Casa Pia vs Santa Clara Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Liga Portugal
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Casa Pia and Santa Clara played out a cautious 0-0 draw in the Primeira Liga, with the home side defying expectations despite Santa Clara's status as the stronger team. Santa Clara controlled 67% of possession compared to Casa Pia's 33%, yet failed to convert dominance into scoring chances. The halftime score was 0-0, and the second half mirrored the first with no goals and no significant adjustments from either manager. Absent red cards or other disruptions, the match highlighted defensive solidity over attacking flair. A moderate 8.5% structural deviation was observed for Santa Clara, indicating they underperformed relative to their favoritism. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with norms, and the result aligned with market positioning. This stalemate extends both teams' campaigns without shifting momentum dramatically.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Match exhibited moderate 8.5% structural deviation for Santa Clara.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
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xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable data.
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Market alignment: Outcome achieved full market alignment.
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xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable for evaluation.
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Event impact: No second-half adjustments or events altered the match flow.
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Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion in the result.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
Movement
Changes since opening
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
Team Power Ranking
i
16.58
20.93
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Casa Pia
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Casa Pia
⚠ Proxy
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- Casa Pia had peak pressure around 93'.
- Santa Clara started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:06:59+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Casa Pia
vs
Sporting Braga
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Thu, 23 Apr - 7:15 PM
Venue: Estádio Pina Manique
Santa Clara
vs
Sporting Braga
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM
Venue: Estádio de São Miguel
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
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Substitutes ▼




Manager ▼
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Match Commentary