Cercle Brugge vs La Louvière Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Jan Breydelstadion Sat, 11 Apr - 2:00 PM
Pro League
Cercle Brugge CBR
3 Winner 0
La Louvière RAAL
Full Time Sat, 11 Apr 2:00 PM
Round 2 Relegation Round
Steve Ngoura - 2', 45+2'
Oluwaseun Adewumi - 89'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match is finished, with Cercle Brugge recording a comprehensive 3-0 victory over La Louvière. The home side led 2-0 at half-time and maintained control throughout the second period to secure the result. Cercle Brugge entered the fixture as the overwhelmingly stronger side and the outcome showed only minimal deviation from pre-match expectations. The team justified its status with a dominant display, controlling 64 percent of possession while limiting La Louvière to 36 percent. No xG data is available for this match, yet the final score aligned closely with the pre-match projection that heavily favored the home side. Efficiency levels remained in line with expectations, and the absence of red cards or other major disruptive events allowed the contest to follow a predictable path. Overall the result reinforced Cercle Brugge’s superiority without requiring significant second-half adjustments, delivering a straightforward win that matched the anticipated outcome. (148 words)

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Cercle Brugge showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Bourdeaud'hui
S. Bourdeaud'hui
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.68
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.98
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.34
B. Bijnens
B. Bijnens
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.68
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.98
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.34
B. Put
B. Put
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.68
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.98
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.34
B. Gonnissen
B. Gonnissen
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.68
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.98
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.34
Cercle Brugge L. Friis
L. Friis
VS
La Louvière F. Taquin
F. Taquin
1.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.9
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zulte-Waregem Rank: D
Anderlecht Rank: W
La Louvière Rank: L
Sint-Truiden Rank: L
Dender Rank: D
Gent Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dender Rank: L
Genk Rank: D
Cercle Brugge Rank: W
Antwerp Rank: D
Standard Liège Rank: D
Mechelen Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cercle Brugge
97.89%
Draw
1.92%
Away La Louvière
0.2%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.19
19.5
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cercle Brugge
La Louvière
Power Score
22.19
19.5
League Position
15
14
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cercle Brugge — Opponent-weighted form score
La Louvière — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cercle Brugge La Louvière

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Cercle Brugge

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

La Louvière

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Cercle Brugge ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy La Louvière
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.20
31.81
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.81
38.20
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Cercle Brugge +0.56 Efficiency Index
vs
La Louvière -0.56 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Cercle Brugge
La Louvière
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Cercle Brugge ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy La Louvière
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Cercle Brugge La Louvière
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Cercle Brugge La Louvière
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Cercle Brugge
La Louvière
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Cercle Brugge
vs
La Louvière
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Cercle Brugge La Louvière
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Cercle Brugge 0.30
La Louvière 0.34
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Cercle Brugge La Louvière
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Cercle Brugge 0.00
La Louvière 0.04
Cercle Brugge
La Louvière
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CBR had peak pressure around 32'.
  • CBR started the game with stronger pressure.
CBR Pressure RAAL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CBR reached the top pressure at 32' (88.75).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cercle Brugge CBR Home
4 matches
La Louvière RAAL Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
3
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-12T00:08:17+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
W. Stellion Lisboa Oliveira
Brazil
1 W. Stellion Lisboa Oliveira
I. Diakité
Substitution
Guinea
2 I. Diakité
G. Kondo
France
24 G. Kondo
V. Konaté
Ivory Coast
12 V. Konaté
G. Magnée
Belgium
15 G. Magnée
P. Gerkens
Substitution
Belgium
18 P. Gerkens
H. Van der Bruggen
Substitution
Belgium
28 H. Van der Bruggen
E. Diop
France
37 E. Diop
F. Jacinto Nazinho
Portugal
20 F. Jacinto Nazinho
D. Vanzeir
Substitution
Belgium
13 D. Vanzeir
S. Ngoura
Substitution
France
9 S. Ngoura
M. Peano
Argentina
21 M. Peano
D. Lamego
Substitution
France
25 D. Lamego
Y. Okou
France
99 Y. Okou
W. Faye
Senegal
4 W. Faye
N. Gillot
France
3 N. Gillot
S. Joel Ito
Substitution
Belgium
23 S. Joel Ito
M. Maisonneuve
France
13 M. Maisonneuve
S. Lahssaini
Substitution
Belgium
15 S. Lahssaini
T. Lutonda
Substitution
Belgium
5 T. Lutonda
P. Fall
Substitution
Senegal
7 P. Fall
J. Afriyie
22 J. Afriyie

