Deportivo La Coruña vs Granada Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Abanca-Riazor
Mon, 9 Mar - 12:26 AM
La Liga 2
Deportivo La Coruña
COR
0
2
2
Granada
GRA
Full Time
Mon, 9 Mar
12:26 AM
|
José Manuel Arnáiz - 18'
Jorge Pascual - 84'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 21
CONTEXT
Match is finished. Deportivo La Coruña 0–2 Granada. The result saw Granada take the points. Granada showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 67%–33%.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Granada showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
-
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
-
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: No major event distortion.
-
Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
B. García Valín
2nd Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
10.71
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.1
C. Muñiz Muñoz
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
10.71
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.1
F. Estela Bravo
1st Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
10.71
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.1
P. Arenas Mora
4th Official
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
10.71
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.1
A. Hidalgo Morilla
VS
J. Rojo Martín
1.67
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.41
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Albacete
Rank:
W
Cultural Leonesa
Rank:
W
Racing Santander
Rank:
L
Almería
Rank:
W
Las Palmas
Rank:
D
Cádiz
Rank:
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Valladolid
Rank:
W
Leganés
Rank:
L
Racing Santander
Rank:
W
Cádiz
Rank:
W
SD Eibar
Rank:
D
Castellón
Rank:
D
3
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 6 - 4
4
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Deportivo La Coruña
49.17%
Draw
28.31%
Granada
22.52%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.32
40.23
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Deportivo La Coruña
Granada
Power Score
56.32
40.23
League Position
4
15
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Deportivo La Coruña
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Granada
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Deportivo La Coruña Granada
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Deportivo La Coruña
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Granada
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Deportivo La Coruña
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Granada
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.54
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
37.73
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Deportivo La Coruña
-1.52
Efficiency Index
vs
Granada
+1.52
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Deportivo La Coruña
Granada
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Deportivo La Coruña
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Granada
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Deportivo La Coruña
Granada
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Deportivo La Coruña
Granada
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Deportivo La Coruña
Granada
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Deportivo La Coruña
COR
Home
3
matches
Granada
GRA
Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
6
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:26:47+00:00
TEAM FORMATION
No team formation data available.
General Information
Date & Time
Mar 09, 2026, 12:26 AM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Stadium
Estadio Abanca-Riazor
Capacity
32490
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Brais García Valín
Carlos Muñiz Muñoz
Fernando Estela Bravo
Pol Arenas Mora
Statistics
Possession
COR
62%
GRA
38%
Top Statistics
0
Goals
2
2
Big Chances Created
3
4
Shots
6
42
Dangerous attacks
29
67
Possession
33
10
Corners
4
8
Free kicks
10
Match Overview
26
Throwins
21
8
Goal Kicks
7
5
Successful Dribbles
6
29
Successful Dribbles Percentage
40
17
Dribble Attempts
15
0
Assists
2
5
Substitutions
5
92
Ball Safe
78
1
Injuries
3
7
Goal Attempts
10
Attacking
152
Attacks
70
2
Big Chances Missed
1
Possession
589
Passes
293
522
Successful Passes
232
53
Successful Long Passes Percentage
53
89
Successful Passes Percentage
79
45
Long Passes
40
24
Successful Long Passes
21
8
Key Passes
10
Defensive
15
Tackles
23
10
Interceptions
9
3
Saves
3
Build-up
2
Accurate Crosses
3
27
Total Crosses
11
Discipline
10
Fouls
8
4
Offsides
2
Events
2ND-HALF
84'
Jorge Pascual
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
80'
Pablo Sáenz → Baba Diocou
10th Substitution
80'
Sergio Rodelas → Baïla Diallo
9th Substitution
Samuele Mulattieri → Stoichkov
8th Substitution
73'
66'
Oscar Naasei Oppong → Bambo Diaby
7th Substitution
65'
Jorge Pascual → José Manuel Arnáiz
6th Substitution
65'
Diego Hormigo → Sergio Ruiz
5th Substitution
Sergio Escudero → David Mella
4th Substitution
63'
Luismi Cruz → Giacomo Quagliata
2nd Substitution
57'
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack → Zakaria Eddahchouri
3rd Substitution
57'
Charlie Patiño → José Ángel Jurado
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
18'
José Manuel Arnáiz
Header / 1st Goal
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: Granada exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.