Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio José Gomes Sat, 11 Apr - 7:30 PM
Liga Portugal
Estrela Amadora Estrela Amadora
0 Winner 1
Sporting CP SCP
Full Time Sat, 11 Apr 7:30 PM
Round 29 Regular Season
|
Goal
Daniel Bragança - 59'

CONTEXT

The match between Estrela Amadora and Sporting CP is now finished, ending with a full-time score of 0-1 in favor of the visitors. After an even first half with no goals, Sporting CP found the decisive strike in the second period to claim victory. Pre-match expectations strongly favored Sporting CP at 76.1 percent implied win probability against just 8 percent for the home side. The result showed a significant deviation for Sporting CP, yet they fulfilled their status as the stronger team by securing the win, with the outcome proving aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was markedly one-sided, as Sporting CP controlled 67 percent of the ball compared to Estrela Amadora’s 33 percent. No expected goals data was available to measure alignment precisely, but the efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations and no red cards disrupted proceedings for either team. Overall the contest reflected Sporting CP’s superiority without major late adjustments, producing a result that matched their pre-match standing despite the noted deviation.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sporting CP showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
N. Cunha
N. Cunha
2nd Assistant 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.77
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
D. Oliveira Silva
D. Oliveira Silva
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.77
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
C. Campos
C. Campos
1st Assistant 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.77
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
D. da Silva Pinto
D. da Silva Pinto
4th Official 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.77
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
Estrela Amadora J. Rodrigues Carromeu
J. Rodrigues Carromeu
VS
Sporting CP R. Gomes Borges
R. Gomes Borges
1.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.5
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nacional Rank: L
Casa Pia Rank: W
Rio Ave Rank: L
Gil Vicente Rank: D
AVS Rank: D
Tondela Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Santa Clara Rank: W
Alverca Rank: W
Tondela Rank: D
Sporting Braga Rank: D
Estoril Rank: W
Moreirense Rank: W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 11
11

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Estrela Amadora
8.03%
Draw
15.92%
Away Sporting CP
76.05%

Movement

Changes since opening
Estrela Amadora
+7.84%
Draw
+12.22%
Sporting CP
-20.06%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
15.05
36.73
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Estrela Amadora
Sporting CP
Power Score
15.05
36.73
League Position
14
2
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Estrela Amadora Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting CP Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Estrela Amadora Sporting CP

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Estrela Amadora

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Sporting CP

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Estrela Amadora ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sporting CP
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.36
19.85
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
19.85
31.36
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Estrela Amadora +1.16 Efficiency Index
vs
Sporting CP -1.16 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Estrela Amadora
Sporting CP
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Estrela Amadora ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sporting CP
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Estrela Amadora Sporting CP
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Estrela Amadora Sporting CP
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Estrela Amadora
Sporting CP
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Estrela Amadora
vs
Sporting CP
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Estrela Amadora Sporting CP
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Estrela Amadora Sporting CP
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Estrela Amadora
Sporting CP
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SCP had peak pressure around 35'.
  • SCP started the game with stronger pressure.
Estrela Amadora Pressure SCP Pressure
Pressure Index: SCP reached the top pressure at 35' (67.70).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Estrela Amadora Estrela Amadora Home
13 matches
Sporting CP SCP Away
Match Record
1
Wins
11
1
Draws
1
11
Losses
1
Goals
8
Goals Scored
30
30
Goals Conceded
8
-22
Goal Difference
+22
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-12T01:02:11+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
R. Ribeiro
Brazil
40 R. Ribeiro
M. Scholze
Germany
21 M. Scholze
S. Leković
Serbia
4 S. Leković
B. Schappo
Brazil
14 B. Schappo
B. Langa
Substitution
Mozambique
24 B. Langa
E. Doué
Substitution
France
39 E. Doué
K. Höög-Jansson
Sweden
6 K. Höög-Jansson
R. Oliveira Botelho
Substitution
Brazil
8 R. Oliveira Botelho
A. Marcus
Nigeria
99 A. Marcus
R. Pereira de Pinho
Substitution
Brazil
9 R. Pereira de Pinho
I. Stoica
Substitution
Romania
10 I. Stoica
R. Dantas da Silva
Portugal
1 R. Dantas da Silva
M. Araújo Vilches
Uruguay
20 M. Araújo Vilches
Z. Debast
Belgium
6 Z. Debast
E. Quaresma Coimbra Simões
Portugal
72 E. Quaresma Coimbra Simões
I. Fresneda Corraliza
Substitution
Spain
22 I. Fresneda Corraliza
D. Santos Bragança
Substitution
Portugal
23 D. Santos Bragança
M. Hjulmand
Denmark
42 M. Hjulmand
P. Pereira Gonçalves
Substitution
Portugal
8 P. Pereira Gonçalves
F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
Substitution
Portugal
17 F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
G. Cipriano Catamo
Substitution
Mozambique
10 G. Cipriano Catamo
L. Suárez Charris
Colombia
97 L. Suárez Charris

