Bristol City vs Sheffield United Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
Ashton Gate Stadium Mon, 6 Apr - 2:00 PM
Championship
Bristol City BSC
1 Winner 0
Sheffield United SHU
Full Time Mon, 6 Apr 2:00 PM
Round 41 Regular Season
Mark Sykes - 23'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between Bristol City and Sheffield United has finished in a 0-0 draw at full-time. Interestingly, match data indicates that Bristol City held a 1-0 advantage at half-time, though the final scoreline ultimately concluded as a scoreless stalemate. This result failed to align with the pre-match market, which established Sheffield United as the stronger side with a 37.5% win probability, compared to Bristol City's 34.6% and a 27.9% likelihood of a draw. As a result, the draw represents a significant deviation from pre-match expectations for Sheffield United. During the match, Sheffield United edged the general run of play with 53% possession, leaving Bristol City with 47%. Because expected goals (xG) metrics were unavailable for both teams, it cannot be determined if the final outcome was consistent with the overall quality of chances created. However, the underlying efficiency shift was strictly in line with general performance expectations. The game concluded without any major disciplinary disruptions, as no red cards were issued to either team. Despite holding the possession advantage and entering the fixture as the market favorites, Sheffield United could not break the deadlock and were forced to share the points.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sheffield United showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
L. Smith
L. Smith
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.96
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
R. Hyde
R. Hyde
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.96
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
A. James
A. James
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.96
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
J. Busby
J. Busby
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.96
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
Bristol City R. Hodgson
R. Hodgson
VS
Sheffield United C. Wilder
C. Wilder
1.32
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.55
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Charlton Athletic Rank: 67 W
West Bromwich Albion Rank: 65 L
Middlesbrough Rank: 74 D
Leicester City Rank: 67 L
Coventry City Rank: 78 L
Watford Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Swansea City Rank: 67 D
Wrexham Rank: 73 L
Birmingham City Rank: 70 D
Norwich City Rank: 72 L
West Bromwich Albion Rank: 66 D
Queens Park Rangers Rank: 67 W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 13
13

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bristol City
34.64%
Draw
27.86%
Away Sheffield United
37.5%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.79
69.91
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bristol City
Sheffield United
Power Score
68.79
69.91
League Position
11
17
Global Rank
217
189

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bristol City — Opponent-weighted form score
Sheffield United — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bristol City Sheffield United

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Bristol City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sheffield United

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Bristol City ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sheffield United
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
13.40
44.43
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
44.43
13.40
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Bristol City -3.01 Efficiency Index
vs
Sheffield United +3.01 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bristol City
Sheffield United
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bristol City ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sheffield United
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bristol City Sheffield United
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bristol City Sheffield United
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Bristol City
Sheffield United
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Bristol City
vs
Sheffield United
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Bristol City Sheffield United
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Bristol City 0.19
Sheffield United 0.41
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bristol City Sheffield United
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Bristol City 0.00
Sheffield United 0.04
Bristol City
Sheffield United
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bristol City BSC Home
22 matches
Sheffield United SHU Away
Match Record
6
Wins
13
3
Draws
3
13
Losses
6
Goals
25
Goals Scored
35
35
Goals Conceded
25
-10
Goal Difference
+10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-07T00:02:47+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
R. Vítek
Czech Republic
23 R. Vítek
J. Knight
Republic of Ireland
12 J. Knight
N. Eile
Sweden
38 N. Eile
V. Borges dos Santos Neto
Brazil
21 V. Borges dos Santos Neto
C. Pring
England
3 C. Pring
S. Morsy
Egypt
40 S. Morsy
A. Randell
England
4 A. Randell
M. Sykes
Substitution
Northern Ireland
17 M. Sykes
S. Twine
Substitution
England
10 S. Twine
M. Bird
Substitution
England
6 M. Bird
E. Riis Jakobsen
Substitution
Denmark
18 E. Riis Jakobsen
A. Davies
Wales
17 A. Davies
H. Burrows
England
14 H. Burrows
L. Hjelde
Substitution
Norway
5 L. Hjelde
M. McGuinness
Republic of Ireland
25 M. McGuinness
J. Tanganga
England
2 J. Tanganga
F. Seriki
Substitution
England
38 F. Seriki
D. Soumaré
Substitution
Senegal
18 D. Soumaré
J. Rothwell
Substitution
England
48 J. Rothwell
S. Peck
Substitution
England
42 S. Peck
T. Cannon
England
7 T. Cannon
P. Bamford
England
45 P. Bamford

