Dinamo Zagreb vs Varaždin Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia

Stadion Maksimir Sun, 26 Apr - 4:45 PM

1. HNL

Dinamo Zagreb GNK

Varaždin Varaždin

KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 4:45 PM

Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Dinamo Zagreb host Varaždin at Stadion Maksimir in a pivotal 1. HNL regular season encounter of the 2025/2026 campaign. Leading the league table, Dinamo boast a superior power score of 36.86 against Varaždin's 25.1, granting them an 11.8-point edge that underscores their dominance. Form metrics further tilt in the hosts' favor, with a 28.11 rating eclipsing the visitors' 21.06, hinting at sharper recent performances. As frontrunners, Dinamo seek to extend their advantage at home, while third-placed Varaždin aim to disrupt the order in this Croatian top-flight battle. Set piece insights remain elusive due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG data, shifting emphasis to broader tactical frameworks and squad depth. Expect a contest where structural superiority clashes with resilient challenge.

TL;DR

Structural: Dinamo Zagreb holds a clear 11.8-point power advantage over Varaždin.
Form: Hosts register a 28.11 form score surpassing Varaždin's 21.06.
Squad: Dinamo Zagreb top the league at 1st place ahead of 3rd-placed Varaždin.
Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for this fixture.
Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current analysis.
Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies for both sides.
xVariable: xG data absent as add-on disabled for these teams.
Market: Baseline split: Dinamo Zagreb 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Varaždin 0% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

M. Kovačević

N. Šafarić

2.33

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.5

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

30 - 8 - 3

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Dinamo Zagreb

Draw

Varaždin

Team Power Ranking

36.86

25.1

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Dinamo Zagreb

Varaždin

Power Score

36.86

25.1

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Dinamo Zagreb — Opponent-weighted form score

Varaždin — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dinamo Zagreb Varaždin

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 41 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dinamo Zagreb GNK Home

41 matches

Varaždin Varaždin Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+60

Goal Difference

-60

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T02:03:14+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 26, 2026, 04:45 PM

Competition

2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 32 · Regular Season

Stadium

Stadion Maksimir

Capacity

24851

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

M. Kovačević Coach

Squad ▼

Daniel Zagorac Goalkeeper

Ivan Filipović Goalkeeper

Dominik Livaković Goalkeeper

Ivan Nevistić Goalkeeper

Antonio Rajić Goalkeeper

Kévin Théophile-Catherine Defender

Dino Perić Defender

Bruno Goda Defender

Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel Defender

Scott McKenna Defender

Niko Galesic Defender

Moris Valincic Defender

Raúl Torrente Navarro Defender

Paul Bismarck Tabinas Defender

Sergi Domínguez Viloria Defender

Matteo Perez Vinlöf Defender

—

Matija Ruškovački Defender

Noa Mikic Defender

Josip Mišić Midfielder

Ismael Bennacer Midfielder

Miha Zajc Midfielder

Marko Soldo Midfielder

Luka Stojković Midfielder

Arbër Hoxha Attacker

Drena Beljo Dijon Attacker

Gabriel Vidović Attacker

Mateo Lisica Attacker

Monsef Bakrar Attacker

Fran Topić Attacker

Juan Córdoba Attacker

Cardoso Pinto Mandume Varela Attacker

Manager ▼

N. Šafarić Coach

Squad ▼

Oliver Zelenika Goalkeeper

Josip Silić Goalkeeper

Roberto Punčec Defender

Petar Bočkaj Defender

Mateo Barać Defender

Frane Maglica Defender

Antonio Boršić Defender

Gregor Sikošek Defender

Mario Mladenovski Defender

Luka Škaričić Defender

Novak Tepšić Defender

Luka Posinković Defender

Domagoj Begonja Defender

Sven Lesjak Defender

David Puclin Midfielder

Mario Marina Midfielder

Aleksa Latković Midfielder

Tomislav Duvnjak Midfielder

Silvio Ilinkovic Midfielder

Luka Mamić Midfielder

Ivan Mamut Attacker

Matej Vuk Attacker

Stipe Jurić Attacker

Iuri António Teixeira Tavares Attacker

Ivan Canjuga Attacker

CONCLUSION

Dinamo Zagreb enter as overwhelming favorites, leveraging their top-table position and power disparity to dictate terms against Varaždin. Home advantage at Maksimir amplifies their edge in form and structure, potentially overwhelming the visitors' ambitions. Without detailed set piece or xG breakdowns, the clash hinges on Dinamo's proven superiority in open play. Varaždin must summon a tactical masterclass to counter the leaders, but historical gaps suggest a straightforward hosts' victory. This fixture reinforces Dinamo's title credentials while testing Varaždin's top-three resolve.

Explore League Previews

1. HNL View all league clusters

STANDINGS

CONTEXT