Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Championship, England
Championship
Bristol City
BSC
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Charlton Athletic and Bristol City has finished, with the away side securing a 2-1 victory at full-time. Both teams went into the break evenly matched at 1-1, but Bristol City ultimately found the decisive breakthrough in the second half to claim the win. The final result did not align with pre-match market expectations, which had positioned Charlton Athletic as the favorites with a 39.4% win probability, compared to a 29.6% chance for a draw. Bristol City entered the match with only a 31% chance of victory. Consequently, the away side's triumph represents a significant deviation from these initial projections, with Bristol City defying the odds to emerge as the stronger team on the day. On the pitch, Bristol City controlled slightly more of the ball, finishing with 53% possession compared to Charlton's 47%. Because expected goals (xG) data was unavailable, it is unclear if the outcome was strictly consistent with the quality of scoring opportunities created. However, the teams' overall efficiency shift was deemed to be in line with performance metrics. Furthermore, the match remained fully contested throughout, as no red cards were issued to either side.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Bristol City showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Charlton Athletic
Bristol City
Team Power Ranking
i
61.34
68.73
Charlton Athletic
Bristol City
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Charlton Athletic
Bristol City
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Charlton Athletic
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Charlton Athletic
⚠ Proxy
Charlton Athletic
Bristol City
Charlton Athletic
Bristol City
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Charlton Athletic
Charlton Athletic
Bristol City
Charlton Athletic
Bristol City
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-04T00:01:43+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Charlton Athletic
vs
Watford
League: Championship
Kickoff: Mon, 6 Apr - 2:00 PM
Venue: Away
Bristol City
vs
Sheffield United
League: Championship
Kickoff: Mon, 6 Apr - 2:00 PM
Venue: Home
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Starting XI ▼















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Match Commentary