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 11, 2026, 07:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio José Gomes
Capacity
9000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Nélson Cunha
David Rafael Oliveira Silva
Carlos Campos
Daniel Bruno da Silva Pinto

Statistics

Possession
Estrela Amadora
39%
SCP
61%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
4 Shots 4
27 Dangerous attacks 66
33 Possession 67
4 Corners 13
16 Free kicks 14
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

6 Goal Attempts 3
73 Ball Safe 59
5 Substitutions 5
0 Assists 1
1 Hit Woodwork 1
12 Throwins 16
60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 31
4 Goal Kicks 8
15 Dribble Attempts 16
9 Successful Dribbles 5
4 Successful Headers 8

Attacking

2 Counter Attacks 0
76 Attacks 117

Possession

77 Successful Passes Percentage 86
225 Successful Passes 507
40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49
47 Long Passes 41
6 Key Passes 7
19 Successful Long Passes 20
291 Passes 588

Defensive

15 Tackles 9
21 Interceptions 5
1 Saves 3

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 1
11 Total Crosses 16

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
13 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Starting XI

40
Renan Ribeiro
Renan Ribeiro Goalkeeper
4
Stefan Leković
Stefan Leković Defender
14
Bernardo Schappo
Bernardo Schappo Defender
21
Max Scholze
Max Scholze Defender
24
Bruno Langa
Bruno Langa Defender
17
Jefferson Encada
Jefferson Encada
Defender76'
6
Kevin Höög Jansson
Kevin Höög Jansson Midfielder
8
Robinho
Robinho Midfielder
18
Jorge Meireles
Jorge Meireles
Attacker65'
39
Eddy Doué
Eddy Doué Midfielder
83
Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes
Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes
Defender77'
9
Rodrigo Pinho
Rodrigo Pinho Attacker
20
Sydney van Hooijdonk
Sydney van Hooijdonk
Attacker77'
10
Ianis Stoica
Ianis Stoica Attacker
11
Jovane Cabral
Jovane Cabral
Attacker62'
99
Abraham Marcus
Abraham Marcus Attacker
Referee : David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Starting XI

