Cádiz vs Real Zaragoza Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Fri, 6 Mar - 7:30 PM
La Liga 2
Cádiz
CAD
0
1
1
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
Full Time
Fri, 6 Mar
7:30 PM
|
Kenan Kodro - 19'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 21
CONTEXT
The match has officially finished with Real Zaragoza securing a 1-0 away victory over Cádiz. The visitors took the lead in the first half and held onto their 1-0 advantage through the final whistle. This result represents a significant deviation from pre-match expectations in favor of Real Zaragoza. Entering the contest, Cádiz was viewed as the stronger side with a 43% probability of winning, while the visitors held only a 28.8% chance. Consequently, the final outcome completely failed to align with the pre-match market. Despite the home defeat, Cádiz largely controlled the ball, dominating with 67% possession compared to Real Zaragoza's 33%. Because expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, it cannot be determined if the final scoreline was consistent with either team's underlying chance creation. Additionally, the match concluded without any red cards, meaning player dismissals did not impact the flow of the game. Finally, the match's efficiency shift remained in line with standard expectations. Real Zaragoza effectively maximized their limited possession to find the back of the net, successfully overcoming the odds to claim an unexpected three points on the road.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Real Zaragoza showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
-
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
-
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: No major event distortion.
-
Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
C. Valverde Monsalve
1st Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
1.69
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
0.31
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
D. Arcediano Monescillo
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
1.69
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
0.31
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
S. Sanz Torcal
2nd Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
1.69
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
0.31
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
M. Ibáñez Juárez
4th Official
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
1.69
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
0.31
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
C. Rodriguez Diaz
VS
R. Sellés Salvador
1.22
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Burgos
Rank:
D
Almería
Rank:
L
Huesca
Rank:
L
Granada
Rank:
L
Albacete
Rank:
L
Sporting Gijón
Rank:
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cultural Leonesa
Rank:
D
SD Eibar
Rank:
D
Albacete
Rank:
L
Castellón
Rank:
D
Real Sociedad II
Rank:
D
Racing Santander
Rank:
W
8
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 4 - 2
2
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Cádiz
42.95%
Draw
28.3%
Real Zaragoza
28.75%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
40.23
31.03
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cádiz
Real Zaragoza
Power Score
40.23
31.03
League Position
14
20
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Cádiz
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Real Zaragoza
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Cádiz Real Zaragoza
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Cádiz
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Real Zaragoza
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Cádiz
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Real Zaragoza
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.73
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
36.21
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Cádiz
-1.25
Efficiency Index
vs
Real Zaragoza
+1.25
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Cádiz
Real Zaragoza
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Cádiz
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Real Zaragoza
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Cádiz
Real Zaragoza
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Cádiz
Real Zaragoza
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Cádiz
Real Zaragoza
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Cádiz
CAD
Home
3
matches
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
2
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-03-07T11:28:57+00:00
TEAM FORMATION
No team formation data available.
General Information
Date & Time
Mar 06, 2026, 07:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Stadium
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Capacity
20724
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Christian Arlex Valverde Monsalve
Dámaso Arcediano Monescillo
Samuel Sanz Torcal
Marcelo Ibáñez Juárez
Statistics
Possession
CAD
62%
ZAR
38%
Top Statistics
0
Goals
1
0
Big Chances Created
2
5
Shots
4
78
Dangerous attacks
39
67
Possession
33
6
Corners
3
11
Free kicks
16
3
Yellow Cards
2
Match Overview
22
Throwins
25
60
Successful Dribbles Percentage
67
15
Dribble Attempts
12
9
Successful Dribbles
8
7
Goal Kicks
11
5
Substitutions
5
9
Goal Attempts
5
83
Ball Safe
75
Attacking
112
Attacks
81
0
Big Chances Missed
2
Possession
89
Successful Passes Percentage
71
531
Passes
270
10
Key Passes
6
68
Successful Long Passes Percentage
46
471
Successful Passes
192
68
Long Passes
63
46
Successful Long Passes
29
Defensive
9
Interceptions
16
22
Tackles
13
1
Saves
4
Build-up
41
Total Crosses
12
6
Accurate Crosses
2
Discipline
15
Fouls
12
3
Offsides
2
Events
2ND-HALF
88'
Juan Sebastián → Dani Gómez
10th Substitution
Rominigue Kouamé → Álex Fernández
9th Substitution
81'
81'
6th Yellowcard
81'
Marcos Cuenca
Time wasting / 5th Yellowcard
Roger Martí
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
73'
Roger Martí → Dawda Camara
8th Substitution
71'
Moussa Diakité
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
70'
65'
Keidi Bare → Mawuli Kwame Mensah Vadze
6th Substitution
65'
Alejandro Gomes Furtado → Aleksandar Radovanovic
7th Substitution
García Pascual → Antoñito Cordero
5th Substitution
56'
54'
Dani Tasende → Hugo Pinilla
4th Substitution
54'
Marcos Cuenca → Kenan Kodro
3rd Substitution
Moussa Diakité → Sergio Ortuño
1st Substitution
46'
Brian Ocampo → José Antonio de la Rosa
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Jorge Moreno
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
34'
19'
Kenan Kodro
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
15'
Aleksandar Radovanovic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: Real Zaragoza exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.