Eintracht Frankfurt vs Heidenheim Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Bundesliga
Heidenheim
HDH
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
The match between Eintracht Frankfurt and Heidenheim has finished with a 1-0 victory for the home side. After a completely scoreless first half, Frankfurt managed to break the deadlock to secure the full-time win. The hosts dictated the tempo and dominated the ball throughout the contest, controlling 66% of the possession compared to Heidenheim's 34%. Because expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, it cannot be determined if the final outcome strictly aligned with the underlying chance creation metrics. Heading into the game, the pre-match market heavily favored the hosts, giving Eintracht Frankfurt a 59.7% probability of victory. A draw sat at 21.8%, and an away win at just 18.6%. The final 1-0 outcome ultimately aligned with these pre-match market expectations. However, achieving this result still required a significant deviation from Frankfurt, highlighted by a 40.3% deviation level. Meanwhile, the overall efficiency shift remained squarely in line with forecasts. The dynamics of the match were heavily impacted by disciplinary issues. Eintracht Frankfurt received a red card, forcing the stronger team to play with a numerical disadvantage. This sending-off created a noticeable second-half red card distortion, though the hosts successfully defended their narrow lead.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Eintracht Frankfurt showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
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Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Eintracht Frankfurt
Heidenheim
Team Power Ranking
i
80.97
68.35
Eintracht Frankfurt
Heidenheim
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Eintracht Frankfurt
Heidenheim
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Eintracht Frankfurt
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
Heidenheim
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-03-16T00:58:07+00:00
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General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary