Djurgården vs Kalmar Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Tele2 Arena Sun, 12 Apr - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Djurgården DJU
3 Winner 2
Kalmar KAL
Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 12:00 PM
Round 2 Regular Season
B. Hegland - 2'
Kristian Strømland Lien - 7', 85'
Goal
|
Goal
C. Rosenquist - 16'
Achraf Dari - 29'

CONTEXT

The match between Djurgården and Kalmar is now finished, with a full-time score of 3-0 to the home side. Djurgården's victory represented a moderate deviation from pre-match expectations, as the home team outperformed forecasts despite Kalmar being regarded as the stronger side beforehand. The result ultimately aligned with the pre-match projection. Djurgården controlled proceedings with 71 percent possession against Kalmar's 29 percent, though expected goals data was unavailable to provide further context on chance quality. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations across the full match. No red cards were shown to either team, and there were no significant disciplinary events to alter the contest's direction. Overall the outcome reflected Djurgården's ability to pull clear after an even half-time position, securing a result that matched broader pre-match indicators.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Djurgården showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Robertsson
S. Robertsson
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.71
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.21
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
D. Yng
D. Yng
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.71
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.21
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
R. Sundell
R. Sundell
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.71
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.21
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Djurgården J. Honkavaara
J. Honkavaara
VS
Kalmar T. Koskela
T. Koskela
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
GAIS Rank: W
Öster Rank: W
IFK Göteborg Rank: D
Värnamo Rank: W
GAIS Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Västerås SK Rank: L
22
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
22 - 4 - 14
14

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Djurgården
89.04%
Draw
10.59%
Away Kalmar
0.38%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.71
27.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Djurgården
Kalmar
Power Score
24.71
27.78
League Position
1
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Djurgården — Opponent-weighted form score
Kalmar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Djurgården Kalmar

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Djurgården

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kalmar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Djurgården ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kalmar
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.13
39.66
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
39.66
36.13
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Djurgården -0.38 Efficiency Index
vs
Kalmar +0.38 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Djurgården
Kalmar
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Djurgården ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kalmar
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Djurgården Kalmar
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Djurgården Kalmar
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Djurgården
Kalmar
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Djurgården
vs
Kalmar
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Djurgården Kalmar
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Djurgården 0.30
Kalmar 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Djurgården Kalmar
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Djurgården 0.07
Kalmar 0.04
Djurgården
Kalmar
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • DJU had peak pressure around 88'.
  • DJU started the game with stronger pressure.
DJU Pressure KAL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: DJU reached the top pressure at 88' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 40 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Djurgården DJU Home
40 matches
Kalmar KAL Away
Match Record
22
Wins
14
4
Draws
4
14
Losses
22
Goals
62
Goals Scored
47
47
Goals Conceded
62
+15
Goal Difference
-15
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:03:06+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
J. Rinne
Sweden
35 J. Rinne
M. Marques
Sweden
21 M. Marques
L. Hien
Substitution
Sweden
3 L. Hien
P. Åslund
Substitution
Sweden
8 P. Åslund
M. Larsson
Sweden
24 M. Larsson
H. Finndell
Substitution
Sweden
14 H. Finndell
M. Tenho
Finland
5 M. Tenho
M. Siltanen
Finland
20 M. Siltanen
B. Hegland
Substitution
Norway
16 B. Hegland
O. Fallenius
Substitution
Sweden
15 O. Fallenius
K. Lien
Norway
9 K. Lien
J. Kindberg
Sweden
30 J. Kindberg
L. Råvik
12 L. Råvik
A. Dari
Substitution
Morocco
20 A. Dari
L. Sætra
Norway
39 L. Sætra
V. Larsson
Substitution
Sweden
2 V. Larsson
M. Hallberg
Substitution
Sweden
5 M. Hallberg
R. Gojani
Substitution
Sweden
23 R. Gojani
C. Rosenquist
13 C. Rosenquist
R. Jansson
Finland
4 R. Jansson
C. Sagoe Junior
Substitution
England
24 C. Sagoe Junior
V. Tyren
Substitution
Sweden
6 V. Tyren