1
Rui Silva
Rui Silva Goalkeeper
6
Zeno Debast
Zeno Debast Defender
20
Maxi Araújo
Maxi Araújo Defender
22
Iván Fresneda
Iván Fresneda Defender
13
Georgios Vagiannidis
Georgios Vagiannidis
Defender46'
72
Eduardo Quaresma
Eduardo Quaresma Defender
8
Pedro Gonçalves
Pedro Gonçalves Midfielder
7
Geovany Quenda
Geovany Quenda
Midfielder67'
10
Geny Catamo
Geny Catamo Midfielder
90
Rafael Nel
Rafael Nel
Attacker90+6'
17
Francisco Trincão
Francisco Trincão Midfielder
26
Ousmane Diomande
Ousmane Diomande
Defender90+2'
23
Daniel Bragança
Daniel Bragança Midfielder
5
Hidemasa Morita
Hidemasa Morita
Midfielder67'
42
Morten Hjulmand
Morten Hjulmand Midfielder
97
Luis Suárez
Luis Suárez Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
90+6'
Event
Rafael Nel Geny Catamo
10th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Ousmane Diomande Francisco Trincão
9th Substitution
Event
Sydney van Hooijdonk
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90'
Event
Jefferson Encada
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
88'
87'
Event
Rui Silva
Time wasting / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes Eddy Doué
7th Substitution
77'
Event
Sydney van Hooijdonk Rodrigo Pinho
8th Substitution
77'
Event
Jefferson Encada Bruno Langa
6th Substitution
76'
67'
Event
Hidemasa Morita Daniel Bragança
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Geovany Quenda Pedro Gonçalves
5th Substitution
Event
Jorge Meireles Robinho
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Jovane Cabral Ianis Stoica
2nd Substitution
62'
59'
Event
Daniel Bragança
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
46'
Event
Georgios Vagiannidis Iván Fresneda
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Kevin Höög Jansson
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
45+2'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Luis Suárez from Sporting Lisbon has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it is blocked.
90
Update Update
Zeno Debast from Sporting Lisbon wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sydney van Hooijdonk of Estrela receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Lisbon: Ousmane Diomande comes on for Trincão.
90
Update Update
Zeno Debast from Sporting Lisbon wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Abraham Marcus from Estrela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Sydney van Hooijdonk against Estrela.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Jorge Meireles of Estrela.
90
Update Update
Foul by Maxi Araújo of Sporting Lisbon.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 5 minutes of added time.
90
Corner Corner
Sporting Lisbon wins a corner after Otávio concedes.
90
Update Update
Maxi Araújo wins a free kick for Sporting Lisbon in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Estrela losing 0-1 to Sporting Lisbon.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Lisbon: Rafael Nel comes on for Geny Catamo.
90
Corner Corner
Sporting Lisbon wins a corner after Stefan Lekovic concedes.
90
Corner Corner
Sporting Lisbon wins a corner after Jefferson Encada concedes.
89
Update Update
Luis Suárez wins a free kick for Sporting Lisbon in the attacking half.
89
Update Update
Luis Suárez wins a free kick for Sporting Lisbon in the attacking half.
89
Update Update
Handball by Eduardo Quaresma of Sporting Lisbon.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jefferson Encada from Estrela receives a yellow card.
88
Update Update
Foul committed by Stefan Lekovic of Estrela.
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Rui Silva of Sporting Lisbon receives a yellow card.
85
Update Update
Morten Hjulmand wins a free kick for Sporting Lisbon in the defensive half.
85
Update Update
Foul committed by Jovane Cabral of Estrela.
83
Update Update
Abraham Marcus is caught offside for Estrela.
83
Attempt Attempt
Sydney van Hooijdonk's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is saved in the center of the goal by Rui Silva. The attempt was assisted by Max Scholze.
81
Update Update
Foul committed by Hidemasa Morita of Sporting Lisbon.
81
Update Update
Abraham Marcus from Estrela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
80
Attempt Attempt
Jorge Meireles from Estrela has his right-footed shot from outside the box blocked, with an assist from Jovane Cabral.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Estrela after Zeno Debast concedes.
80
Corner Corner
Otávio from Estrela misses the header from the center of the box, sending it too high. Jorge Meireles assisted with a cross after a corner.
79
Attempt Attempt
Geny Catamo from Sporting Lisbon hits the woodwork with a left-footed shot from outside the box.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Estrela: Sydney van Hooijdonk comes on for Rodrigo Pinho.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Estrela: Jefferson Encada comes on for Eddy Doué.
76
Update Update
Foul committed by Hidemasa Morita of Sporting Lisbon.
76
Update Update
Abraham Marcus from Estrela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Estrela: Otávio comes on for Bruno Langa.
73
Corner Corner
Sporting Lisbon wins a corner after Jovane Cabral concedes it.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Estrela after a foul by Morten Hjulmand.
70
Corner Corner
Kevin Höög Jansson's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Rui Silva. The attempt was assisted by Jorge Meireles.
70
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Abraham Marcus from Estrela has a right-footed shot from the right side of the box that is blocked.
67
Update Update
Geovany Quenda of Sporting Lisbon wins a free kick in the defensive half.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by Jorge Meireles of Estrela.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Lisbon: Hidemasa Morita comes on for Daniel Bragança.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Lisbon: Geovany Quenda comes on for Pote.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Estrela: Jorge Meireles comes on for Robinho.
64
Update Update
Maxi Araújo wins a free kick for Sporting Lisbon in the defensive half.
64
Update Update
Maxi Araújo wins a free kick for Sporting Lisbon in the defensive half.
63
Update Update
Foul committed by Jovane Cabral of Estrela.
63
Update Update
