Cercle Brugge vs Dender Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Jan Breydelstadion Fri, 24 Apr - 6:45 PM
Pro League
Cercle Brugge CBR
Versus
Dender DEN
KICKOFF : Fri, 24 Apr - 6:45 PM
Round 4 Relegation Round

CONTEXT

In the Pro League's Relegation Round at Jan Breydelstadion, Cercle Brugge welcomes Dender in a crucial 2025/2026 season clash. Cercle Brugge, positioned 15th, holds a clear edge over 16th-placed Dender, underscored by a power score of 22.78 against 14.59, translating to an 8.2-point advantage. This structural superiority aligns with recent form, where Cercle scores 19.39 compared to Dender's modest 7.83. Both teams fight to climb out of the drop zone, making every point vital. Cercle Brugge's home advantage at Breydelstadion could prove decisive, leveraging their higher overall quality. While detailed metrics like efficiency and set pieces remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxies, the raw power and form gaps suggest Cercle Brugge enters as the stronger side. Dender must disrupt this narrative through resilience, but the hosts' metrics paint a favorable picture ahead of kickoff.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Cercle Brugge possesses a structural edge, ranked 15th to Dender's 16th with an 8.2-point power advantage.
  • Form: Cercle Brugge shows superior form at 19.39 versus Dender's 7.83.
  • Squad: Cercle Brugge's squad quality shines through higher power score of 22.78 over Dender's 14.59.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable, with focus on overall power disparity favoring Cercle Brugge.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data uses low-confidence proxies with no xG available for either team.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Projection split: Cercle Brugge 61.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.7% (Δ+0%) | Dender 16.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cercle Brugge L. Friis
L. Friis
VS
Dender A. Abdul Raouf
A. Abdul Raouf
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.86
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dender Rank: W
La Louvière Rank: W
Zulte-Waregem Rank: D
Anderlecht Rank: W
La Louvière Rank: L
Sint-Truiden Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cercle Brugge Rank: L
Zulte-Waregem Rank: L
La Louvière Rank: W
Gent Rank: L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: L
Sporting Charleroi Rank: D
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 3 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cercle Brugge
61.48%
Draw
21.72%
Away Dender
16.8%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.78
14.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cercle Brugge
Dender
Power Score
22.78
14.59
League Position
15
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cercle Brugge — Opponent-weighted form score
Dender — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cercle Brugge Dender

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cercle Brugge CBR Home
9 matches
Dender DEN Away
Match Record
4
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
4
Goals
13
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
13
+7
Goal Difference
-7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:01:58+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
W. Stellion Lisboa Oliveira
1 W. Stellion Lisboa Oliveira
M. Diaby
19 M. Diaby
G. Kondo
24 G. Kondo
V. Konaté
12 V. Konaté
I. Diakité
2 I. Diakité
P. Gerkens
18 P. Gerkens
H. Van der Bruggen
28 H. Van der Bruggen
E. Diop
37 E. Diop
F. Jacinto Nazinho
20 F. Jacinto Nazinho
D. Vanzeir
13 D. Vanzeir
S. Ngoura
9 S. Ngoura
G. Gallon
93 G. Gallon
B. Goncalves
7 B. Goncalves
B. De Kerf
6 B. De Kerf
L. Marijnissen
5 L. Marijnissen
J. Sambu Mansoni
70 J. Sambu Mansoni
M. Viltard
24 M. Viltard
N. Rodes
18 N. Rodes
D. Hrnčár
20 D. Hrnčár
N. Mbamba
17 N. Mbamba
A. Jahanbakhsh
27 A. Jahanbakhsh
D. Toshevski
9 D. Toshevski

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 24, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 4 · Relegation Round
Stadium
Jan Breydelstadion
Capacity
29975
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Warleson
Warleson Goalkeeper
6.93
20
Nazinho
Nazinho Midfielder
7.13
2
Ibrahim Diakité
Ibrahim Diakité Midfielder
6.53
13
Dante Vanzeir
Dante Vanzeir Attacker
6.41
9
Steve Ngoura
Steve Ngoura Attacker
6.74
28
Hannes Van Der Bruggen
Hannes Van Der Bruggen Central Midfield
6.81
18
Pieter Gerkens
Pieter Gerkens Central Midfield
6.88
19
Ibrahima Diaby
Ibrahima Diaby Right Back
6.67
37
Edan Diop
Edan Diop Central Midfield
6.99
12
Valy Konaté
Valy Konaté Left Back
6.87
24
Geoffrey Kondo
Geoffrey Kondo Centre Back
7.06

Starting XI ▼

93
Gauthier Gallon
Gauthier Gallon Goalkeeper
7.08
9
David Toševski
David Toševski Centre Forward
6.69
5
Luc Marijnissen
Luc Marijnissen Right Back
6.74
6
Bo De Kerf
Bo De Kerf Left Back
6.52
17
Noah Mbamba
Noah Mbamba Attacking Midfield
6.84
18
Nathan Rôdes
Nathan Rôdes Defensive Midfield
6.59
24
Malcolm Viltard
Malcolm Viltard Defensive Midfield
6.74
27
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
Alireza Jahanbakhsh Right Wing
6.69
70
Marsoni Sambu
Marsoni Sambu Right Back
6.62
20
David Hrncar
David Hrncar Left Wing
6.6
7
Bryan Goncalves
Bryan Goncalves Left Back
6.88

CONCLUSION

Cercle Brugge approaches this Relegation Round encounter with momentum, backed by superior power and form metrics that highlight their dominance over Dender. The 8.2-point power gap and home venue at Jan Breydelstadion position the hosts to capitalize effectively. Dender faces an uphill battle, needing to overcome clear deficiencies in scoring and overall quality. Without advanced data on set pieces or efficiency, the fundamentals point decisively toward Cercle Brugge securing vital points to aid their survival bid. Expect a controlled performance from the favorites, potentially turning early pressure into a comfortable win.

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