Chelsea vs Leeds United Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 FA Cup, England
Wembley Stadium
Sun, 26 Apr - 2:00 PM
FA Cup
Chelsea
CHE
Leeds United
LEE
KICKOFF :
Sun, 26 Apr - 2:00 PM
Semi Finals
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 21
CONTEXT
Chelsea host Leeds United in FA Cup (Semi-finals) at Wembley Stadium. Power ranking favours Leeds United by 5.3 points heading into this fixture.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Leeds United possess a 5.3-point power advantage over Chelsea with a 27.87 score to 22.6.
-
Form: Chelsea lead in form with a 50 score against Leeds United's 33.33.
-
Squad: No squad or injury updates available for either team.
-
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams.
-
Transition: Transition play data not provided.
-
Set pieces: Set piece performance unavailable due to low-confidence proxy data without xG.
-
xVariable: xG-based variables unavailable for analysis.
-
Market: Chelsea 54.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.3% (Δ+0%) | Leeds United 21% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
L. Rosenior
VS
D. Farke
3
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
2
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Port Vale
Rank:
W
Wrexham
Rank:
W
Hull City
Rank:
W
Charlton Athletic
Rank:
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
West Ham United
Rank:
D
Norwich City
Rank:
W
Birmingham City
Rank:
D
Derby County
Rank:
W
9
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 5 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Chelsea
54.72%
Draw
24.31%
Leeds United
20.97%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.6
27.87
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Chelsea
Leeds United
Power Score
22.6
27.87
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Chelsea
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Leeds United
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Chelsea Leeds United
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Chelsea
CHE
Home
18
matches
Leeds United
LEE
Away
Match Record
9
Wins
4
5
Draws
5
4
Losses
9
Goals
29
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
29
+7
Goal Difference
-7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:13:28+00:00
General Information
Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 FA Cup, England · Semi Finals
Stadium
Wembley Stadium
Capacity
90000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jarred Gillett
Neil Davies
Thomas Kirk
Simon Long
Next Match
Chelsea
vs
Brighton & Hove Albion
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Tue, 21 Apr - 7:00 PM
Venue: The American Express Community Stadium
Leeds United
vs
AFC Bournemouth
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Wed, 22 Apr - 7:00 PM
Venue: Vitality Stadium
Squad
Referee :
Jarred Gillett
Manager ▼
L. Rosenior
Coach
Squad ▼
1
Robert Lynch Sanchez
Goalkeeper
—
James Hillson
Goalkeeper
12
Filip Jörgensen
Goalkeeper
44
Gabriel Slonina
Goalkeeper
28
Teddy Sharman-Lowe
Goalkeeper
4
Oluwatosin Adarabioyo
Defender
3
Marc Cucurella Saseta
Defender
23
Trevoh Chalobah
Defender
24
Reece James
Defender
5
Benoît Badiashile Mukinayi
Defender
29
Wesley Fofana
Defender
6
Levi Samuels Colwill
Defender
27
Malo Gusto
Defender
—
Caleb Ryan Wiley
Defender
19
Mamadou Sarr
Defender
21
Jorrel Hato
Defender
34
Joshua Kofi Acheampong
Defender
10
Cole Palmer
Midfielder
8
Enzo Jeremías Fernández
Midfielder
25
Moisés Isaac Caicedo Corozo
Midfielder
45
Roméo Lavia
Midfielder
17
Andrey Nascimento dos Santos
Midfielder
14
Dario Cassia Luis Essugo
Midfielder
7
Pedro Lomba Neto
Attacker
—
Mykhailo Mudryk
Attacker
9
Liam Delap
Attacker
20
João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
Attacker
49
Alejandro Garnacho Ferreyra
Attacker
11
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
Attacker
38
Marc Guiu Paz
Attacker
41
Estêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves
Attacker
Referee :
Jarred Gillett
Manager ▼
D. Farke
Coach
Squad ▼
26
Karl Darlow
Goalkeeper
21
Alex Cairns
Goalkeeper
16
Illan Meslier
Goalkeeper
1
Lucas Estella Perri
Goalkeeper
25
Sam Byram
Defender
24
James Justin
Defender
5
Pascal Struijk
Defender
3
Gabriel Gudmundsson
Defender
6
Joe Rodon
Defender
2
Jayden Bogle
Defender
15
Jaka Bijol
Defender
23
Sebastiaan Bornauw
Defender
4
Ethan Ampadu
Midfielder
8
Sean Longstaff
Midfielder
22
Ao Tanaka
Midfielder
18
Anton Stach
Midfielder
44
Ilia Gruev
Midfielder
11
Brenden Aaronson
Midfielder
40
Facundo Valentín Buonanotte
Midfielder
50
Charlie Crew
Midfielder
9
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Attacker
7
Daniel James
Attacker
10
Joël Piroe
Attacker
14
Lukas Nmecha
Attacker
19
Noah Okafor
Attacker
29
Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
Attacker
CONCLUSION
This FA Cup semi-final pits Leeds' structural superiority against Chelsea's form edge in Wembley's cauldron. Leeds' higher power rating suggests resilience, but Chelsea's 50 form score signals peaking at the right moment. With sparse advanced stats, the contest boils down to tactical nous and big-game mentality. Projections nudge Chelsea ahead, yet Leeds' underlying strength keeps it tight. Expect end-to-end action, where Chelsea's momentum might just prevail in a narrow victory, propelling them towards cup glory.