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 06, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 41 · Regular Season
Stadium
Ashton Gate Stadium
Capacity
1500
Attendance
21858
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Lewis Smith
Robert Hyde
Alex James
John Busby

Statistics

Possession
BSC
45%
SHU
55%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 3
5 Shots 21
26 Dangerous attacks 51
47 Possession 53
0 Corners 5
9 Free kicks 6
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

18 Goal Kicks 3
56 Successful Dribbles Percentage 83
12 Throwins 23
12 Successful Headers 17
9 Dribble Attempts 6
4 Goal Attempts 18
5 Successful Dribbles 5
88 Ball Safe 78
3 Injuries 0
4 Substitutions 5

Attacking

81 Attacks 128
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

3 Key Passes 16
395 Successful Passes 468
68 Long Passes 47
493 Passes 541
80 Successful Passes Percentage 87
23 Successful Long Passes 23
34 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49

Defensive

9 Tackles 15
35 Duels Won 43
10 Interceptions 5
7 Saves 0

Build-up

4 Total Crosses 18
1 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

6 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Lewis Smith

Starting XI ▼

23
Radek Vitek
Radek Vitek Goalkeeper
3
Cameron Pring
Cameron Pring Defender
12
Jason Knight
Jason Knight Defender
21
Neto Borges
Neto Borges Defender
38
Noah Eile
Noah Eile Defender
4
Adam Randell
Adam Randell Midfielder
6
Max Bird
Max Bird Midfielder
44
George Earthy
George Earthy
Midfielder75'
10
Scott Twine
Scott Twine Midfielder
14
Tomi Horvat
Tomi Horvat
Midfielder89'
17
Mark Sykes
Mark Sykes Midfielder
20
Sam Bell
Sam Bell
Attacker82'
40
Sam Morsy
Sam Morsy Midfielder
18
Emil Riis
Emil Riis Attacker
11
Delano Burgzorg
Delano Burgzorg
Attacker74'
Referee : Lewis Smith