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Tele2 Arena
Capacity
32000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sebastian Robertsson
Daniel Yng
Richard Sundell

Statistics

Possession
DJU
67%
KAL
33%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 2
4 Big Chances Created 1
22 Shots 10
73 Dangerous attacks 30
71 Possession 29
5 Corners 4
14 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

2 Goal Kicks 14
8 Successful Dribbles 4
27 Throwins 13
2 Assists 2
18 Dribble Attempts 14
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29
3 Goal Attempts 2
8 Ball Safe 10
5 Substitutions 6
1 Penalties 0
1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

135 Attacks 72
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

14 Key Passes 5
89 Successful Passes Percentage 73
15 Successful Long Passes 15
35 Long Passes 41
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37
635 Passes 258
564 Successful Passes 188

Defensive

3 Saves 5
19 Tackles 14
7 Interceptions 10

Build-up

24 Total Crosses 11
8 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

10 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Richard Sundell

Starting XI ▼

35
Jacob Rinne
Jacob Rinne Goalkeeper
3
Leon Hien
Leon Hien Defender
4
Jacob Une Larsson
Jacob Une Larsson
Defender88'
8
Patric Åslund
Patric Åslund Defender
22
Joel Asoro
Joel Asoro
Attacker69'
21
Mikael Marques
Mikael Marques Defender
24
Max Larsson
Max Larsson Defender
5
Miro Tenho
Miro Tenho Midfielder
14
Hampus Finndell
Hampus Finndell Midfielder
13
Daniel Stensson
Daniel Stensson
Midfielder69'
15
Oskar Fallenius
Oskar Fallenius Midfielder
19
Jeppe Okkels
Jeppe Okkels
Attacker69'
16
B. Hegland
B. Hegland Midfielder
6
P. Langhoff
P. Langhoff
Midfielder90'
20
Matias Siltanen
Matias Siltanen Midfielder
9
Kristian Strømland Lien
Kristian Strømland Lien Attacker
2
Referee : Richard Sundell

Starting XI ▼

30
J. Kindberg
J. Kindberg Goalkeeper
12
Z. Råvik
Z. Råvik Defender
20
Achraf Dari
Achraf Dari Defender
3
S. Øverby
S. Øverby
Defender90+5'
39
L. Sætra
L. Sætra Defender
2
Victor Larsson
Victor Larsson Midfielder
11
A. Olusanya
A. Olusanya
Attacker87'
4
R. Jansson
R. Jansson Midfielder
5
M. Hallberg
M. Hallberg Midfielder
10
Marius Söderbäck
Marius Söderbäck
Midfielder46'
13
C. Rosenquist
C. Rosenquist Midfielder
23
R. Gojani
R. Gojani Midfielder
17
C. Gustafsson
C. Gustafsson
Midfielder76'
6
V. Tyren
V. Tyren Attacker
7
N. Chourak
N. Chourak
Midfielder46'
24
Charles Sagoe Jr
Charles Sagoe Jr Attacker
70
Emeka Nnamani
Emeka Nnamani
Attacker76'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Kristian Strømland Lien
Woodwork
90+5'
90+5'
Event
S. Øverby → Achraf Dari
11th Substitution
Event
P. Langhoff → B. Hegland
10th Substitution
90'
Event
Jacob Une Larsson → Leon Hien
9th Substitution
88'
87'
Event
A. Olusanya → Victor Larsson
8th Substitution
Event
Kristian Strømland Lien
Header / 5th Goal
85'
76'
Event
C. Gustafsson → R. Gojani
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Emeka Nnamani → Charles Sagoe Jr
7th Substitution
Event
Joel Asoro → Patric Åslund
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
Jeppe Okkels → Oskar Fallenius
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Daniel Stensson → Hampus Finndell
5th Substitution
69'
46'
Event
Marius Söderbäck → M. Hallberg
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
N. Chourak → V. Tyren
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Mikael Marques
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
36'
29'
Event
Achraf Dari
Header / 4th Goal
16'
Event
C. Rosenquist
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Kristian Strømland Lien
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
7'
Event
B. Hegland
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
2'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Djurgården exhibited a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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