Daniel Bragança from Sporting Lisbon wins a free kick in the defensive half.
63
Update Update
Foul committed by Jovane Cabral of Estrela.
63
Update Update
Georgios Vagiannidis wins a free kick for Sporting Lisbon in the defensive half.
62
Update Update
Ianis Stoica from Estrela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
62
Update Update
Georgios Vagiannidis wins a free kick for Sporting Lisbon on the right wing.
62
Update Update
Foul by Luis Suárez for Sporting Lisbon.
62
Update Update
Bruno Langa from Estrela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Estrela: Jovane Cabral comes on for Ianis Stoica.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sporting Lisbon takes the lead 1-0 against Estrela. Daniel Bragança scores with a left-footed shot from outside the box into the bottom right corner, assisted by Trincão.
58
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Rodrigo Pinho from Estrela.
56
Corner Corner
Robinho from Estrela attempts a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it misses to the left after a corner.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Estrela after a concession by Daniel Bragança.
53
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Geny Catamo from Sporting Lisbon.
52
Update Update
Foul committed by Daniel Bragança of Sporting Lisbon.
52
Update Update
Abraham Marcus from Estrela wins a free kick on the right wing.
50
Corner Corner
Attempt missed. Luis Suárez from Sporting Lisbon takes a left-footed shot from the center of the box after a corner.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sporting Lisbon after a concession by Stefan Lekovic.
48
Update Update
Daniel Bragança of Sporting Lisbon wins a free kick in the defensive half.
48
Update Update
Daniel Bragança of Sporting Lisbon wins a free kick in the defensive half.
46
Update Update
Foul by Morten Hjulmand of Sporting Lisbon.
46
Corner Corner
Sporting Lisbon wins a corner after Bruno Langa concedes.
46
Update Update
Bernardo Schappo from Estrela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
Morten Hjulmand wins a free kick for Sporting Lisbon in the attacking half.
45
Update Update
Foul by Kevin Höög Jansson on Estrela.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 2 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Estrela and Sporting Lisbon tied at 0-0.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kevin Höög Jansson from Estrela receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Lisbon: Georgios Vagiannidis comes on for Iván Fresneda.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the match score at Estrela 0, Sporting Lisbon 0.
43
Update Update
Zeno Debast from Sporting Lisbon wins a free kick in the defensive half.
43
Update Update
Foul committed by Ianis Stoica of Estrela.
41
Update Update
Foul committed by Eddy Doué of Estrela.
41
Update Update
Morten Hjulmand of Sporting Lisbon wins a free kick in the defensive half.
40
Update Update
Foul committed by Zeno Debast of Sporting Lisbon.
40
Update Update
Rodrigo Pinho from Estrela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
39
Attempt Attempt
Ianis Stoica from Estrela misses a right-footed shot from the left side of the box.
38
Update Update
Max Scholze from Estrela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
38
Update Update
Foul committed by Maxi Araújo of Sporting Lisbon.
35
Update Update
Ianis Stoica from Estrela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
35
Update Update
Foul committed by Iván Fresneda of Sporting Lisbon.
33
Corner Corner
Sporting Lisbon wins a corner after Robinho concedes.
32
Corner Corner
Sporting Lisbon is awarded a corner after Max Scholze concedes.
32
Attempt Attempt
Pote from Sporting Lisbon misses a left-footed shot from the center of the box, going to the left. Luis Suárez provided the assist.
30
Corner Corner
Corner, Sporting Lisbon. Conceded by Ianis Stoica.
29
Corner Corner
Sporting Lisbon is awarded a corner after Stefan Lekovic concedes.
28
Corner Corner
Sporting Lisbon wins a corner after Bruno Langa concedes.
20
Corner Corner
Eddy Doué from Estrela misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it high and wide to the right after a corner.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Estrela after Eduardo Quaresma concedes it.
18
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Trincão from Sporting Lisbon with a left-footed shot from the center of the box.
18
Attempt Attempt
Luis Suárez of Sporting Lisbon has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Maxi Araújo.
18
Attempt Attempt
Trincão from Sporting Lisbon misses the attempt with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, sending it too high. He was assisted by Iván Fresneda, who provided a headed pass.
17
Update Update
Foul committed by Trincão of Sporting Lisbon.
17
Update Update
Ianis Stoica from Estrela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
13
Update Update
Foul committed by Zeno Debast of Sporting Lisbon.
13
Update Update
Robinho from Estrela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
11
Update Update
Foul committed by Morten Hjulmand of Sporting Lisbon.
11
Corner Corner
Sporting Lisbon is awarded a corner after Stefan Lekovic concedes it.
11
Update Update
Foul committed by Zeno Debast of Sporting Lisbon.
10
Corner Corner
Sporting Lisbon wins a corner after Bruno Langa concedes.
9
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Ianis Stoica from Estrela.
8
Attempt Attempt
Eddy Doué from Estrela misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from the right side of the box.
7
Update Update
Stefan Lekovic from Estrela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
7
Attempt Attempt
Maxi Araújo from Sporting Lisbon misses a left-footed shot from the left side of the box.
7
Update Update
Foul committed by Luis Suárez for Sporting Lisbon.
4
Update Update
Foul by Bernardo Schappo for Estrela.
4
Update Update
Luis Suárez wins a free kick for Sporting Lisbon on the right wing.
3
Update Update
Foul committed by Daniel Bragança of Sporting Lisbon.
3
Update Update
Robinho from Estrela wins a free kick in the defensive half.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Sporting CP exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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