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 11, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 2 · Relegation Round
Stadium
Jan Breydelstadion
Capacity
29975
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Simon Bourdeaud'hui
Bryan Bijnens
Bert Put
Ben Gonnissen

Statistics

Possession
CBR
63%
RAAL
37%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
6 Shots 4
69 Dangerous attacks 29
64 Possession 36
9 Corners 5
8 Free kicks 6
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

27 Throwins 29
11 Goal Attempts 7
95 Ball Safe 102
2 Dribble Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 5
2 Hit Woodwork 0
3 Assists 0

Attacking

126 Attacks 69

Possession

80 Successful Passes Percentage 63
33 Long Passes 21
500 Passes 278
16 Key Passes 6
396 Successful Passes 176

Defensive

13 Tackles 12
6 Interceptions 11
2 Saves 2

Build-up

27 Total Crosses 10

Discipline

6 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Simon Bourdeaud'hui

Starting XI ▼

1
Warleson
Warleson Goalkeeper
2
Ibrahim Diakité
Ibrahim Diakité Defender
19
Ibrahima Diaby
Ibrahima Diaby
Midfielder83'
12
Valy Konaté
Valy Konaté Defender
24
Geoffrey Kondo
Geoffrey Kondo Defender
15
Gary Magnée
Gary Magnée Midfielder
18
Pieter Gerkens
Pieter Gerkens Midfielder
6
Lawrence Agyekum
Lawrence Agyekum
Midfielder83'
20
Nazinho
Nazinho Midfielder
28
Hannes Van Der Bruggen
Hannes Van Der Bruggen Midfielder
11
Charles Herrmann
Charles Herrmann
Midfielder90'
37
Edan Diop
Edan Diop Midfielder
9
Steve Ngoura
Steve Ngoura Attacker
2
10
Oumar Diakité
Oumar Diakité
Attacker69'
13
Dante Vanzeir
Dante Vanzeir Attacker
17
Oluwaseun Adewumi
Oluwaseun Adewumi
Attacker69'
Referee : Simon Bourdeaud'hui

Starting XI ▼

21
Marcos Peano
Marcos Peano Goalkeeper
4
Wagane Faye
Wagane Faye Defender
25
Djibril Lamego
Djibril Lamego Defender
28
Bryan Soumaré
Bryan Soumaré
Midfielder46'
99
Yllan Okou
Yllan Okou Defender
3
Nolan Gillot
Nolan Gillot Midfielder
5
Thierry Lutonda
Thierry Lutonda Midfielder
29
Cristian Makaté
Cristian Makaté
Attacker64'
13
Maxence Maisonneuve
Maxence Maisonneuve Midfielder
15
Sami Lahssaini
Sami Lahssaini Midfielder
6
Alexis Beka Beka
Alexis Beka Beka
Midfielder77'
23
Joël Ito
Joël Ito Midfielder
8
Samuel Gueulette
Samuel Gueulette
Midfielder64'
7
Pape Moussa Fall
Pape Moussa Fall Attacker
27
Nachon Nsingi
Nachon Nsingi
Attacker77'
22
Jerry Afriyie
Jerry Afriyie Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Charles Herrmann → Hannes Van Der Bruggen
10th Substitution
90'
Event
Oluwaseun Adewumi
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
89'
Event
Lawrence Agyekum → Pieter Gerkens
8th Substitution
83'
Event
Ibrahima Diaby → Ibrahim Diakité
9th Substitution
83'
77'
Event
Alexis Beka Beka → Sami Lahssaini
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Nachon Nsingi → Pape Moussa Fall
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Wagane Faye
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Oluwaseun Adewumi → Dante Vanzeir
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Oumar Diakité → Steve Ngoura
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Valy Konaté
1st Yellowcard
68'
64'
Event
Samuel Gueulette → Joël Ito
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Cristian Makaté → Thierry Lutonda
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Bryan Soumaré → Djibril Lamego
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Steve Ngoura
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
45+2'
Event
Steve Ngoura
Field Goal / 1st Goal
2'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Cercle Brugge exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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