Starting XI ▼

17
Adam Davies
Adam Davies Goalkeeper
2
Japhet Tanganga
Japhet Tanganga Defender
5
Leo Hjelde
Leo Hjelde Defender
11
Andre Brooks
Andre Brooks
Midfielder46'
14
Harrison Burrows
Harrison Burrows Defender
25
Mark McGuinness
Mark McGuinness Defender
38
Femi Seriki
Femi Seriki Defender
12
Ki-Jana Hoever
Ki-Jana Hoever
Defender80'
18
Djibril Soumaré
Djibril Soumaré Midfielder
8
Gustavo Hamer
Gustavo Hamer
Midfielder46'
42
Sydie Peck
Sydie Peck Midfielder
10
Callum O'Hare
Callum O'Hare
Midfielder87'
48
Joe Rothwell
Joe Rothwell Midfielder
4
Oliver Arblaster
Oliver Arblaster
Midfielder74'
7
Tom Cannon
Tom Cannon Attacker
45
Patrick Bamford
Patrick Bamford Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Tomi Horvat → Scott Twine
9th Substitution
89'
87'
Event
Callum O'Hare → Sydie Peck
8th Substitution
Event
Sam Bell → Mark Sykes
7th Substitution
82'
80'
Event
Ki-Jana Hoever → Femi Seriki
6th Substitution
Event
George Earthy → Max Bird
5th Substitution
75'
Event
Delano Burgzorg → Emil Riis
4th Substitution
74'
74'
Event
Oliver Arblaster → Joe Rothwell
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
Patrick Bamford
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
66'
Event
Andre Brooks
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Andre Brooks → Leo Hjelde
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Gustavo Hamer → Djibril Soumaré
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Mark Sykes
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
23'
20'
Event
Tom Cannon
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Cameron Pring
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
4'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Sheffield United win a corner after Sam Morsy concedes.
90
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Sam Bell from Bristol City.
90
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Bamford from Sheffield United had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from the left side of the box, but it went high and wide to the left. Gustavo Hamer provided the assist.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Thomas Cannon of Sheffield United heads the ball from the center of the box, and it goes very close to the goal. The assist comes from Gustavo Hamer's cross.
90
Corner Corner
Mark McGuinness of Sheffield United had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box but failing to score. The assist came from Harrison Burrows, who delivered a cross following a corner.
90
Corner Corner
Sheffield United win a corner after Noah Eile concedes.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Bristol City winning 1-0 against Sheffield United.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 8 minutes of added time.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bristol City: Tomi Horvat replaces Scott Twine.
89
Update Update
Offside called against Sheffield United. Patrick Bamford is offside.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sheffield United: Callum O'Hare replaces Sydie Peck.
85
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Radek Vítek from Bristol City.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bristol City: Sam Bell replaces Mark Sykes.
80
Update Update
Sam Morsy from Bristol City won a free kick in defense.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sheffield United: Ki-Jana Hoever replaces Femi Seriki due to injury.
80
Update Update
Foul by Sydie Peck of Sheffield United.
79
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Femi Seriki from Sheffield United.
78
Attempt Attempt
Delano Burgzorg's shot for Bristol City from the right side of the box is blocked. Scott Twine provided the assist.
78
Attempt Attempt
Sydie Peck from Sheffield United missed a right-footed shot from outside the box.
76
Corner Corner
Sheffield United win a corner after Cameron Pring concedes.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bristol City: George Earthy replaces Max Bird.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bristol City: Delano Burgzorg replaces Emil Riis.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sheffield United: Oliver Arblaster replaces Joe Rothwell.
74
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Gustavo Hamer from Sheffield United shot with his right foot from outside the box.
73
Attempt Attempt
Mark McGuinness of Sheffield United attempts a header from the center of the box, but it's saved.
72
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Hamer's shot for Sheffield United from outside the box is blocked. Patrick Bamford provided the assist.
72
Corner Corner
Sheffield United win a corner after Mark Sykes concedes.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Patrick Bamford of Sheffield United receives a yellow card for a foul.
69
Update Update
Noah Eile from Bristol City won a free kick in the attacking area.
69
Update Update
Foul committed by Patrick Bamford for Sheffield United.
68
Update Update
Cameron Pring from Bristol City won a free kick in the defensive area.
68
Update Update
Foul committed by Andre Brooks of Sheffield United.
67
Attempt Attempt
Emil Riis from Bristol City had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the right side of the box, but it went high and wide to the right.
66
Update Update
Foul committed by Andre Brooks of Sheffield United.
66
Update Update
Max Bird from Bristol City won a free kick in defense.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Andre Brooks of Sheffield United receives a yellow card for a foul.
65
Update Update
Neto Borges of Bristol City won a free kick in defense.
