide to the left. The attempt was set up by Lenny Vallier after a corner kick.
34
Corner Corner
The shot was blocked. Daniel Júnior from CD Nacional took a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but Lazar Carevic from Famalicão made a save, diving to the bottom right corner.
34
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to CD Nacional after Ibrahima Ba allowed the ball to go out of play.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to CD Nacional after a play that resulted in a foul by Lazar Carevic.
31
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Tom van de Looi from Famalicão takes a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Simon Elisor.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Famalicão after a deflection off Kaique.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Famalicão after a play that resulted in a foul by Kaique.
25
Update Update
Tom van de Looi from Famalicão has been awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
25
Update Update
Chiheb Labidi from CD Nacional commits a foul.
24
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
23
Update Update
The game is currently paused due to an injury to Lenny Vallier from CD Nacional.
22
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Tom van de Looi from Famalicão takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sails high and to the right of the goal. The attempt was set up by Mathias de Amorim after a corner kick.
21
Corner Corner
A shot on goal has been blocked. Simon Elisor from Famalicão took a right-footed strike from the right side of the penalty area, but Kaique from CD Nacional managed to save it, diving to the bottom left corner. The opportunity was set up by Rodrigo Pinheiro, who provided a well-placed through ball.
21
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Famalicão after a foul by Kaique.
17
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to CD Nacional after Ibrahima Ba allowed the ball to go out of play.
16
Update Update
Matheus Dias from CD Nacional committed a foul.
16
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matheus Dias from CD Nacional receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
16
Update Update
Gil Dias from Famalicão earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
13
Attempt Attempt
The shot is deflected. Sorriso from Famalicão takes a right-footed attempt from the left side of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Gustavo Sá.
12
Update Update
Gil Dias commits a foul for Famalicão.
12
Update Update
Lenny Vallier from CD Nacional is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
10
Update Update
Lenny Vallier of CD Nacional is awarded a free kick in the opponent's half.
10
Update Update
Ibrahima Ba from Famalicão commits a foul.
10
Corner Corner
A shot from outside the penalty area by Zé Vítor of CD Nacional was saved in the bottom right corner by Lazar Carevic from Famalicão. The attempt was set up by Daniel Júnior.
9
Update Update
Lenny Vallier from CD Nacional commits a foul.
9
Update Update
Mathias de Amorim from Famalicão earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
8
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to CD Nacional after Sorriso allowed the ball to go out.
7
Attempt Attempt
A shot on goal has been thwarted. Chiheb Labidi from CD Nacional took a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but Lazar Carevic of Famalicão made a great save, diving to his bottom right to keep it out. The attempt was set up by Lenny Vallier.
7
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to CD Nacional after Lazar Carevic allowed the ball to go out.
5
Update Update
Ibrahima Ba commits a foul for Famalicão.
5
Update Update
Paulinho Bóia from CD Nacional earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
3
Update Update
Matheus Dias from CD Nacional committed a foul.
3
Update Update
Gustavo Sá from Famalicão earns a free kick on the right side of the field.
1
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Simon Elisor from Famalicão heads the ball from the right side of the six-yard box, but it sails high and to the left. The chance was set up by Gil Dias, who delivered a cross after a corner kick.
1
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Famalicão after Lenny Vallier's defensive play.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Famalicão exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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