Dynamo Kyiv vs Obolon'-Brovar Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine

Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky (Kyjiv (Kiev)) Fri, 13 Mar - 4:00 PM

Premier League

Dynamo Kyiv DYN

Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar

Full Time Fri, 13 Mar 4:00 PM

Andriy Yarmolenko - 31' (P)

Matviy Ponomarenko - 40'

Denys Ustymenko - 20'

CONTEXT

The match between Dynamo Kyiv and Obolon'-Brovar has officially finished, with Dynamo Kyiv securing a 2-1 full-time victory. All the scoring action took place in the first half, as the hosts went into the break leading 2-1 and successfully defended their advantage until the final whistle. The game was played without major disciplinary disruptions, as no red cards were issued to either side. Pre-match expectations heavily favored Dynamo Kyiv, who held a dominant 74.8% win probability according to the market, compared to an 18.5% chance of a draw and just 6.8% for Obolon'-Brovar. Because the stronger team won, the final result was entirely aligned with the pre-match market. However, there was a significant deviation level of 25.2% surrounding Dynamo Kyiv's performance relative to those initial expectations. Dynamo Kyiv controlled the tempo throughout the contest, commanding 61% of the possession while restricting the visitors to 39%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for both sides, meaning it cannot be determined if the outcome aligned with the underlying chance quality. Despite the lack of xG data, the match's efficiency shift was in line with expectations, reflecting a straightforward, market-aligned triumph for the hosts.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Dynamo Kyiv showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

O. Afanasiev

Referee • 25 matches

Fouls / Match

Referee 0.52

League Avg 11.11

Yellow Cards / Match

Referee 0.12

League Avg 1.37

Red Cards / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0.11

Penalties / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0.16

I. Kostyuk

O. Antonenko

1.53

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

4 - 1 - 0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Dynamo Kyiv

74.77%

Draw

18.45%

Obolon'-Brovar

6.78%

Team Power Ranking

66.16

43.09

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Dynamo Kyiv

Obolon'-Brovar

Power Score

66.16

43.09

League Position

Global Rank

269

903

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Dynamo Kyiv — Opponent-weighted form score

Obolon'-Brovar — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dynamo Kyiv Obolon'-Brovar

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Dynamo Kyiv

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Obolon'-Brovar

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Dynamo Kyiv ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Obolon'-Brovar

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

14.18

3.46

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

3.46

14.18

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Dynamo Kyiv +1.08 Efficiency Index

Obolon'-Brovar -1.08 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Dynamo Kyiv

Obolon'-Brovar

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Dynamo Kyiv ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Obolon'-Brovar

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Dynamo Kyiv Obolon'-Brovar

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Dynamo Kyiv Obolon'-Brovar

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Dynamo Kyiv

Obolon'-Brovar

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dynamo Kyiv DYN Home

5 matches

Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+11

Goal Difference

-11

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-03-14T02:03:33+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1

Match Formation 5-4-1

35 R. Neshcheret

13 M. Korobov

40 K. Bilova

32 T. Mykhavko

2 K. Vivcharenko

6 V. Brazhko

7 A. Yarmolenko

8 O. Pikhalyonok

5 O. Yatsyk

70 B. Redushko

11 M. Ponomarenko

1 N. Fedorivsky

5 E. Shevchenko

50 D. Semenov

32 A. Lomnytskyi

44 O. Zhovtenko

28 P. Polehenko

24 E. Prokopenko

17 R. Chernenko

20 R. Volokhatiy

40 I. Nesterenko

9 D. Ustymenko

General Information

Date & Time

Mar 13, 2026, 04:00 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine

Stadium

Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky (Kyjiv (Kiev))

Capacity

16873

Pitch Surface

N/A

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees

Oleksandr Afanasiev

Statistics

Possession

DYN

63%

Obolon'-Brovar

37%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1

3 Shots 1

53 Dangerous attacks 7

61 Possession 39

12 Corners 0

11 Free kicks 11

0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0

1 Goal Kicks 13

1 Assists 1

Attacking

71 Attacks 46

Defensive

0 Saves 1

Discipline

10 Fouls 12

0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Oleksandr Afanasiev

Manager ▼

I. Kostyuk Coach

Starting XI ▼

Ruslan Neshcheret Goalkeeper

6.12

Kostyantyn Vivcharenko Defender

6.26

Maksym Korobov Defender

6.26

Oleksandr Tymchyk

Defender46'

6.5

Taras Mykhavko Defender

6.26

Kristian Bilovar Defender

6.26

Denys Popov

Defender83'

6.5

Oleksandr Yatsyk Midfielder

6.37

Mykola Mykhaylenko

Midfielder79'

6.5

Volodymyr Brazhko Midfielder

6.37

Andriy Yarmolenko Midfielder

6.41

Nazar Voloshyn

Midfielder70'

6.5

Oleksandr Pikhalyonok Midfielder

6.48

Vitaliy Buyalskyi

Midfielder70'

6.5

Matviy Ponomarenko Attacker

6.82

Bogdan Redushko Attacker

6.46

Substitutes ▼

Valentyn Morgun Goalkeeper

Viacheslav Surkis Goalkeeper

Oleksandr Karavaev Defender

Vladyslav Zakharchenko Defender

Mykola Shaparenko Midfielder

Shola Ogundana Midfielder

Eduardo Guerrero Attacker

Referee : Oleksandr Afanasiev