65
Update Update
Femi Seriki of Sheffield United commits a foul.
65
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Patrick Bamford of Sheffield United takes a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved by Bristol City's goalkeeper Radek Vítek, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Sydie Peck with a through ball.
63
Update Update
Foul committed by Japhet Tanganga against Sheffield United.
63
Update Update
Scott Twine of Bristol City won a free kick in defense.
58
Update Update
New attacking attempt. Andre Brooks of Sheffield United shoots with his right foot from the right side of the box, but Radek Vítek of Bristol City saves it in the top center of the goal. The assist was provided by Sydie Peck.
58
Corner Corner
Sheffield United wins a corner after Radek Vítek concedes.
58
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Neto Borges of Bristol City.
58
Corner Corner
Mark McGuinness from Sheffield United attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but Radek Vítek from Bristol City saves it in the top right corner.
56
Attempt Attempt
Shot blocked. Andre Brooks from Sheffield United had a right-footed shot from the right side of the box that was blocked. The assist came from Femi Seriki.
56
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Patrick Bamford from Sheffield United takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box that is very close to the goal. The assist comes from Femi Seriki's cross.
53
Corner Corner
Gustavo Hamer from Sheffield United attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from outside the box, but Radek Vítek from Bristol City saves it in the right corner. The assist came from Harrison Burrows.
50
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Andre Brooks from Sheffield United takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved.
50
Corner Corner
Sheffield United win a corner after Adam Randell concedes.
48
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Thomas Cannon of Sheffield United takes a right-footed shot from outside the box that goes close but misses the top right corner. Joe Rothwell provides the assist.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Bristol City leading Sheffield United 1-0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sheffield United: Gustavo Hamer replaces Djibril Soumaré.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sheffield United: Andre Brooks replaces Leo Hjelde.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with Bristol City leading Sheffield United 1-0.
39
Update Update
Leo Hjelde fouled a player from Sheffield United.
39
Update Update
Noah Eile from Bristol City won a free kick in defense.
37
Attempt Attempt
Harrison Burrows from Sheffield United had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from the left side of the box, but it went close and missed. Japhet Tanganga provided the assist.
33
Update Update
Thomas Cannon's header from the right side of the six-yard box is blocked. The assist came from Patrick Bamford's cross.
32
Update Update
Thomas Cannon's header from the right side of the six-yard box is blocked. The assist came from Patrick Bamford's cross.
29
Update Update
Foul committed by Scott Twine of Bristol City.
29
Update Update
Mark McGuinness from Sheffield United was awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
25
Attempt Attempt
Djibril Soumaré of Sheffield United attempts a header from the center of the box, but it's saved in the top center of the goal. The assist comes from Femi Seriki's cross.
23
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bristol City leads 1-0 against Sheffield United. Mark Sykes scores for Bristol City with a right-footed shot from outside the box into the left corner.
20
Update Update
Sam Morsy of Bristol City won a free kick in defense.
20
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Thomas Cannon from Sheffield United receives a yellow card for a foul.
20
Update Update
Foul committed by Thomas Cannon - Sheffield United.
17
Update Update
Noah Eile from Bristol City commits a foul.
17
Update Update
Patrick Bamford of Sheffield United won a free kick in the attacking zone.
16
Update Update
Offside called against Sheffield United. Patrick Bamford is offside.
15
Attempt Attempt
Emil Riis from Bristol City had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the right side of the box. The assist came from Scott Twine, who provided a through ball.
12
Update Update
Foul committed by Cameron Pring of Bristol City.
12
Update Update
Femi Seriki from Sheffield United won a free kick on the right wing.
11
Update Update
Foul committed by Scott Twine of Bristol City.
11
Update Update
Harrison Burrows of Sheffield United won a free kick in defense.
7
Update Update
Neto Borges fouled a player from Bristol City.
7
Update Update
Thomas Cannon of Sheffield United won a free kick in defense.
4
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Cameron Pring of Bristol City receives a yellow card for a foul.
4
Update Update
Cameron Pring from Bristol City committed a foul.
4
Update Update
Patrick Bamford of Sheffield United won a free kick on the right wing.
1
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Cannon's shot for Sheffield United from the right side of the box is blocked.
1
Update Update
Foul committed by Thomas Cannon of Sheffield United.
1
Update Update
Jason Knight from Bristol City won a free kick in defense.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Sheffield United exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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